FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 2000 TANZANIA 44

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TANZANIA

Area:
886 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:
32.30 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 210 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:
Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:
June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Harvesting of the 2000 main season cereal crops in the unimodal areas is well advanced. Poor rainfall in Dodoma and Singida Regions is expected to severely reduce maize output. By contrast, good rains in the grain-basket southern highlands and in western Tabora and Kigoma Regions favoured crops. In the bi-modal rainfall areas of northern coastal belt and north-eastern areas, cereal crops are scheduled to be harvested from next month. Delayed plantings in Arusha, Kilimanjaro and Tanga Regions due to late onset of rains is anticipated to affect yields. However, favourable rains were recorded in Mara, Mwanza and Shinyanga Regions.

The 1999 cereal crop, mainly maize, is estimated at 4 million tonnes (including paddy), about 16 percent below last year's output due to erratic rains, reduced use of inputs and an outbreak of armyworms. By contrast, production of other food crops, including beans, potatoes, cassava and plantains has increased by nearly 13 percent to 3.3 million tonnes.

Overall, despite lower cereal production in 1999/2000, the food supply situation is stable reflecting large maize imports in the latter half of 1999 and the maize export ban imposed by the Government. Maize prices in several markets of the country were below the five years average. However, food assistance is required for nearly 800 000 people identified as food insecure, mainly in the regions of Dodoma, Mara, Shinyanga, Singida, Tabora, Tanga and southern Mwanza, all of whom have now suffered their third consecutive poor harvest.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 97 722 3 444 4 263
Previous five years average imports 86 74 198 358
2000/01 Domestic Availability 130 455 2 906 3 491
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 100 700 2 756 3 556
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 100 455 2 756 3 311
Possible stock drawdown 30 - 150 180
2000/01 Utilization 250 575 3 356 4 181
Food Use 140 475 3 037 3 652
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 80 100 319 499
Exports or Re-exports 30 - - 30
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 120 120 450 690
Anticipated commercial imports 60 100 380 540
Food aid needs 60 20 70 150
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 4 14 92 110
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       83
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       193


FAO/GIEWS - August 2000

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