FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report Part III, No.2, August 2001 ZAMBIA 47

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ZAMBIA

Area:
741 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: November-April
Population:
10.65 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$320 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics:
Imports through Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); inadequate rail and road connections
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: March-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Harvesting of the 2001 coarse grains, mainly maize, is complete. Prospects deteriorated with excessive rains in February and March over most parts of the country, which negatively affected yields and resulted in localized floods, particularly along the Zambezi and Luangwa Rivers. By contrast, in the Southern and Western Provinces, prolonged dry weather in January stressed developing maize crop and reduced yields.

After being self-sufficient in maize in 2000/01 (April/March) the country faces a substantial import requirement in marketing year 2001/02. Latest official estimates indicate that maize production declined by 30 percent from last year, and the Government has appealed to the international community for food assistance to meet the food needs of some 2 million people facing serious food shortages.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Previous five years average production
72
16
1 130
1 218
Previous five years average imports
55
17
204
276
2001/02 Domestic Availability
90
13
1 250
1 353
2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)
90
19
1 245
1 354
2001 Production (rice in milled terms)
90
13
1 245
1 348
Possible stock drawdown
-
-
5
5
2001/02 Utilization
131
36
1 400
1 567
Food use
127
34
1 180
1 341
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
-
-
Non-food use
4
2
170
176
Exports or re-exports
-
-
50
50
Possible stock build up
-
-
-
-
2001/02 Import Requirement
41
23
150
214
Anticipated commercial imports
41
22
150
213
Food aid needs
-
1
-
1
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
-
-
-
-
of which: delivered
-
-
-
-
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
-
-
of which: for local use
-
-
-
-
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)
12
3
109
123
Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     
111
2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     
78

FAO/GIEWS - August 2001

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