FAO COMMODITY AND TRADE POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER No. 11

The impact of import surges: country case study results for Senegal and Tanzania

Ramesh Sharma
Commodities and Trade Division, FAO

David Nyange
Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania

Guillaume Duteutre
ISRA-BAME Senegal

Nancy Morgan
Commodities and Trade Division, FAO

January 2005

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ABSTRACT

Measuring the impacts of import surges is a difficult task, but simple case studies illustrate some of the fundamental issues. From the two case studies examined in this paper, it was found that the impacts vary markedly in different settings and for different commodities. Thus, for example, while the negative impact on Senegal’s broiler industry came out clearly, import surges were not an issue in the case of dairy products. This was because dairy imports, although high, had increased steadily over a longer period of time and as a result the local industry had adjusted. In the case of Tanzania, some negative effects were found for the dairy sub-sector but only limited effects on poultry. In both countries, rapid growth in poultry imports also revealed the weaknesses of the domestic processing industry in competing with imported products, particularly in situations where there has been rapid growth in demand for further processed quality products by supermarkets and hotels which the local industry has failed to supply.

CONTENTS

ABSTRACT
RÉSUMÉ
RESUMEN
1 INTRODUCTION
2 THE SENEGAL CASE STUDY
2.1 Import trends and sources – poultry products
2.2 Import trends and sources – dairy products
2.3 Market impact and general observations
3 THE TANZANIA CASE STUDY
3.1 Import trends and sources – poultry products
3.2 Import trends – the dairy sector
Box 1: Perspectives of stakeholders in Senegal and Tanzania
4 ASSESSMENT AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
4.1 Assessment
4.2 Policy implications
FIGURES
TABLES
ANNEX

FAO Commodity and Trade Policy Research Working Papers are published by the Commodities and Trade Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). They are working documents and do not reflect the opinion of FAO or its member governments.

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© FAO 2005