FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2002 MADAGASCAR 26

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MADAGASCAR

Area:
582 000 sq.km
Climate:
Eastern coast is tropical wet, the rest tropical wet-dry. Rainy season: October-March; tropical cyclones
Population:
16.34 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$260 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Dilapidated roads and lack of spare parts and tyres
Major foodcrops:
Rice, roots, tubers, maize, fruit
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February/March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Harvesting of the 2002 cereal crops, mainly rice, is underway. Overall prospects are satisfactory reflecting generally adequate rains and the absence of significant locust infestation during the growing season. However, production is expected to be reduced in parts. In northeastern coastal areas, affected by a prolonged dry spell in December and January, heavy rains in March may have arrived too late to avoid yield reductions of rice crop. In southeastern parts, below-average rains in March are also likely to have adversely affected maize yields.

Shortages of rice, sugar, salt and other essential non-food items, including fuel, are being experienced in Antananarivo. This reflects disruption of the transport to the capital city as a result of road blockades and destruction of bridges following the current political crisis. Prices of food staples are on the increase and the food supply situation is likely to deteriorate if the crisis is not resolved soon.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

8

2 475

169

2 652

Previous five years average imports

83

100

10

193

2001/02 Domestic Availability

13

1 768

165

1 946

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

10

2 600

160

2 770

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

10

1 768

160

1 938

Possible stock drawdown

3

-

5

8

2001/02 Utilization

93

1 880

178

2 151

Food use

93

1 750

157

2 000

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

2

2

Non-food use

-

130

21

151

Exports or re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

2001/02 Import Requirement

80

112

13

205

Anticipated commercial imports

78

110

10

198

Food aid needs

2

2

3

7

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

2

15

11

29

of which: delivered

2

15

11

29

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

2

2

of which: for local use

-

-

2

2

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

6

107

10

122

Indexes

       

2001 Production as % of average:

     

104

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:

     

106


FAO/GIEWS - April 2002

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