منبر معارف الزراعة الأُسرية

Anthropogenic and atmospheric variability intensifies flash drought episodes in South Asia

Flash droughts are abrupt and rapid intensification of droughts that affect agriculture, water, and ecosystems and are commonplace in South Asia. Despite their potential impact, flash drought evolution characteristics and underlying mechanisms in South Asia remain underexplored. We use a multivariate approach to analyze the onset speed, frequency, severity, duration, and return period of flash droughts, and the role of atmospheric circulation and human-induced climate change. We find that flash droughts are more common and intense in the crop season, especially in central India, western Pakistan, and eastern Afghanistan. They are caused by persistent atmospheric patterns that block moisture transport to South Asia. Additionally, anthropogenic climate change has intensified flash droughts in the spring-summer season, with a median fraction of attributable risk of 60%, 80%, and 90% for Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India, respectively. Our results suggest that flash droughts will expand and worsen in the future, requiring adaptation measures for the water, agriculture, and energy sectors.

Title of publication: Nature Communications: Earth & Environment
المجلد: 5
الإصدار: 267
:
:
:
:
:
:
:
المؤلف: Irfan Ullah
مؤلفين آخرين: Sourav Mukherjee, Sidra Syed, Ashok Kumar Mishra, Brian Odhiambo Ayugi, Saran Aadhar
المنظمة: Hohai University, China
منظمات أخرى: USDA Forest Service, USA, University of Peshawar, Pakistan, Texas A&M University, USA, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Republic of Korea, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), India
السنة: 2024
:
البلد/البلدان: Afghanistan, India, Pakistan
التغطية الجغرافية: آسيا والمحيط الهادي, رابطة التعاون الاقليمى فى جنوب آسيا
النوع: مقال صحفي
النص الكامل متاح على: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01390-y
لغة المحتوى: English
:

شارك بهذه الصفحة