FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2001 ZAMBIA 47

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ZAMBIA

Area:

741 000 sq.km

Climate:

Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: November-April

Population:

10.04 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$300 (2000)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country

Logistics:

Imports through Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); inadequate rail and road connections

Major foodcrops:

Maize, roots, tubers

Marketing year:

May/April; Lean season: March-May

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Planting of the 2002 maize crop, to be harvested from April next year, is underway. Above-average rains in October, particularly in southern areas, benefited sowing operations and earlier planted crops. Availability of seeds and fertilizers for the new season is reported to be adequate to meet requirements.

Harvesting of the 2001 irrigated wheat crop is well advanced. The output is forecast at 75 000 tonnes, 17 percent lower than the previous year's level.

The 2001 maize harvest was sharply reduced by excessive rains, coupled with dry weather in southern parts. A final official production estimate has not been released. FAO's preliminary estimates point to a maize crop of 950 000 tonnes, some 28 percent lower than last year. At this level, and taking into account available stocks, there is an estimated deficit of 300 000 tonnes of maize in marketing year 2001/02 (May/April) to be covered through commercial imports and food aid. The Government's Food Reserve Agency has announced tenders for purchase of 150 000 tonnes of maize from South Africa, to be supplied from November 2001 to March 2002. It has also announced a ban on maize exports.

Following reports of emerging food shortages in parts, the Government launched an appeal to the international community in mid-July for 98 000 tonnes of food aid to assist 2 million people in the 42 districts out of the 73 in the country, that had been declared to be in a state of emergency. It has also started distribution of maize in eastern parts of the country. WFP plans to distribute about 42 000 tonnes of food aid to 1.28 million most affected people in 23 districts.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

72

16

1 130

1 218

Previous five years average imports

57

17

204

278

2001/02 Domestic Availability

85

13

1 060

1 158

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

75

19

1 045

1 139

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

75

13

1 045

1 133

Possible stock drawdown

10

-

15

25

2001/02 Utilization

130

36

1 260

1 426

Food use

126

34

1 105

1 265

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

15

15

Non-food use

4

2

155

161

Exports or re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Import Requirement

45

23

200

268

Anticipated commercial imports

45

22

150

217

Food aid needs

-

1

50

51

Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

15

15

of which: for local use

-

-

15

15

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

12

3

102

116

Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     

94

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     

96


FAO/GIEWS - December 2001

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