SCENARIOS (contd.)


11-Sep-96
Country: Norway Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2251	2335	2415	2501	0.35	250
	Wood-based panels	m3	594	608	620	633	0.21	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	608	939	1393	2088	4.20	1480
	Fuelwood	m3	925	925	925	925	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2382	2521	2701	2891	0.65	509
	Wood-based panels	m3	610	621	630	640	0.17	31
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2015	2136	2439	2603	0.86	588
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1749	1975	2406	2932	1.74	1182
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	131	187	287	389		259
	Wood-based panels	m3	16	13	10	8		-8
	Woodpulp	m.t.	390	413	472	504		114
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1141	1037	1013	844		-297
	Wood raw material	m3	-685	797	1297	1297		1982
	Waste paper	m.t.	25	25	25	25		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.22	0.28	0.32	0.40
	RECOVERED	m.t.	136	263	446	835	6.24	699
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	1823	1930	2066	2210	0.64	387
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2089	2219	2376	2542	0.66	453
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.15	1.15	1.15	1.15
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		5056	5373	5706	0.57	896
	Smallwood	m3		6575	7879	8244	1.80	3415
	Total derived removals	m3		11631	13252	13950	1.24	4311
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4810	5450	5650	5650	0.54	840
	Smallwood	m3	4829	6950	7700	8300	1.82	3471
	Total removals	m3	9639	12400	13350	13950	1.24	4311
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	394	277	-56
	Smallwood	m3	0	375	-179	56
	Total removals	m3	0	769	98	0
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	801
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1926
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1126

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.06	1.08	1.12	1.16
	Wood-based panels		1.03	1.02	1.02	1.01
	Woodpulp		1.24	1.24	1.24	1.24
	Paper and paperboard		2.88	2.10	1.73	1.40
	Roundwood		0.86	1.04	1.02	1.01
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.63	0.64	0.62
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.55	0.67	0.65	0.62


11-Sep-96
Country: Norway Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2251	2354	2457	2547	0.41	296
	Wood-based panels	m3	594	612	628	642	0.26	48
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	608	1033	1697	2553	4.90	1945
	Fuelwood	m3	925	925	925	925	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2382	2565	2807	3015	0.79	633
	Wood-based panels	m3	610	624	637	648	0.20	38
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2015	2183	2600	2754	1.05	739
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1749	2040	2635	3242	2.08	1492
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	131	211	351	468		337
	Wood-based panels	m3	16	12	9	6		-9
	Woodpulp	m.t.	390	422	503	533		143
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1141	1007	938	688		-453
	Wood raw material	m3	-685	797	1297	1297		1982
	Waste paper	m.t.	25	25	25	25		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.22	0.28	0.32	0.40
	RECOVERED	m.t.	136	289	543	1021	6.95	885
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	1823	1963	2147	2304	0.78	481
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2089	2257	2469	2650	0.80	561
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.15	1.15	1.15	1.15
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		5133	5559	5924	0.70	1114
	Smallwood	m3		6688	8304	8617	1.95	3788
	Total derived removals	m3		11821	13863	14542	1.38	4903
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4810	5450	5650	5650	0.54	840
	Smallwood	m3	4829	6950	7700	8300	1.82	3471
	Total removals	m3	9639	12400	13350	13950	1.24	4311
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	317	91	-274
	Smallwood	m3	0	262	-604	-317
	Total removals	m3	0	579	-513	-592
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	801
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1926
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1126

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.06	1.09	1.14	1.18
	Wood-based panels		1.03	1.02	1.01	1.01
	Woodpulp		1.24	1.24	1.24	1.24
	Paper and paperboard		2.88	1.97	1.55	1.27
	Roundwood		0.86	1.02	0.98	0.97
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.64	0.67	0.65
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.55	0.67	0.65	0.62


11-Sep-96
Country: Poland Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	3730	5000	5500	6600	1.92	2870
	Wood-based panels	m3	1370	2102	2372	2873	2.50	1502
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1104	1500	2000	2650	2.96	1546
	Fuelwood	m3	2345	2400	2450	2470	0.17	125
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	3985	5212	5712	6912	1.85	2927
	Wood-based panels	m3	1582	2131	2521	2906	2.05	1323
	Woodpulp	m.t.	717	922	1190	1508	2.51	791
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1179	1575	2075	2725	2.83	1546
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	255	212	212	312		57
	Wood-based panels	m3	212	29	149	33		-179
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-89	-114	-147	-186		-98
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	75	75	75	75		0
	Roundwood	m3	606	-2500	-3500	-6000		-6606
	Waste paper	m.t.	-10	-10	-10	-10		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.45	0.47	0.48	0.50
	RECOVERED	m.t.	495	705	960	1325	3.34	830
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2082	2694	2947	3544	1.79	1463
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	652	808	1032	1595	3.03	943
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.31	0.30	0.35	0.45
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		10802	11576	11893	0.43	1424
	Smallwood	m3		12399	12145	12243	-0.11	-430
	Total derived removals	m3		23201	23722	24137	0.14	995
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	10469	10791	11212	11630	0.35	1161
	Smallwood	m3	12673	12082	12139	12152	-0.14	-521
	Total removals	m3	23142	22873	23351	23782	0.09	640
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-11	-364	-263
	Smallwood	m3	0	-317	-6	-91
	Total removals	m3	0	-328	-371	-355
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4232
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5933

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.07	1.04	1.04	1.05
	Wood-based panels		1.15	1.01	1.06	1.01
	Woodpulp		0.89	0.89	0.89	0.89
	Paper and paperboard		1.07	1.05	1.04	1.03
	Roundwood		1.39	1.16	1.10	0.98
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.93	0.97	1.02
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.90	0.91	0.96	1.00


11-Sep-96
Country: Poland Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	3730	5000	5500	6600	1.92	2870
	Wood-based panels	m3	1370	2102	2372	2873	2.50	1502
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1104	1500	2000	2650	2.96	1546
	Fuelwood	m3	2345	2400	2450	2470	0.17	125
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	3985	5212	5712	6912	1.85	2927
	Wood-based panels	m3	1582	2131	2521	2906	2.05	1323
	Woodpulp	m.t.	717	922	1190	1508	2.51	791
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1179	1575	2075	2725	2.83	1546
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	255	212	212	312		57
	Wood-based panels	m3	212	29	149	33		-179
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-89	-114	-147	-186		-98
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	75	75	75	75		0
	Roundwood	m3	606	-2500	-3500	-6000		-6606
	Waste paper	m.t.	-10	-10	-10	-10		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.45	0.47	0.48	0.50
	RECOVERED	m.t.	495	705	960	1325	3.34	830
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2082	2694	2947	3544	1.79	1463
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	652	808	1032	1595	3.03	943
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.31	0.30	0.35	0.45
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		10802	11576	11893	0.43	1424
	Smallwood	m3		12399	12145	12243	-0.11	-430
	Total derived removals	m3		23201	23722	24137	0.14	995
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	10469	10791	11212	11630	0.35	1161
	Smallwood	m3	12673	12082	12139	12152	-0.14	-521
	Total removals	m3	23142	22873	23351	23782	0.09	640
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-11	-364	-263
	Smallwood	m3	0	-317	-6	-91
	Total removals	m3	0	-328	-371	-355
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4232
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5933

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.07	1.04	1.04	1.05
	Wood-based panels		1.15	1.01	1.06	1.01
	Woodpulp		0.89	0.89	0.89	0.89
	Paper and paperboard		1.07	1.05	1.04	1.03
	Roundwood		1.39	1.16	1.10	0.98
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.93	0.97	1.02
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.90	0.91	0.96	1.00


11-Sep-96
Country: Portugal Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	797	856	923	987	0.72	191
	Wood-based panels	m3	506	603	722	844	1.72	338
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	764	990	1288	1617	2.53	854
	Fuelwood	m3	498	498	498	498	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1798	1882	1974	2060	0.46	263
	Wood-based panels	m3	1018	1217	1461	1711	1.75	693
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1516	1597	1673	1509	-0.01	-6
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	798	1046	1375	1739	2.63	941
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1025	1026	1051	1073		48
	Wood-based panels	m3	513	615	739	867		354
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1000	931	837	503		-497
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	29	56	86	121		92
	Wood raw material	m3	-172	-444	-444	-444		-273
	Waste paper	m.t.	-26.3	-26.3	-26.3	-26.3		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.40	0.42	0.46	0.50
	RECOVERED	m.t.	303	416	593	809	3.32	505
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	1399	1461	1529	1592	0.43	192
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	1711	1753	1835	1910	0.37	199
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.22	1.20	1.20	1.20
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		3210	3371	3520	0.46	456
	Smallwood	m3		5310	5952	5533	0.37	582
	Total derived removals	m3		8520	9323	9053	0.41	1038
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	3064	2955	3199	3199	0.14	135
	Smallwood	m3	4951	6087	6196	6196	0.75	1245
	Total removals	m3	8015	9042	9395	9395	0.53	1380
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-255	-172	-321
	Smallwood	m3	0	777	244	663
	Total removals	m3	0	522	72	342
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	345
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2520
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2175

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		2.26	2.20	2.14	2.09
	Wood-based panels		2.01	2.02	2.02	2.03
	Woodpulp		2.94	2.40	2.00	1.50
	Paper and paperboard		1.05	1.06	1.07	1.08
	Roundwood		0.77	0.81	0.78	0.80
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.86	0.88	0.82
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.83	0.91	0.89	0.85


11-Sep-96
Country: Portugal Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	797	865	944	1010	0.79	213
	Wood-based panels	m3	506	618	760	889	1.90	383
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	764	1027	1387	1742	2.79	978
	Fuelwood	m3	498	498	498	498	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1798	1894	2002	2090	0.50	293
	Wood-based panels	m3	1018	1249	1539	1802	1.92	784
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1516	1663	1814	1635	0.25	120
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	798	1087	1484	1877	2.89	1079
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1025	1029	1058	1080		55
	Wood-based panels	m3	513	631	779	914		401
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1000	970	907	545		-455
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	29	60	97	135		106
	Wood raw material	m3	-172	-444	-444	-444		-273
	Waste paper	m.t.	-26.3	-26.3	-26.3	-26.3		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.40	0.42	0.46	0.50
	RECOVERED	m.t.	303	431	638	871	3.58	568
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	1399	1470	1549	1613	0.48	214
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	1711	1764	1859	1936	0.41	225
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.22	1.20	1.20	1.20
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		3232	3419	3572	0.51	508
	Smallwood	m3		5645	6678	6215	0.76	1264
	Total derived removals	m3		8877	10097	9787	0.67	1772
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	3064	2955	3199	3199	0.14	135
	Smallwood	m3	4951	6087	6196	6196	0.75	1245
	Total removals	m3	8015	9042	9395	9395	0.53	1380
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-277	-220	-373
	Smallwood	m3	0	442	-482	-19
	Total removals	m3	0	165	-702	-392
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	345
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2520
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2175

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		2.26	2.19	2.12	2.07
	Wood-based panels		2.01	2.02	2.03	2.03
	Woodpulp		2.94	2.40	2.00	1.50
	Paper and paperboard		1.05	1.06	1.07	1.08
	Roundwood		0.77	0.78	0.74	0.75
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.89	0.95	0.89
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.83	0.91	0.89	0.85


12-Sep-96
Country: Romania Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2535	1780	2170	2890	0.44	355
	Wood-based panels	m3	1055	751	894	1126	0.22	71
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	526	375	460	610	0.49	84
	Fuelwood	m3	1500	2500	3000	3000	2.34	1500
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2607	1852	2242	2962	0.43	355
	Wood-based panels	m3	1182	878	1021	1253	0.19	71
	Woodpulp	m.t.	495	366	438	567	0.45	71
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	569	417	502	652	0.46	84
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	72	72	72	72		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	127	127	127	127		0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-37	-28	-33	-43		-5
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	42	42	42		0
	Wood raw material	m3	-44	-44	-44	-44		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.23	0.23	0.23	0.23
	RECOVERED	m.t.	121	86	106	140	0.49	19
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2014	1495	1766	2269	0.40	255
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	405	374	530	794	2.27	389
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.20	0.25	0.30	0.35
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		5349	6022	7273	0.30	628
	Smallwood	m3		7366	8359	9183	0.64	1600
	Total derived removals	m3		12715	14381	16456	0.49	2228
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	6645	6645	6645	6645	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3	7583	7583	7583	7583	0.00	0
	Total removals	m3	14228	14228	14228	14228	0.00	0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1296	623	-628
	Smallwood	m3	0	217	-776	-1600
	Total removals	m3	0	1513	-153	-2228
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	1873
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2246
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-373

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.03	1.04	1.03	1.02
	Wood-based panels		1.12	1.17	1.14	1.11
	Woodpulp		0.93	0.93	0.93	0.93
	Paper and paperboard		1.08	1.11	1.09	1.07
	Roundwood		0.97	1.08	0.96	0.84
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.47	0.54	0.61
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.53	0.53	0.53	0.53


11-Sep-96
Country: Romania Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2535	1780	2170	2890	0.44	355
	Wood-based panels	m3	1055	751	894	1126	0.22	71
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	526	375	460	610	0.49	84
	Fuelwood	m3	1500	2500	3000	3000	2.34	1500
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2607	1852	2242	2962	0.43	355
	Wood-based panels	m3	1182	878	1021	1253	0.19	71
	Woodpulp	m.t.	495	366	438	567	0.45	71
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	569	417	502	652	0.46	84
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	72	72	72	72		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	127	127	127	127		0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-37	-28	-33	-43		-5
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	42	42	42		0
	Wood raw material	m3	-44	-44	-44	-44		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.23	0.23	0.23	0.23
	RECOVERED	m.t.	121	86	106	140	0.49	19
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2014	1495	1766	2269	0.40	255
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	405	374	530	794	2.27	389
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.20	0.25	0.30	0.35
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		5349	6022	7273	0.30	628
	Smallwood	m3		7366	8359	9183	0.64	1600
	Total derived removals	m3		12715	14381	16456	0.49	2228
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	6645	6645	6645	6645	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3	7583	7583	7583	7583	0.00	0
	Total removals	m3	14228	14228	14228	14228	0.00	0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1296	623	-628
	Smallwood	m3	0	217	-776	-1600
	Total removals	m3	0	1513	-153	-2228
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	1873
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2246
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-373

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.03	1.04	1.03	1.02
	Wood-based panels		1.12	1.17	1.14	1.11
	Woodpulp		0.93	0.93	0.93	0.93
	Paper and paperboard		1.08	1.11	1.09	1.07
	Roundwood		0.97	1.08	0.96	0.84
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.47	0.54	0.61
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.53	0.53	0.53	0.53


12-Sep-96
Country: Slovakia Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	835	835	835	870	0.14	35
	Wood-based panels	m3	272	260	269	280	0.10	8
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	234	272	303	382	1.65	148
	Fuelwood	m3	600	600	600	600	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1025	1025	1025	1025	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	270	270	270	270	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	440	440	440	440	0.00	0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	236	236	236	236	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	190	190	190	155		-35
	Wood-based panels	m3	-2	10	1	-10		-8
	Woodpulp	m.t.	40	40	40	40		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2	-36	-67	-146		-148
	Roundwood	m3	63	63	63	63		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	806	806	806	806	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	600	604	629	645	0.24	45
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.74	0.75	0.78	0.80
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		2240	2240	2240	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		2456	2431	2415	-0.06	-45
	Total derived removals	m3		4696	4671	4655	-0.03	-45
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	2240	2089	2174	2405	0.24	165
	Smallwood	m3	2460	2465	2506	2824	0.46	364
	Total removals	m3	4700	4554	4680	5229	0.36	529
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-151	-66	165
	Smallwood	m3	0	9	75	409
	Total removals	m3	0	-142	9	574
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	418
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	52
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	470

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.23	1.23	1.23	1.18
	Wood-based panels		0.99	1.04	1.00	0.96
	Woodpulp		1.10	1.10	1.10	1.10
	Paper and paperboard		1.01	0.87	0.78	0.62
	Roundwood		1.13	1.09	1.13	1.27
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.49	0.50	0.53
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.49	0.48	0.50	0.59


11-Sep-96
Country: Slovakia Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	835	835	835	870	0.14	35
	Wood-based panels	m3	272	260	269	280	0.10	8
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	234	272	303	382	1.65	148
	Fuelwood	m3	600	600	600	600	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1025	1025	1025	1025	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	270	270	270	270	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	440	440	440	440	0.00	0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	236	236	236	236	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	190	190	190	155		-35
	Wood-based panels	m3	-2	10	1	-10		-8
	Woodpulp	m.t.	40	40	40	40		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2	-36	-67	-146		-148
	Roundwood	m3	63	63	63	63		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	806	806	806	806	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	600	604	629	645	0.24	45
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.74	0.75	0.78	0.80
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		2240	2240	2240	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		2456	2431	2415	-0.06	-45
	Total derived removals	m3		4696	4671	4655	-0.03	-45
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	2240	2089	2174	2405	0.24	165
	Smallwood	m3	2460	2465	2506	2824	0.46	364
	Total removals	m3	4700	4554	4680	5229	0.36	529
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-151	-66	165
	Smallwood	m3	0	9	75	409
	Total removals	m3	0	-142	9	574
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	418
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	52
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	470

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.23	1.23	1.23	1.18
	Wood-based panels		0.99	1.04	1.00	0.96
	Woodpulp		1.10	1.10	1.10	1.10
	Paper and paperboard		1.01	0.87	0.78	0.62
	Roundwood		1.13	1.09	1.13	1.27
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.49	0.50	0.53
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.49	0.48	0.50	0.59


11-Sep-96
Country: Slovenia Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	737	753	791	831	0.40	94
	Wood-based panels	m3	396	410	426	442	0.37	46
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	184	178	208	237	0.85	53
	Fuelwood	m3	194	200	200	200	0.10	6
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	848	848	848	848	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	419	419	419	419	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	220	220	207	195	-0.39	-24
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	334	334	334	334	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	111	95	57	17		-94
	Wood-based panels	m3	23	9	-7	-23		-46
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-103	-103	-98	-92		12
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	150	156	126	97		-53
	Roundwood	m3	-71	-71	-71	-71		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	-90	-90	-90	-90		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.42	0.44	0.46	0.48
	RECOVERED	m.t.	78	78	96	114	1.27	36
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	682	682	682	682	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	150	170	191	205	1.04	55
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.22	0.25	0.28	0.30
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		1119	1119	1119	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		1799	1731	1669	-0.28	-145
	Total derived removals	m3		2918	2850	2788	-0.17	-145
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	1119	1216	1311	1410	0.77	291
	Smallwood	m3	1814	1971	2125	2286	0.77	472
	Total removals	m3	2933	3187	3436	3696	0.77	763
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	97	192	291
	Smallwood	m3	0	172	394	617
	Total removals	m3	0	269	586	908
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-605
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	439
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-166

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.15	1.13	1.07	1.02
	Wood-based panels		1.06	1.02	0.98	0.95
	Woodpulp		0.68	0.68	0.68	0.68
	Paper and paperboard		1.82	1.88	1.60	1.41
	Roundwood		0.93	1.01	1.11	1.22
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.65	0.59	0.53
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.69	0.71	0.71	0.71


11-Sep-96
Country: Slovenia Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	737	753	791	831	0.40	94
	Wood-based panels	m3	396	410	426	442	0.37	46
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	184	178	208	237	0.85	53
	Fuelwood	m3	194	200	200	200	0.10	6
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	848	848	848	848	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	419	419	419	419	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	220	220	207	195	-0.39	-24
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	334	334	334	334	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	111	95	57	17		-94
	Wood-based panels	m3	23	9	-7	-23		-46
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-103	-103	-98	-92		12
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	150	156	126	97		-53
	Roundwood	m3	-71	-71	-71	-71		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	-90	-90	-90	-90		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.42	0.44	0.46	0.48
	RECOVERED	m.t.	78	78	96	114	1.27	36
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	682	682	682	682	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	150	170	191	205	1.04	55
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.22	0.25	0.28	0.30
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		1119	1119	1119	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		1799	1731	1669	-0.28	-145
	Total derived removals	m3		2918	2850	2788	-0.17	-145
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	1119	1216	1311	1410	0.77	291
	Smallwood	m3	1814	1971	2125	2286	0.77	472
	Total removals	m3	2933	3187	3436	3696	0.77	763
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	97	192	291
	Smallwood	m3	0	172	394	617
	Total removals	m3	0	269	586	908
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-605
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	439
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-166

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		1.15	1.13	1.07	1.02
	Wood-based panels		1.06	1.02	0.98	0.95
	Woodpulp		0.68	0.68	0.68	0.68
	Paper and paperboard		1.82	1.88	1.60	1.41
	Roundwood		0.93	1.01	1.11	1.22
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.65	0.59	0.53
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.69	0.71	0.71	0.71


11-Sep-96
Country: Spain Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	4654	4988	5457	5878	0.78	1224
	Wood-based panels	m3	2421	2645	2944	3206	0.94	785
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4313	5786	8030	10373	2.97	6060
	Fuelwood	m3	2833	2917	3063	3216	0.42	383
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2963	3025	3131	3213	0.27	250
	Wood-based panels	m3	2290	2471	2708	2917	0.81	627
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1494	1665	2344	2843	2.17	1349
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3465	4254	5896	7620	2.66	4155
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-1692	-1963	-2327	-2665		-973
	Wood-based panels	m3	-131	-175	-236	-289		-159
	Woodpulp	m.t.	206	230	323	392		186
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-848	-1532	-2134	-2753		-1905
	Wood raw material	m3	-2342	-2342	-2342	-2342		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	-507.7	-507.7	-507.7	-507.7		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.39	0.40	0.42	0.45
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1672	2314	3373	4668	3.48	2996
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2847	2751	2754	2751	-0.11	-96
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	1285	1430	1542	1651	0.84	366
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.45	0.52	0.56	0.60
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		3610	3707	3778	0.10	111
	Smallwood	m3		12163	14672	17195	1.42	5943
	Total derived removals	m3		15773	18379	20972	1.14	6053
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	3667	4316	4658	5003	1.04	1336
	Smallwood	m3	11252	11500	14203	15256	1.02	4004
	Total removals	m3	14919	15816	18861	20259	1.03	5340
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	706	951	1225
	Smallwood	m3	0	-663	-469	-1939
	Total removals	m3	0	43	482	-713
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1008
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-286
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1294

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.64	0.61	0.57	0.55
	Wood-based panels		0.95	0.93	0.92	0.91
	Woodpulp		1.16	1.16	1.16	1.16
	Paper and paperboard		0.80	0.74	0.73	0.73
	Roundwood		0.81	0.82	0.86	0.83
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.64	0.66	0.70
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.63	0.64	0.68	0.67


11-Sep-96
Country: Spain Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	4654	5103	5800	6430	1.08	1776
	Wood-based panels	m3	2421	2714	3143	3518	1.25	1097
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4313	6218	9635	13420	3.86	9107
	Fuelwood	m3	2833	2917	3063	3216	0.42	383
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2963	3065	3234	3362	0.42	399
	Wood-based panels	m3	2290	2523	2856	3146	1.06	856
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1494	1395	2305	2971	2.32	1477
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3465	4260	6744	9510	3.42	6045
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-1692	-2038	-2565	-3068		-1376
	Wood-based panels	m3	-131	-191	-286	-372		-241
	Woodpulp	m.t.	206	127	110	0		-206
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-848	-1958	-2891	-3910		-3062
	Roundwood	m3	-2342	-2342	-2342	-3138		-796
	Waste paper	m.t.	-507.7	-507.7	-507.7	-507.7		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.39	0.40	0.42	0.45
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1672	2487	4047	6039	4.37	4367
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2847	2804	2887	2936	0.10	90
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	1285	1458	1617	1762	1.06	477
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.45	0.52	0.56	0.60
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		3706	3949	4118	0.39	451
	Smallwood	m3		11065	14660	17188	1.42	5936
	Total derived removals	m3		14770	18609	21306	1.19	6387
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	3667	4316	4658	5003	1.04	1336
	Smallwood	m3	11252	11500	14203	15256	1.02	4004
	Total removals	m3	14919	15816	18861	20259	1.03	5340
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	610	709	885
	Smallwood	m3	0	435	-457	-1932
	Total removals	m3	0	1046	252	-1047
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1008
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-286
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1294

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.64	0.60	0.56	0.52
	Wood-based panels		0.95	0.93	0.91	0.89
	Woodpulp		1.16	1.10	1.05	1.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.80	0.69	0.70	0.71
	Roundwood		0.81	0.87	0.86	0.79
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.60	0.67	0.71
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.63	0.64	0.68	0.67


11-Sep-96
Country: Sweden Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	4802	4922	5254	5609	0.52	807
	Wood-based panels	m3	1256	1283	1356	1436	0.45	180
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2104	2192	2445	2735	0.88	631
	Fuelwood	m3	5000	7100	8000	8900	1.94	3900
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	11645	11936	12474	13034	0.38	1389
	Wood-based panels	m3	1158	1180	1238	1302	0.39	144
	Woodpulp	m.t.	9995	10384	11385	12365	0.71	2370
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	8333	9184	10441	11732	1.15	3399
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	6835	7014	7221	7425		590
	Wood-based panels	m3	-98	-103	-118	-134		-37
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2646	2635	2760	2854		208
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	6229	6992	7996	8996		2768
	Wood raw material	m3	-4673	-6364	-8164	-9664		-4991
	Waste paper	m.t.	-123.3	-500	-750	-1000		-877
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.42	0.44	0.45	0.46
	RECOVERED	m.t.	888	964	1100	1258	1.17	371
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	11725	12016	12554	13114	0.37	1389
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	9159	9613	10169	10754	0.54	1595
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.78	0.80	0.81	0.82
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		25682	26758	27878	0.35	2778
	Smallwood	m3		32328	34928	37723	0.68	6923
	Total derived removals	m3		58010	61687	65601	0.53	9701
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	25100	25400	26500	27500	0.30	2400
	Smallwood	m3	30800	32500	35000	38000	0.70	7200
	Total removals	m3	55900	57900	61500	65500	0.53	9600
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-282	-258	-378
	Smallwood	m3	0	172	72	277
	Total removals	m3	0	-110	-187	-101
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	1816
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1915
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-99

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		2.42	2.42	2.37	2.32
	Wood-based panels		0.92	0.92	0.91	0.91
	Woodpulp		1.36	1.34	1.32	1.30
	Paper and paperboard		3.96	4.19	4.27	4.29
	Roundwood		0.93	0.91	0.89	0.88
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.75	0.73	0.77
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.72	0.75	0.73	0.76


11-Sep-96
Country: Sweden Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	4802	5002	5517	6088	0.79	1286
	Wood-based panels	m3	1256	1300	1415	1544	0.69	288
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2104	2251	2657	3156	1.36	1051
	Fuelwood	m3	5000	7100	8000	8900	1.94	3900
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	11645	12081	12872	13690	0.54	2045
	Wood-based panels	m3	1158	1194	1285	1388	0.60	230
	Woodpulp	m.t.	9995	10447	11983	13414	0.99	3419
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	8333	9257	10988	12729	1.42	4395
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	6835	7079	7355	7602		767
	Wood-based panels	m3	-98	-107	-130	-156		-59
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2646	2651	2905	3096		450
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	6229	7005	8331	9573		3344
	Wood raw material	m3	-4673	-6364	-9170	-10670		-5997
	Waste paper	m.t.	-123.3	-500	-750	-1000		-877
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.42	0.44	0.45	0.46
	RECOVERED	m.t.	888	991	1196	1452	1.65	564
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	11725	12161	12951	13770	0.54	2045
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	9159	9729	10491	11291	0.70	2132
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.78	0.80	0.81	0.82
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		25972	27047	28684	0.45	3584
	Smallwood	m3		32482	36546	40970	0.96	10170
	Total derived removals	m3		58454	63592	69653	0.74	13753
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	25100	25900	26500	28500	0.42	3400
	Smallwood	m3	30800	32500	37500	41000	0.96	10200
	Total removals	m3	55900	58400	64000	69500	0.73	13600
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-72	-547	-184
	Smallwood	m3	0	18	954	30
	Total removals	m3	0	-54	408	-153
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	1816
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1915
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-99
RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		2.42	2.42	2.33	2.25
	Wood-based panels		0.92	0.92	0.91	0.90
	Woodpulp		1.36	1.34	1.32	1.30
	Paper and paperboard		3.96	4.11	4.14	4.03
	Roundwood		0.93	0.91	0.89	0.88
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.75	0.75	0.81
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.72	0.75	0.76	0.81