Sudan Seasonal Monitor 2010 #4
, 14/07/2010 - During June 2010 the rainfall belt gradually advanced its position northward,
bringing favourable conditions to agriculture in central parts of the country. Sowing
and planting conditions could be started by mid and late June in central Sudan. See
Page (1) Fig (1.1 and 1.2) and page (2) Fig (2.1, 2.2, 2.3 and 2.4).
· Suitable planting and early crop development conditions have been spread
northwards in late June, but delays have happened particularly in areas of Eastern
parts of the country and in South Kordufan States. See Page (3) Fig (3).
· June is very humid throughout Western and Northern Bahr El Gazal, Western and
central Equatoria, Warab, southern parts of Upper Nile, Blue Nile and southern
parts of Sinnar state with above average rainfall amounts, although There are some
pockets of dryness through southern parts of Jonglei state, northern parts of
Sinnar and Gadarif states and throughout of East Equatoria state. See Page. (4)
Fig. (4)
· Vegetation has significantly developed to average levels in the areas of Unity state,
South Kordufan state, southern Darfur and Western Darfur states, while below
average development was shown in Jonglei, Upper Nile, southern parts of western
Bahr El Ghazal state and southern parts of southern Darfur state. See text for
further detail. See Page 4. Fig (5.1 and 5.2).
· Forecasts for July-August-September rainfall from different sources (SMA, IRI and
ECMWF) have become more consistent. SMA updated its seasonal forecast for the
rainfall of July-August-September (JAS) 2010, see Page (6).Fig (6). According to
this forecast, JAS rainfall is expected to be above average to average throughout
different climatic zones of the country, with a somewhat lower chance of above
average rainfall in the southwest region.
Written by Sudan Meteorological Authority - Federal Ministry of Agriculture