FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 2000 MALI 28

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MALI

Area:
1 220 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-October
Population:
10.22 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 250 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops:
Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
75 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Following generally widespread and regular rains in June, notably during the second dekad, millet and sorghum are emerging satisfactorily in the south while plantings are progressing well in the centre and the north. Cumulative rainfall as of late June is normal to above normal in most meteorological stations. However, precipitation decreased somewhat in early July in the centre. Planting of rice in seedbeds is underway in the irrigated areas along the Niger river.

Pastures are improving, notably in the south. Seed availability is good following two successive record crops in 1998 and 1999. Low numbers of Desert Locusts are likely to be present and persist in a few wadis in the Adrar des Iforas where small scale laying could commence if rainfall occurs.

Following two successive bumper crops, the overall food situation is satisfactory. Production of irrigated rice in Ségou and Mopti Regions reached record levels. Production of recession sorghum and maize is also good. Markets are well supplied and cereal prices are much lower than previous years. They were still decreasing in March, when they normally start to increase with the arrival of the lean season. However, these very low prices, due to large cereal surpluses, may cause economic difficulties for farmers in some areas, notably in some irrigated rice areas. There are good opportunities for local purchases and transfer of surplus cereals to neighbouring countries or even outside West Africa. The national early warning system (SAP) estimated that only 2 arrondissements out of the 173 it monitors in the centre and the north (namely Baye in the Bankass cercle and Diankabou in the Koro cercle), are moderately at risk of food shortages following floods which destroyed rice crops. The cereal import requirement for the 1999/2000 marketing year is estimated at 100 000 tonnes of wheat and rice. No food aid is required.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 4 566 1 730 2 300
Previous five years average imports 48 54 6 108
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 15 551 2 127 2 693
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 15 810 2 127 2 952
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 15 551 2 127 2 693
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
1999/2000 Utilization 65 601 2 127 2 793
Food Use 64 405 1 624 2 093
of which: local purchase requirement - - 10 10
Non-food use 1 105 333 439
Exports or Re-exports - 50 50 100
Possible stock build up - 40 120 160
1999/2000 Import Requirement 50 50 - 100
Anticipated commercial imports 45 50 - 95
Food aid needs 5 - - 5
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 3 - - 3
of which: Delivered 3 - - 3
Donor-financed purchases - - 3 3
of which: for local use - - 3 3
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 6 40 159 205
Indexes        
1999 production as % of average:       128
1999/2000 import requirement as % of average:       93


FAO/GIEWS - August 2000

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