Besides estimating expected genetic gains, plant breeders must evaluate the observed gains obtained through the population improvement programme over a given period. Such evaluations help in critically analysing the efficiency of the adopted procedures and in planning any needed corrective actions for use in subsequent periods.
To estimate the genetic gains observed for yield over three cycles of recurrent selection in population CNA-IRAT 4, we evaluated 924 S0:2 families in 14 trials. The first five trials, conducted in the 1992/93 cropping season in the states of Goiás, Minas Gerais, Paraná, Roraima and Tocantins, evaluated 326 families from the first cycle and two checks (CICA 8 and BR-IRGA 409). The following six trials, conducted in the 1994/95 cropping season (Goiás, Piauí, Paraná, Roraima and Tocantins), evaluated 400 families from the second cycle and four checks (CICA 8, BR-IRGA 409, Metica 1 and Javaé). The final three trials, conducted in the 1997/98 cropping season (Goiás, Pará and Roraima), evaluated 200 families from the third cycle and the same checks as for the previous cycle.
The experimental design used was triple lattice in the first cycle (two lattices 10 × 10 and two 8 × 8) and Federers augmented blocks (Federer, 1956) in the two following cycles. The plot comprised four rows, each 5 m long, and data on yield were obtained from the middle 4 m of the two central rows.
To estimate the genetic gains observed for yield, the method of adjusted means was used (Breseghello et al., 1998) as adapted by Morais et al. (2000). This method presents more advantages mainly when the data are imbalanced, as they are in this case.
Thus, we can separate all the group of evaluated treatments of
n selection cycles in n + 1 groups: the group of checks and the n groups of
families evaluated per selection cycle. Initially, the means for these n + 1
groups were estimated, and adjusted for the effects of year (in relation to the
group of common checks), and the interactions site × year and blocks ×
site × year. Naturally, we had included the restriction that all
interactions, treatment × year and treatment × site × year were
components of experimental error. The genetic gains observed per selection
between two successive cycles i and
, whose adjusted means of
the evaluated families are
and
are represented
by:
where:
are the
adjusted means of the families evaluated in cycle i and i + 1,
respectively
Because the different estimates of observed genetic gains are neither independent nor homogeneous variances, the mean gain should be estimated by the method of generalized minimum squares (Hoffmam and Vieira, 1987). To estimate the matrix of covariance of observed genetic gains, the matrix of covariance of the adjusted means of the n + 1 treatment groups evaluated should first be obtained.
The average yield of the checks - 6810 kg ha-1 - was significantly higher than the averages of the families in all the recurrent selection cycles evaluated (Table 1).
The mean is a major genetic parameter to consider in population improvement. When the population mean is low, a great deal of time may be needed to raise it to a sufficiently high level. Such effort may not be compensated when using that population for improvement. For CNA-IRAT 4, the lowest mean for yield of the families, compared with the checks, can be attributed to the following factors:
Table 1. Mean yield of checks and families in each recurrent selection cycle in the irrigated rice population CNA-IRAT 4.
Group |
Yield (kg ha-1) |
Checks |
6810 |
First-cycle families |
5560a |
Second-cycle families |
5576a |
Third-cycle families |
5945a |
CV (%) |
18.1 |
a. Value is significantly lower than the group mean for the checks, according to Dunnetts test at 5% of probability.
When considering only the best 10 families in each selection cycle, the average yield was seen to be more than 7000 kg ha-1. The families of the second (7275 kg ha-1) and third cycles (7283 kg ha-1) were significantly more productive than the group of checks, according to Dunnetts test (Dunnett, 1955, 1964) at 5% probability (Table 2). These results show the populations genetic potential for extracting lines with an increased high yield.
Table 2. Mean yield of checks and of the 10 best families in each recurrent selection cycle in the irrigated rice population CNA-IRAT 4.
Group |
Yield (kg ha-1) |
Checks |
6810 |
10 best first-cycle families |
7131 |
10 best second-cycle families |
7275a |
10 best third-cycle families |
7283a |
CV (%) |
18.1 |
a. Value is significantly higher than the group mean of the checks, according to Dunnetts test at 5% probability.
Table 3 presents the genetic gains observed for yield in the first and second recurrent selection cycles in kilograms per hectare and as percentage of the mean of the first-cycle families. The gain observed in the first cycle was only 15.7 kg ha-1 (0.28%), that is, not significant. The gains observed in the second cycle and the mean of the two cycles were, respectively, 369.5 kg ha-1 (6.65%) and 259.9 kg ha-1 (4.67%), that is, significant in that they were more than twice the value of the respective standard deviation.
These values are greater than the estimates for the conventional improvement programmes carried out in Brazil by several authors. Santos et al. (1999) obtained a gain of only 15 kg ha-1 year-1 (0.25%), that is, not significant, on evaluating the performance of the irrigated rice improvement programme in the State of Minas Gerais. Breseghello et al. (1999) and Rangel et al. (2000a) estimated genetic gains of 54.9 kg ha-1 year-1 (0.8%) and 18.0 kg ha-1 year-1 (0.3%), respectively, for the improvement programmes of the northeastern and central-northern regions of Brazil.
The results of our study show that, with recurrent selection applied in genetically divergent populations, considerable gains for yield can be obtained. The maintenance of the gains across the recurrent selection cycles will be possible only if care is taken with the population such as evaluating many families (250 to 300 families); increasing the precision of evaluations of families, paying considerable attention to their management; and using an intensity of selection that makes obtaining shortterm gains possible without exhausting the populations genetic variability.
Table 3. Estimates of observed genetic gains in yield of irrigated rice for the first (G12) and the second cycles (G23). Mean gains (Gmean) are shown in kilograms per hectare and in percentage of the mean of the first-cycle families.
Parameter |
Gaina (kg ha-1) |
Standard deviation |
Gain in percentage over the first-cycle family mean |
G12 |
15.7 |
± 207.7 |
0.28 |
G23 |
369.5 |
± 129.0 |
6.65 |
Gmean |
259.9 |
± 101.3 |
4.67 |
a. Genetic gain is considered significant when its value is more than twice that of the respective standard deviation.