FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 2000 NIGER 33

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NIGER

Area:
1 267 000 sq.km
Climate:
Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October
Population:
10.06 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 190 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


The growing season is now well underway. Following a somewhat delayed start of the rains, precipitation progressed northwards and eastwards in June, allowing land preparation and plantings of millet and sorghum. Rains reached the south-east of the country in early July. It is estimated that about two thirds of the villages had done their plantings as of late June against only one-third in 1999. Millet and sorghum are emerging or even tillering. Plantings are starting latter in the east, in Diffa and Zinder departments.

Infestations of grasshoppers, army worms and grain eating birds are reported in some areas, notably in Tahoua and Agadez departments. During the first week of June, scattered Desert Locusts were seen in central and northern Aïr. The residual populations previously and currently reported in the Aïr area could move west towards Tamesna and lay in areas of recent rainfall.

Following release of final production figures by national statistical services, the aggregate production of cereals in 1999 is estimated at 2.86 million tonnes (with rice in paddy), about 4 percent below previous year's record crop but 25 percent above average. The overall food supply situation remains satisfactory. Markets are well supplied and prices of cereals are lower than average. Assessments by the National Early Warning System indicate that no emergency assistance is needed by the country. However, some areas in Aguié, Guidan Roumdji, Illéla, Keita, Matameye and Mayahi as well as some urban populations may be somewhat vulnerable. The national security stock has been reconstituted at a level of 14 577 tonnes of millet and 2 132 tonnes of sorghum.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 6 64 2 230 2 300
Previous five years average imports 33 85 215 333
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 18 60 2 792 2 870
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 8 61 2 792 2 861
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 8 40 2 792 2 840
Possible stock drawdown 10 20 - 30
1999/2000 Utilization 38 140 2 912 3 090
Food Use 27 132 2 258 2 417
of which: local purchase requirement - - 25 25
Non-food use 1 7 434 442
Exports or Re-exports 10 - 60 70
Possible stock build up - - 160 160
1999/2000 Import Requirement 20 80 120 220
Anticipated commercial imports 20 75 120 215
Food aid needs - 5 - 5
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - 1 1
of which: Delivered - - 1 1
Donor-financed purchases - - 8 8
of which: for local use - - 8 8
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 3 13 224 240
Indexes        
1999 production as % of average:       124
1999/2000 import requirement as % of average:       66


FAO/GIEWS - August 2000

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