FAO/GIEWS - Food Outlook No. 5 - Rome, December 2001 p. 2

BASIC FACTS OF THE WORLD CEREAL SITUATION

	1997/98	1998/99	1999/2000	2000/2001	2001/02 forecast	Change 2001/02 over 2000/2001
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . .. . . . . . . )					(percentage)
Wheat	614	598	591	585	575	-1.6
Coarse grains	902	915	888	874	900	3.0
Rice, milled	387	390	409	398	394	-1.0
(paddy)	(579)	(584)	(612)	(596)	(590)	-1.0
All cereals (incl. milled rice)	1 903	1 904	1 888	1 857	1 870	0.7
Developing countries	1 003	1 044	1 039	998	1 007	0.9
Developed countries	900	860	849	859	863	0.5
WORLD IMPORTS 2/
Wheat	102	99	109	103	105	1.6
Coarse grains	89	96	103	107	105	-1.9
Rice (milled)	28	25	22	23	23	1.9
All cereals	218	220	234	233	233	0.0
Developing countries	160	161	170	171	171	0.1
Developed countries	59	59	65	62	62	-0.2
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/	6.2	11.3	11.2	8.5	9.5	12.2
WORLD UTILIZATION
Wheat	588	591	595	601	611	1.7
Coarse grains	890	894	898	905	921	1.8
Rice (milled)	381	390	404	407	410	0.9
All cereals	1 858	1 875	1 897	1 912	1 942	1.6
Developing countries	1 104	1 132	1 153	1 157	1 176	1.6
Developed countries	755	743	743	755	766	1.5
Per Caput Food Use	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . )
Developing countries	167	168	169	168	169	0.3
Developed countries	131	131	131	132	132	-0.1
WORLD STOCKS 4/	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
Wheat	251	258	252	237	201	-15.2
Coarse grains	256	272	262	235	213	-9.3
Rice (milled)	153	156	163	155	139	-10.7
All cereals	660	686	677	628	553	-11.9
Developing countries	491	512	515	467	410	-12.4
Developed countries	169	174	162	160	143	-10.5
EXPORT PRICES 5/	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . US$/tonne . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/	316	315	253	207	177^6/	-15.3^7/
Wheat (U.S. No.2 HRW)	142	120	112	128	127^8/	3.2^7/
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow)	112	95	91	86	90^8/	10.9^7/
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 5/
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt	11.7	9.3	13.7	15.0	15.0^8/	-6.0^7/
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 9/	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
Roots & tubers production 1/	388	414	422	430	432	0.4
Cereal production (milled rice) 1/	779	811	813	771	768	-0.4
Per caput production (kg.) 10/	216	221	218	204	201	-1.6
Cereal imports 2/	78.7	73.7	74.1	72.2	74.5	3.2
of which: Food aid	5.5	8.4	7.6	7.4
Proportion of cereal import	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
covered by food aid	7.0	11.4	10.2	10.3

Source: FAO Note: Totals and percentages computed from unrounded data.

1/ Data refer to the calendar year of the first year shown. 2/ July/June except for rice for which the data refer to the calendar year of the second year shown. 3/ July/June shipments. 4/ Stock data are based on aggregate of national carryover levels at the end of national crop years. 5/ July/June. 6/ Average of quotations for January-November 2001. 7/ Change from corresponding period of previous year for which figures are not shown. 8/ Average of quotations for July-November 2001. 9/ Food deficit countries with per caput income below the level used by the World Bank to determine eligibility for IDA assistance (i.e. US$ 1 445 in 1999). 10/ Including milled rice.