FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2002 NAMIBIA 32

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NAMIBIA

Area:
823 000 sq.km
Climate:
Mostly arid (south-west and coast) or semi-arid. Only north and north-east gets regular rainfall in November-April
Population:
1.92 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$2 050 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Arid to semi-arid country; cereal production mainly in the north
Logistics:
Good road and railway network
Major foodcrops:
Millet, maize, sorghum, wheat
Marketing year:
May/April;
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
48 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Normal to above-normal rains in February and March benefited the developing 2002 cereal crops. However, precipitation arrived too late to avoid yield reductions of maize crop affected by a prolonged dry spell in January and below normal and erratic precipitation from October to December. The area planted to sorghum and maize was reduced due to insufficient rains at planting time. Latest estimates indicate an area planted to cereals of 216 000 hectares, comprising 195 400 hectares of sorghum and 20 600 hectares of maize. This is 20 percent lower than the reduced level of last year. The output is forecast at 82 000 tonnes, 11 percent below the cereal crop of 2001. The already tight food supply of farmers who gathered a reduced harvest last year, and of vulnerable groups is urban areas, is expected to deteriorate in marketing year 2002/2003 (May/April).


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Previous five years average production

5

-

102

107

Previous five years average imports

48

-

95

143

2001/02 Domestic Availability

5

-

118

123

2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)

5

-

102

107

2001 Production (rice in milled terms)

5

-

102

107

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

16

16

2001/02 Utilization

65

-

193

258

Food use

61

-

182

243

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

2

2

Non-food use

3

-

11

14

Exports or re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

1

-

-

1

2001/02 Import Requirement

60

-

75

135

Anticipated commercial imports

60

-

75

135

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

2

2

of which: for local use

-

-

2

2

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

32

-

95

127

Indexes

       

2001 Production as % of average:

     

100

2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:

     

94


FAO/GIEWS - April 2002

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