FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2000 MADAGASCAR 26

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MADAGASCAR

Area:
582 000 sq.km
Climate:
Eastern coast is tropical wet, the rest tropical wet-dry. Rainy season: October-March; tropical cyclones
Population:
14.78 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$250 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Dilapidated roads and lack of spare parts and tyres
Major foodcrops:
Rice, roots, tubers, maize, fruit
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February/March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Above-normal rains in northern and central parts in the third dekad of October provided adequate soil moisture for planting of the main 2001 paddy crop. However, the southern maize growing areas remain dry. More rains are needed in these parts to avoid reduction in the area planted.

The 2000 cereal crop season was negatively affected by three cyclones during the growing season and severe drought in southern parts. Paddy output was estimated close to 2.2 million tonnes, 15 percent less than the good crop of 1999. Maize production declined 22 percent to 140 000 tonnes.

The overall food supply situation is tight reflecting the reduced 2000 harvest. Import requirements in marketing year 2000/01 (April/March) have increased considerably to 518 000 tonnes, most of which is expected to be covered commercially. The situation is particularly difficult in the vulnerable southern region, where 240 000 people who lost their crops to dry weather are estimated in need of food assistance. In this region, prices of basic staple maize, rice and cassava have increased sharply in the past months and are well above their levels of last year. Distress selling of livestock and movements of population in search of food and labour opportunities are reported in some districts.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 8 2 518 174 2 700
Previous five years average imports 72 75 6 153
2000/01 Domestic Availability 9 1 522 140 1 671
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 9 2 194 140 2 343
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 9 1 492 140 1 641
Possible stock drawdown - 30 - 30
2000/01 Utilization 77 1 942 170 2 189
Food Use 77 1 823 152 2 052
of which: local purchase requirement - - 2 2
Non-food use - 119 18 137
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 68 420 30 518
Anticipated commercial imports 66 350 10 426
Food aid needs 2 70 20 92
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 1 2 8 11
of which: Delivered 1 2 6 9
Donor-financed purchases - - 2 2
of which: for local use - - 2 2
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 5 114 10 129
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       87
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       339

FAO/GIEWS - December 2000

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