FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2000 MALI 28

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MALI

Area:
1 220 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-October
Population:
10.22 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$240 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops:
Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
75 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Rains were generally well distributed and regular in June, July, August and September over the main producing areas. Pastures are generally abundant. Grain-eating birds were reported in the rice producing areas along the Niger river and treatments have been undertaken. Grasshopper attacks were also reported locally. Desert Locusts were seen in Timetrine, Tilemoy valley and central Adrar des Iforas during durveys in November, indicating that they have also moved into southern Algeria and northern Mauritania.

A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission in late October estimated the 2000 cereal production at 2 386 300 tonnes. This is 17.5 percent below last year's record (2 893 600 tonnes) but remains very close to the last five years average. Following two successive bumper crops in 1998 and 1999, farmers stocks have been well replenished. They were estimated by the statistical services at 520 000 tonnes. The national security stock is also at its recommended level of 35 000 tonnes (plus 25 000 potential tonnes with the "financial" security stock). With traders and other organisations stocks, there was a stock of more than 3 months of consumption needs before this year's harvest. Therefore, the overall food situation is satisfactory. However, some areas may be at risk of food shortages following poor harvests, notably in Mopti, Gao, Kidal, Tombouctou et northern S�gou regions. Prices of cereals are likely to increase in these areas due to lower production and stronger demand from neighbouring Burkina Faso and Niger which gathered lower crops than in 1999.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 5 625 1 767 2 397
Previous five years average imports 47 59 5 111
2000/01 Domestic Availability 10 507 1 841 2 358
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 10 745 1 631 2 386
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 10 507 1 631 2 148
Possible stock drawdown - - 210 210
2000/01 Utilization 60 547 1 841 2 448
Food Use 59 400 1 581 2 040
of which: local purchase requirement - - 10 10
Non-food use 1 97 248 346
Exports or Re-exports - 50 12 62
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 50 40 - 90
Anticipated commercial imports 40 40 - 80
Food aid needs 10 - - 10
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - 2 2
of which: for local use - - 2 2
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 6 38 151 195
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       100
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       81

FAO/GIEWS - December 2000

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