SCENARIOS (contd.)


11-Sep-96
Country: Ireland Scenario:BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	575	618	659	705	0.68	130
	Wood-based panels	m3	236	311	396	509	2.59	273
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	373	567	812	1168	3.87	794
	Fuelwood	m3	43	43	43	43	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	355	374	391	409	0.48	55
	Wood-based panels	m3	240	346	472	646	3.35	405
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	35	55	82	121	4.27	87
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-249	-244	-268	-296		-47
	Wood-based panels	m3	4	36	77	136		132
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-15	-3	1	-6		9
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-334	-512	-730	-1046		-712
	Wood raw material	m3	428	571	1074	1074		646
	Waste paper	m.t.	25	40	80	165		140
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.16	0.20	0.24	0.28
	RECOVERED	m.t.	58	113	195	327	5.93	269
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	269	283	296	310	0.47	41
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	333	332	347	363	0.28	29
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.24	1.17	1.17	1.17
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		835	1165	1197	2.01	539
	Smallwood	m3		732	1139	1424	3.24	877
	Total derived removals	m3		1566	2303	2621	2.62	1416
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	658	1674	1844	1844	3.49	1186
	Smallwood	m3	547	1077	1533	1533	3.49	986
	Total removals	m3	1205	2751	3377	3377	3.49	2172
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	839	679	647
	Smallwood	m3	0	345	394	109
	Total removals	m3	0	1185	1074	756
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-27
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	64
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	37

RATIOS	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.62	0.60	0.59	0.58
	Wood-based panels		1.02	1.12	1.19	1.27
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.09	0.10	0.10	0.10
	Roundwood		1.36	2.48	2.52	2.04
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.42	0.55	0.54
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.41	0.74	0.81	0.69


11-Sep-96
Country: Ireland Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	575	624	673	721	0.76	146
	Wood-based panels	m3	236	322	428	552	2.87	316
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	373	599	909	1309	4.27	936
	Fuelwood	m3	43	43	43	43	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	355	376	397	415	0.53	61
	Wood-based panels	m3	240	364	521	712	3.69	472
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	35	59	93	137	4.70	103
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-249	-248	-276	-306		-56
	Wood-based panels	m3	4	41	93	160		156
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-15	-1	10	11		26
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-334	-541	-816	-1172		-838
	Wood raw material	m3	428	571	1074	1074		646
	Waste paper	m.t.	25	40	80	165		140
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.16	0.20	0.24	0.28
	RECOVERED	m.t.	58	120	218	367	6.34	309
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	269	285	301	315	0.52	46
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	333	334	352	368	0.33	35
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.24	1.17	1.17	1.17
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		839	1175	1207	2.04	549
	Smallwood	m3		759	1218	1536	3.50	989
	Total derived removals	m3		1598	2393	2743	2.78	1538
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	658	1674	1844	1844	3.49	1186
	Smallwood	m3	547	1077	1533	1533	3.49	986
	Total removals	m3	1205	2751	3377	3377	3.49	2172
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	835	669	637
	Smallwood	m3	0	318	315	-3
	Total removals	m3	0	1153	984	634
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-27
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	64
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	37

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.62	0.60	0.59	0.58
	Wood-based panels		1.02	1.13	1.22	1.29
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.09	0.10	0.10	0.10
	Roundwood		1.36	2.41	2.36	1.90
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.43	0.58	0.56
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.41	0.74	0.81	0.69


11-Sep-96
Country: Israel Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	418	462	511	564	1.01	146
	Wood-based panels	m3	147	162	180	198	1.01	51
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	410	453	501	553	1.01	143
	Fuelwood	m3	13	14	16	18	1.01	5
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	177	177	177	177	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	192	192	192	192	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-418	-462	-511	-564		-146
	Wood-based panels	m3	30	15	-3	-21		-51
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-76	-53	-26	0		76
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-218	-261	-309	-361		-143
	Roundwood	m3	-2	-2	-2	-2		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.05	0.10	0.15
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	23	50	83		83
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	206	206	206	206	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20	31	41	52	3.20	32
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.10	0.15	0.20	0.25
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		36	36	36	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		67	59	50	-1.43	-27
	Total derived removals	m3		103	95	86	-0.90	-27
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	36	36	36	36	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3	77	77	77	77	0.00	0
	Total removals	m3	113	113	113	113	0.00	0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0
	Smallwood	m3	0	10	18	27
	Total removals	m3	0	10	18	27
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-277
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-18
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-295

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Wood-based panels		1.20	1.09	0.99	0.89
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.47	0.42	0.38	0.35
	Roundwood		0.28	0.28	0.29	0.30
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.41	0.38	0.34
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45


11-Sep-96
Country: Israel Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	418	462	511	564	1.01	146
	Wood-based panels	m3	147	162	180	198	1.01	51
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	410	453	501	553	1.01	143
	Fuelwood	m3	13	14	16	18	1.01	5
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	177	177	177	177	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	192	192	192	192	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-418	-462	-511	-564		-146
	Wood-based panels	m3	30	15	-3	-21		-51
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-76	-53	-26	0		76
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-218	-261	-309	-361		-143
	Roundwood	m3	-2	-2	-2	-2		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.05	0.10	0.15
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	23	50	83		83
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	206	206	206	206	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20	31	41	52	3.20	32
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.10	0.15	0.20	0.25
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		36	36	36	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		67	59	50	-1.43	-27
	Total derived removals	m3		103	95	86	-0.90	-27
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	36	36	36	36	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3	77	77	77	77	0.00	0
	Total removals	m3	113	113	113	113	0.00	0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0
	Smallwood	m3	0	10	18	27
	Total removals	m3	0	10	18	27
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-277
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-18
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-295

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Wood-based panels		1.20	1.09	0.99	0.89
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.47	0.42	0.38	0.35
	Roundwood		0.28	0.28	0.29	0.30
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.41	0.38	0.34
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45


10-Sep-96
Country: Italy Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	7727	8363	9223	10052	0.88	2325
	Wood-based panels	m3	4655	5342	6331	7353	1.54	2699
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	6986	8460	10663	13021	2.10	6035
	Fuelwood	m3	4479	4479	4479	4479	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1891	1997	2133	2258	0.59	366
	Wood-based panels	m3	4132	4680	5468	6277	1.40	2144
	Woodpulp	m.t.	598	533	546	484	-0.71	-114
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	5699	6530	8122	9779	1.82	4080
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-5828	-6366	-7090	-7794		-1966
	Wood-based panels	m3	-522	-662	-863	-1077		-555
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-2121	-2132	-2488	-2742		-621
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-1288	-1930	-2541	-3242		-1955
	Wood raw material	m3	-6275	-6275	-7322	-7850		-1576
	Waste paper	m.t.	-783	-783	-783	-783		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.27	0.32	0.36	0.40
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1869	2707	3839	5208	3.48	3340
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2859	3006	3201	3384	0.56	525
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	539	842	1120	1354	3.12	815
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.19	0.28	0.35	0.40
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		2277	2095	2453	0.71	467
	Smallwood	m3		5519	5857	6015	0.44	745
	Total derived removals	m3		7795	7952	8468	0.52	1212
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	1986	1990	1800	2085	0.16	99
	Smallwood	m3	5270	5510	5650	5715	0.27	445
	Total removals	m3	7256	7500	7450	7800	0.24	544
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-287	-295	-368
	Smallwood	m3	0	-9	-207	-300
	Total removals	m3	0	-295	-502	-668
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-673
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-3066
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-3740

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.24	0.24	0.23	0.22
	Wood-based panels		0.89	0.88	0.86	0.85
	Woodpulp		0.22	0.20	0.18	0.15
	Paper and paperboard		0.82	0.77	0.76	0.75
	Roundwood		0.43	0.43	0.40	0.41
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.67	0.67	0.71
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.63	0.65	0.63	0.65


11-Sep-96
Country: Italy Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	7727	8619	9984	11297	1.27	3570
	Wood-based panels	m3	4655	5620	7238	8951	2.20	4296
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	6986	9083	12790	16878	2.98	9892
	Fuelwood	m3	4479	4479	4479	4479	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1891	2038	2248	2435	0.85	543
	Wood-based panels	m3	4132	4907	6204	7563	2.04	3431
	Woodpulp	m.t.	598	495	576	535	-0.38	-64
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	5699	6541	9112	11774	2.45	6075
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-5828	-6580	-7736	-8863		-3034
	Wood-based panels	m3	-522	-713	-1034	-1388		-865
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-2121	-1980	-2625	-3029		-908
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-1288	-2543	-3679	-5104		-3817
	Wood raw material	m3	-6275	-6275	-7322	-7850		-1576
	Waste paper	m.t.	-783	-783	-783	-783		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.27	0.32	0.36	0.40
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1869	2907	4605	6751	4.37	4883
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	2859	3065	3370	3652	0.82	793
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	539	858	1179	1461	3.38	922
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.19	0.28	0.35	0.40
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		2392	2425	2973	1.35	987
	Smallwood	m3		5701	6879	7799	1.32	2529
	Total derived removals	m3		8093	9304	10772	1.33	3516
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	1986	1990	1800	2085	0.16	99
	Smallwood	m3	5270	5510	5650	5715	0.27	445
	Total removals	m3	7256	7500	7450	7800	0.24	544
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-402	-625	-888
	Smallwood	m3	0	-191	-1229	-2084
	Total removals	m3	0	-593	-1854	-2972
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-673
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-3066
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-3740

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.24	0.24	0.23	0.22
	Wood-based panels		0.89	0.87	0.86	0.84
	Woodpulp		0.22	0.20	0.18	0.15
	Paper and paperboard		0.82	0.72	0.71	0.70
	Roundwood		0.43	0.43	0.37	0.37
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.70	0.78	0.90
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.63	0.65	0.63	0.65


11-Sep-96
Country: Latvia Scenario:BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	148	200	250	300	2.38	152
	Wood-based panels	m3	75	99	131	147	2.27	72
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	96	115	144	193	2.36	97
	Fuelwood	m3	1610	2000	2500	3000	2.10	1390
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	790	1060	1180	1300	1.67	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	310	350	395	395	0.81	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	45	36	71	118	3.24	72
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	107	100	150	200	2.09	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	642	860	930	1000		358
	Wood-based panels	m3	235	252	265	248		13
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-65	-44	-47	-29		36
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	11	-15	6	7		-4
	Roundwood	m3	1050	1050	1050	1050		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.20	0.25	0.30
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	23	36	58		58
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	721	989	1079	1169	1.62	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	100	198	324	468	5.28	368
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.14	0.20	0.30	0.40
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		2673	2883	3093	1.30	993
	Smallwood	m3		3156	3761	4318	1.34	1422
	Total derived removals	m3		5829	6644	7410	1.32	2414
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	2100	2500	2800	3000	1.20	900
	Smallwood	m3	2896	3500	4200	4600	1.55	1704
	Total removals	m3	4996	6000	7000	7600	1.41	2604
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-173	-83	-93
	Smallwood	m3	0	344	439	282
	Total removals	m3	0	171	356	190
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	419
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-111
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	308

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		5.34	5.30	4.72	4.33
	Wood-based panels		4.13	3.55	3.03	2.69
	Woodpulp		0.41	0.45	0.60	0.80
	Paper and paperboard		1.12	0.87	1.04	1.04
	Roundwood		1.35	1.33	1.31	1.25
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.82	0.78	0.75
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.70	0.84	0.82	0.76


11-Sep-96
Country: Latvia Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	148	200	250	300	2.38	152
	Wood-based panels	m3	75	99	131	147	2.27	72
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	96	115	144	193	2.36	97
	Fuelwood	m3	1610	2000	2500	3000	2.10	1390
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	790	1060	1180	1300	1.67	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	310	350	395	395	0.81	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	45	36	71	118	3.24	72
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	107	100	150	200	2.09	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	642	860	930	1000		358
	Wood-based panels	m3	235	252	265	248		13
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-65	-44	-47	-29		36
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	11	-15	6	7		-4
	Roundwood	m3	1050	1050	1050	1050		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.20	0.25	0.30
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	23	36	58		58
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	721	989	1079	1169	1.62	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	100	198	324	468	5.28	368
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.14	0.20	0.30	0.40
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		2673	2883	3093	1.30	993
	Smallwood	m3		3156	3761	4318	1.34	1422
	Total derived removals	m3		5829	6644	7410	1.32	2414
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	2100	2500	2800	3000	1.20	900
	Smallwood	m3	2896	3500	4200	4600	1.55	1704
	Total removals	m3	4996	6000	7000	7600	1.41	2604
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-173	-83	-93
	Smallwood	m3	0	344	439	282
	Total removals	m3	0	171	356	190
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	419
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-111
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	308

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		5.34	5.30	4.72	4.33
	Wood-based panels		4.13	3.55	3.03	2.69
	Woodpulp		0.41	0.45	0.60	0.80
	Paper and paperboard		1.12	0.87	1.04	1.04
	Roundwood		1.35	1.33	1.31	1.25
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.82	0.78	0.75
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.70	0.84	0.82	0.76


10-Sep-96
Country: Lithuania Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	976	1266	1907	2172	2.70	1196
	Wood-based panels	m3	319	337	344	413	0.86	94
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	172	138	147	196	0.43	24
	Fuelwood	m3	1146	1727	2308	2088	2.02	942
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	776	776	776	776	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	339	339	339	339	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	77	75	71	60	-0.87	-18
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	218	218	218	218	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-200	-490	-1131	-1396		-1196
	Wood-based panels	m3	20	2	-5	-74		-94
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-91	-88	-83	-70		21
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	46	80	71	22		-24
	Roundwood	m3	-382	-382	-382	-382		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	-25	-25	-25	-25		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.17	0.25	0.30	0.35
	RECOVERED	m.t.	30	35	44	69	2.79	39
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	543	543	543	543	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	125	163	190	206	1.68	81
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.23	0.30	0.35	0.38
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		1216	1216	1216	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		2146	2684	2405	1.35	794
	Total derived removals	m3		3362	3900	3621	0.83	794
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	1216	1792	2304	2645	2.62	1429
	Smallwood	m3	1611	2190	2598	2752	1.80	1141
	Total removals	m3	2827	3982	4902	5397	2.18	2570
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	576	1088	1429
	Smallwood	m3	0	44	-86	347
	Total removals	m3	0	620	1002	1776
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	248
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-360
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-112

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.80	0.61	0.41	0.36
	Wood-based panels		1.06	1.01	0.99	0.82
	Woodpulp		0.46	0.46	0.46	0.46
	Paper and paperboard		1.27	1.58	1.49	1.11
	Roundwood		0.85	1.03	1.12	1.31
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.54	0.64	0.60
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.43	0.64	0.80	0.90


11-Sep-96
Country: Lithuania Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	976	1266	1907	2172	2.70	1196
	Wood-based panels	m3	319	337	344	413	0.86	94
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	172	138	147	196	0.43	24
	Fuelwood	m3	1146	1727	2308	2088	2.02	942
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	776	776	776	776	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	339	339	339	339	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	77	75	71	60	-0.87	-18
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	218	218	218	218	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-200	-490	-1131	-1396		-1196
	Wood-based panels	m3	20	2	-5	-74		-94
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-91	-88	-83	-70		21
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	46	80	71	22		-24
	Roundwood	m3	-382	-382	-382	-382		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	-25	-25	-25	-25		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.17	0.25	0.30	0.35
	RECOVERED	m.t.	30	35	44	69	2.79	39
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	543	543	543	543	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	125	163	190	206	1.68	81
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.23	0.30	0.35	0.38
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		1216	1216	1216	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		2146	2684	2405	1.35	794
	Total derived removals	m3		3362	3900	3621	0.83	794
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	1216	1792	2304	2645	2.62	1429
	Smallwood	m3	1611	2190	2598	2752	1.80	1141
	Total removals	m3	2827	3982	4902	5397	2.18	2570
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	576	1088	1429
	Smallwood	m3	0	44	-86	347
	Total removals	m3	0	620	1002	1776
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	248
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-360
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-112

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.80	0.61	0.41	0.36
	Wood-based panels		1.06	1.01	0.99	0.82
	Woodpulp		0.46	0.46	0.46	0.46
	Paper and paperboard		1.27	1.58	1.49	1.11
	Roundwood		0.85	1.03	1.12	1.31
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.54	0.64	0.60
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.43	0.64	0.80	0.90


05-Nov-96
Country: The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Scenario:Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	260	260	260	260	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	61	61	61	61	0.00	0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58	58	58	58	0.00	0
	Fuelwood	m3	316	316	316	316	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	100	100	100	100	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	6	6	6	6	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	0	0	0	0	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-160	-160	-160	-160		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	-55	-55	-55	-55		0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-42	-42	-42	-42		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-65	-58	-58	-58		7
	Roundwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	79	79	79	79	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	0	8	12	16		16
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.00	0.10	0.15	0.20
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		318	318	318	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		368	364	360	-0.14	-16
	Total derived removals	m3		686	682	678	-0.08	-16
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	318	318	318	318	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3	376	376	376	376	0.00	0
	Total removals	m3	694	694	694	694	0.00	0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0
	Smallwood	m3	0	8	12	16
	Total removals	m3	0	8	12	16
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	133
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	60
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	193

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.39	0.39	0.39	0.39
	Wood-based panels		0.09	0.09	0.09	0.09
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Roundwood		1.39	1.41	1.42	1.43
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.35	0.35	0.35
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.36	0.36	0.36	0.36


05-Nov-96
Country: The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Scenario:Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	260	260	260	260	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	61	61	61	61	0.00	0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58	58	58	58	0.00	0
	Fuelwood	m3	316	316	316	316	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	100	100	100	100	0.00	0
	Wood-based panels	m3	6	6	6	6	0.00	0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	0	0	0	0	0.00	0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-160	-160	-160	-160		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	-55	-55	-55	-55		0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-42	-42	-42	-42		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-65	-58	-58	-58		7
	Roundwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	0	0	0
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	79	79	79	79	0.00	0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	0	8	12	16		16
	DOM SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.00	0.10	0.15	0.20
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		318	318	318	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3		368	364	360	-0.14	-16
	Total derived removals	m3		686	682	678	-0.08	-16
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	318	318	318	318	0.00	0
	Smallwood	m3	376	376	376	376	0.00	0
	Total removals	m3	694	694	694	694	0.00	0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0
	Smallwood	m3	0	8	12	16
	Total removals	m3	0	8	12	16
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	133
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	60
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	193

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.39	0.39	0.39	0.39
	Wood-based panels		0.09	0.09	0.09	0.09
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Roundwood		1.39	1.41	1.42	1.43
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.35	0.35	0.35
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.36	0.36	0.36	0.36


12-Sep-96
Country: Malta Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17	19	21	23	1.01	6
	Wood-based panels	m3	36	40	44	49	1.01	13
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	16	18	20	22	1.01	6
	Fuelwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-17	-19	-21	-23		-6
	Wood-based panels	m3	-36	-40	-44	-49		-13
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-16	-18	-20	-22		-6
	Roundwood	m3	5	5	5	5		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		0	0	0		0
	Smallwood	m3		0	0	0		0
	Total derived removals	m3		0	0	0		0
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Smallwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Total removals	m3	0	0	0	0		0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0
	Smallwood	m3	0	0	0	0
	Total removals	m3	0	0	0	0
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-5
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	0
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-5

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Wood-based panels		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Roundwood		ERR	ERR	ERR	ERR
	Derived removals/Net increment		ERR	ERR	ERR	ERR
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		ERR	ERR	ERR	ERR


11-Sep-96
Country: Malta Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17	19	21	23	1.01	6
	Wood-based panels	m3	36	40	44	49	1.01	13
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	16	18	20	22	1.01	6
	Fuelwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Wood-based panels	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-17	-19	-21	-23		-6
	Wood-based panels	m3	-36	-40	-44	-49		-13
	Woodpulp	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-16	-18	-20	-22		-6
	Roundwood	m3	5	5	5	5		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	RECOVERED	m.t.	0	0	0	0		0
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		0	0	0		0
	Smallwood	m3		0	0	0		0
	Total derived removals	m3		0	0	0		0
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Smallwood	m3	0	0	0	0		0
	Total removals	m3	0	0	0	0		0
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	0	0	0
	Smallwood	m3	0	0	0	0
	Total removals	m3	0	0	0	0
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-5
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	0
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-5

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Wood-based panels		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Woodpulp		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Paper and paperboard		0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Roundwood		ERR	ERR	ERR	ERR
	Derived removals/Net increment		ERR	ERR	ERR	ERR
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		ERR	ERR	ERR	ERR


10-Sep-96
Country: Netherlands Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	3300	3507	3735	3982	0.63	682
	Wood-based panels	m3	1492	1790	2159	2610	1.88	1118
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3043	3653	4407	5322	1.88	2279
	Fuelwood	m3	93	93	93	93	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	439	479	525	575	0.90	136
	Wood-based panels	m3	86	99	116	136	1.54	50
	Woodpulp	m.t.	175	186	199	220	0.77	45
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2700	3220	3858	4629	1.81	1929
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-2903	-3027	-3210	-3407		-504
	Wood-based panels	m3	-1406	-1691	-2043	-2474		-1068
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-621	-699	-796	-939		-318
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-356	-433	-548	-693		-337
	Wood raw material	m3	-19	-19	-19	-19		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	-196	-196	-196	-196		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.53	0.55	0.57	0.58
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1598	2009	2512	3087	2.22	1489
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	291	318	348	383	0.91	91
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	317	340	373	409	0.85	92
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.09	1.07	1.07	1.07
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		360	441	532	2.04	242
	Smallwood	m3		979	996	1033	0.24	72
	Total derived removals	m3		1339	1437	1564	0.75	313
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	290	310	342	342	0.55	52
	Smallwood	m3	961	1020	1118	1118	0.51	157
	Total removals	m3	1251	1330	1460	1460	0.52	209
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-50	-99	-190
	Smallwood	m3	0	41	122	85
	Total removals	m3	0	-9	23	-104
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-161
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	114
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-47

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.13	0.14	0.14	0.14
	Wood-based panels		0.06	0.06	0.05	0.05
	Woodpulp		0.22	0.21	0.20	0.19
	Paper and paperboard		0.89	0.88	0.88	0.87
	Roundwood		0.83	0.84	0.87	0.80
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.69	0.72	0.76
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.61	0.69	0.73	0.71


11-Sep-96
Country: Netherlands Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	3300	3602	3946	4212	0.82	911
	Wood-based panels	m3	1492	1938	2537	3070	2.44	1579
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3043	3956	5175	6256	2.43	3213
	Fuelwood	m3	93	93	93	93	0.00	0
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	439	498	567	623	1.17	184
	Wood-based panels	m3	86	106	132	156	2.02	70
	Woodpulp	m.t.	175	203	236	260	1.32	85
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2700	3477	4505	5411	2.34	2711
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-2903	-3104	-3379	-3589		-686
	Wood-based panels	m3	-1406	-1832	-2404	-2914		-1508
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-621	-762	-942	-1108		-487
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-356	-479	-669	-845		-489
	Wood raw material	m3	-19	-19	-19	-19		0
	Waste paper	m.t.	-196	-196	-196	-196		0
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	0.53	0.55	0.57	0.58
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1598	2176	2949	3629	2.77	2030
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	291	330	378	416	1.19	124
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	317	354	404	445	1.13	127
	DOM. SUPPLY/GENERATED		1.09	1.07	1.07	1.07
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3		394	518	618	2.55	328
	Smallwood	m3		1013	1071	1115	0.50	154
	Total derived removals	m3		1407	1589	1733	1.09	482
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	290	310	342	342	0.55	52
	Smallwood	m3	961	1020	1118	1118	0.51	157
	Total removals	m3	1251	1330	1460	1460	0.52	209
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-84	-176	-276
	Smallwood	m3	0	7	47	3
	Total removals	m3	0	-77	-129	-273
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-161
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	114
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-47

RATIOS:	Production/consumption
	Sawnwood		0.13	0.14	0.14	0.15
	Wood-based panels		0.06	0.05	0.05	0.05
	Woodpulp		0.22	0.21	0.20	0.19
	Paper and paperboard		0.89	0.88	0.87	0.86
	Roundwood		0.83	0.80	0.79	0.74
	Derived removals/Net increment		0.00	0.73	0.79	0.84
	Forecasted removals/Net increment		0.61	0.69	0.73	0.71