FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2000 TANZANIA 44

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TANZANIA

Area:
886 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:
32.30 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$240 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:
Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:
June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Planting of the 2001 main season cereal crops in the unimodal central and southern areas, as well as that of 2000/01 short season ("Vuli" ) crops in bi-modal northern areas, is underway. Generally below-normal rains in October have caused moisture stress, particularly for earlier planted crops.

The 2000 cereal crop, mainly maize, is estimated at about 3.5 million tonnes, nearly 20 percent below the previous five years average. The decline is attributed to drought conditions in several parts of the country. As a result, the cereal import requirement is currently forecast at 690 000 tonnes. However, the overall food supply situation has improved due to large maize imports which have led to marked declines in food prices. Despite reduced pasture, livestock conditions are reported to be good.

Food assistance is required for about 800 000 people identified as food insecure, mainly in the regions of Dodoma, Mara, Shinyanga, Singida, Tabora, Tanga and southern Mwanza, all of which have now suffered their third consecutive poor harvest.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 97 722 3 444 4 263
Previous five years average imports 86 74 198 358
2000/01 Domestic Availability 150 455 2 863 3 468
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 90 700 2 673 3 463
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 90 455 2 673 3 218
Possible stock drawdown 60 - 190 250
2000/01 Utilization 270 575 3 313 4 158
Food Use 190 475 3 024 3 689
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 50 100 289 439
Exports or Re-exports 30 - - 30
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 120 120 450 690
Anticipated commercial imports 60 100 380 540
Food aid needs 60 20 70 150
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - 1 1
of which: Delivered - - 1 1
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 6 14 91 112
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       81
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       193

FAO/GIEWS - December 2000

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