FAO/GIEWS - Food Outlook No.1 - February 2002 p. 1

BASIC FACTS OF THE WORLD CEREAL SITUATION

	1997/98	1998/99	1999/2000	2000/2001	2001/02 forecast	Change 2001/02 over 2000/2001
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/	(. . . . . . .. .. . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . )					(percentage)
Wheat	613	599	590	583	582	-0.1
Coarse grains	905	914	888	875	902	3.1
Rice, milled	387	389	409	400	395	-1.2
(paddy)	(578)	(581)	(610)	(598)	(591)	-1.2
All cereals (incl. milled rice)	1 903	1 901	1 887	1 858	1 880	1.2
Developing countries	1 006	1 043	1 038	1 000	1 004	0.3
Developed countries	897	858	849	858	876	2.2
WORLD IMPORTS 2/
Wheat	102	99	109	102	106	4.0
Coarse grains	89	97	103	108	106	-2.2
Rice (milled)	28	25	23	23	24	1.8
All cereals	218	220	235	234	236	0.9
Developing countries	160	162	170	172	171	-0.2
Developed countries	59	59	65	62	65	3.9
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/	6.2	11.3	11.2	8.5	9.5	12.2
WORLD UTILIZATION
Wheat	589	593	593	598	608	1.7
Coarse grains	890	898	897	900	918	1.9
Rice (milled)	380	388	400	403	409	1.3
All cereals	1 860	1 878	1 891	1 902	1 935	1.7
Developing countries	1 106	1 133	1 150	1 153	1 171	1.6
Developed countries	754	745	741	748	763	2.0
Per Caput Food Use	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
Developing countries	167	168	168	168	168	0.4
Developed countries	133	133	133	134	134	0.3
WORLD STOCKS 4/	(. . . . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . .. . .. . . . . )
Wheat	251	257	252	237	211	-10.8
Coarse grains	258	269	261	240	224	-6.7
Rice (milled)	153	157	168	165	151	-8.3
All cereals	662	684	681	642	587	-8.6
Developing countries	493	513	519	477	420	-11.9
Developed countries	169	171	162	165	166	0.9
EXPORT PRICES 5/	(. . . . . . . ... . . . . . . US$/tonne . . . . . . . . . .. . . )
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/	316	315	253	207	178	-14.0
Wheat (U.S. No.2 HRW)	142	120	112	128	127 6/	1.0 7/
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow)	112	95	91	86	91 6/	6.3 7/
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 5/
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt	11.7	9.3	13.7	15.0	15.0 6/	-2.0 7/
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/	(. . . . . . . . . ... . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . .. )
Roots & tubers production 1/	388	414	422	431	434	0.7
Cereal production (milled rice) 1/	779	811	813	772	767	-0.7
Per caput production (kg.) 9/	216	221	218	204	200	-1.9
Cereal imports 2/	78.8	73.9	74.6	72.4	74.2	2.4
of which: Food aid	5.5	8.4	7.6	7.4
Proportion of cereal import	(. . . . . . . . .. .. . . . percentage . . . . .. . . . . . . . . )
covered by food aid	7.0	11.4	10.1	10.2

Source: FAO Note: Totals and percentages computed from unrounded data.

1/ Data refer to the calendar year of the first year shown. 2/ July/June except for rice for which the data refer to the calendar year of the second year shown. 3/ July/June shipments. 4/ Stock data are based on aggregate of national carryover levels at the end of national crop years. 5/ July/June. 6/ Average of quotations for July 2001-January 2002. 7/ Change from corresponding period of previous year for which figures are not shown. 8/ Food deficit countries with per caput income below the level used by the World Bank to determine eligibility for IDA assistance (i.e. US$ 1 445 in 1999). 9/Including milled rice.