SCENARIOS (contd.)


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10146	11695	12936	1.30	4150
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2497	3040	3668	1.96	1621
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2680	3521	4533	2.87	2592
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10502	12105	13244	1.27	4180
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2524	3047	3655	1.90	1577
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1087	1153	1236	0.54	185
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1944	2363	2994	2.05	1368
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	356	410	308		25
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-473	-504	-596		-149
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-736	-1158	-1539		-1221
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5534	-5939	-7808		-4783
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	25.9	30.1	34.3
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	693	1058	1554	4.42	1129
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8673	9982	10855	1.22	3310
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1583	2681	3911	7.99	3521
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14886	18141	20157	1.58	7566
	Smallwood	m3	0	32078	32840	32875	0.39	3654
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46964	50981	53031	0.80	11219
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-372	-841	-1048
	Smallwood	m3	0	200	1040	2514
	Total removals	m3	0	-172	199	1467
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10274	12016	13330	1.40	4544
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2559	3219	3912	2.18	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2753	3766	4915	3.15	2974
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10630	12430	13641	1.37	4577
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2590	3236	3912	2.13	1834
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1102	1201	1306	0.73	254
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	2002	2556	3296	2.38	1669
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	357	413	311		29
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	31	17	0		-25
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-480	-530	-642		-195
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-751	-1211	-1619		-1302
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5610	-6205	-8250		-5225
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	26.5	31.5	35.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	731	1186	1753	4.84	1328
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8765	10213	11135	1.31	3590
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1601	2750	4023	8.09	3633
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	15107	18696	20835	1.69	8244
	Smallwood	m3	0	32214	33234	33409	0.45	4188
	Total derived removals	m3	0	47321	51930	54244	0.87	12432
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-593	-1396	-1726
	Smallwood	m3	0	64	646	1980
	Total removals	m3	0	-529	-750	254
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario:Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario:Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario:Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	79313	86323	93327	0.78	19389
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	38598	45480	53062	1.56	19668
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	69341	87451	106769	2.11	49777
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	66235	72508	78864	0.83	17289
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32551	37518	42796	1.33	13969
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	31420	34150	36462	0.64	6330
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	68324	82587	97725	1.71	38992
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-13078	-13815	-14463		-2010
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6047	-7963	-10266		-5699
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3825	-3838	-4151		1113
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-1017	-4864	-9044		-10850
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-70164	-92102.7	-119450		-61548
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	30358	41120	53038	3.08	31711
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	59261	65640	71563	0.89	16744
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46230	53959	60923	1.36	20333
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	132066	144041	153842	0.71	29599
	Smallwood	m3	0	145112	153796	162506	0.57	25475
	Total derived removals	m3	0	277179	297837	316349	0.64	55074
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1220	-3113	-4126
	Smallwood	m3	0	2012	4258	5325
	Total removals	m3	0	3231	1145	1198
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario:Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	81211	91214	100075	1.01	26137
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	40021	49491	59058	1.92	25664
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	73293	99830	125728	2.67	68736
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	68678	77835	85665	1.11	24091
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	33741	40771	47449	1.68	18622
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	31356	35566	38531	0.82	8399
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	69596	90007	109493	2.10	50760
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-12534	-13379	-14410		-1957
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6280	-8720	-11609		-7042
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3345	-3852	-4498		767
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-3698	-9823	-16235		-18040
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-21870	-30930	-39467		-24331
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-77930.2	-114896	-153862		-95960
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.7	46.8	49.3
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	32065	46730	61944	3.62	40618
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	61332	70358	77634	1.17	22815
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	47871	57876	66076	1.64	25486
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	136631	153049	165328	0.96	41085
	Smallwood	m3	0	143421	154892	166030	0.64	28998
	Total derived removals	m3	0	280052	307941	331358	0.80	70083
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	134286	141928	153716	0.71	29473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	161554	171831	0.76	34799
	Total removals	m3	261275	281410	303482	325547	0.74	64272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-2345	-11121	-11612
	Smallwood	m3	0	3703	6662	5801
	Total removals	m3	0	1358	-4459	-5811
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario:Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	89515	97551	105708	0.80	22511
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	41227	48739	57116	1.59	21559
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	72894	92431	113781	2.18	54171
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	76168	83545	91132	0.86	20614
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	35332	40945	47034	1.39	15911
	Woodpulp	m.t	32807	34255	37377	39944	0.66	7137
	Paper and paperboard	m.t	62174	72478	87963	104712	1.75	42538
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-13347	-14006	-14576		-1810
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5896	-7794	-10082		-5643
	Woodpulp	m.t	-5296	-3951	-4080	-4598		699
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	-415	-4468	-9069		-11656
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-68955	-90322	-119805		-63638
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	31947	43431	56514	3.13	34064
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	66721	73896	80705	0.91	19140
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50237	58826	66800	1.43	23220
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	146253	160439	172367	0.77	35342
	Smallwood	m3	0	173004	185162	195798	0.68	35940
	Total derived removals	m3	0	319256	345601	368165	0.72	71282
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1783	-2961	-4481
	Smallwood	m3	0	2100	3632	5433
	Total removals	m3	0	3884	671	952
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario:Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	91568	102821	112912	1.02	29716
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	42727	52962	63394	1.95	27838
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	77036	105414	133658	2.73	74048
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	78789	89314	98468	1.12	27950
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	36601	44418	51980	1.72	20858
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	34257	39010	42239	0.85	9432
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	73891	95852	117151	2.13	54977
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-12779	-13507	-14444		-1679
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-6126	-8544	-11414		-6975
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-3474	-4099	-4974		322
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	-3145	-9562	-16507		-19094
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-21966	-29422	-37959		-22349
	M3 EQ		-56166	-76853	-113479	-155040		-98874
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	46.8	49.3
	RECOVERED:	m.t.	22450	33729	49294	65844	3.65	43394
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	68921	78934	87160	1.17	25596
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	51938	62912	72181	1.70	28601
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	151125	170212	184774	1.00	47749
	Smallwood	m3	0	171583	187124	200283	0.75	40425
	Total derived removals	m3	0	322708	357336	385057	0.87	88174
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	149036	158478	171886	0.76	34861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	192294	205231	0.84	45373
	Total removals	m3	296883	324140	350772	377117	0.80	80234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-2089	-11734	-12888
	Smallwood	m3	0	3521	5170	4948
	Total removals	m3	0	1432	-6564	-7940
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: BASE LOW
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED:	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: BASE HIGH
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	21310	23398	25860	0.93	6283
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7322	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3653	4041	4559	0.84	1015
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5183	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2836	2138	1511		-390
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	943	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-609	-676	-695		-98
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-12	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1034	-2034	-3998		-5306
	M3 EQ		3648	2319	-836	-5502		-9150
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED:	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15214	16741	18272	0.87	4200
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4414	5679	7323	2.58	3915
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	43471	47160	49704	0.58	7861
	Smallwood	m3	0	54123	55070	56060	0.18	2897
	Total derived removals	m3	0	97594	102231	105764	0.36	10758
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44849	48634	51146	0.67	9303
	Smallwood	m3	53163	56451	58850	60976	0.46	7813
	Total removals	m3	95006	101300	107484	112122	0.55	17116
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1378	1474	1442
	Smallwood	m3	0	2328	3780	4916
	Total removals	m3	0	3706	5253	6358
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	106401	114647	122956	0.64	21466
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	46660	53405	61251	1.28	19429
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	76097	93144	111549	1.83	46843
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	95739	103782	112572	0.74	22455
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42233	48327	54977	1.24	16956
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	37121	38329	38916	0.23	2565
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	76304	88387	101068	1.37	33879
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-10662	-10865	-10384		1074
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-4427	-5077	-6274		-2467
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-5079	-5248	-5597		327
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	207	-4757	-10480		-12975
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-67075	-90098	-121325		-66368
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.7	45.8	48.4
	RECOVERED:	m.t.	23874	32531	42669	54027	2.76	30152
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	80894	88473	95779	0.78	19920
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	53731	62646	71397	1.40	24388
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	186670	202024	214238	0.60	35304
	Smallwood	m3	0	223762	228932	231871	0.28	18745
	Total derived removals	m3	0	410432	430956	446109	0.43	54049
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5562	3769	4389
	Smallwood	m3	0	6228	17563	29398
	Total removals	m3	0	11790	21332	33787
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	9906	10308	10732	0.30	910
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2525	2618	2724	0.27	213
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4232	4803	5661	1.02	1480
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22247	23969	25722	0.65	4517
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3109	3297	3498	0.50	485
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	21303	21983	22316	0.24	1534
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	19978	21274	22477	0.57	3535
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12341	13660	14990		3613
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	584	679	774		272
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4375	4368	4286		-87
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	15747	16471	16816		2055
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	80568	82947	82660		6134
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.7	38.3	41.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1553	1838	2318	1.61	885
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	24960	27129	29342	0.73	5742
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20071	23153	25888	1.20	7793
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	55720	59710	61892	0.50	8660
	Smallwood	m3	0	59564	57463	55322	-0.06	-989
	Total derived removals	m3	0	115284	117173	117214	0.23	7671
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-70	-1760	-442
	Smallwood	m3	0	3886	10737	18978
	Total removals	m3	0	3816	8977	18536
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	65944	70047	73832	0.54	10993
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	34577	39812	45540	1.33	14866
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	62147	76467	91186	1.88	39046
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	37852	40906	44347	0.72	8589
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27395	30991	34789	1.15	10081
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	10130	10229	9937	-0.03	-87
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45346	53925	62600	1.62	23995
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-28093	-29141	-29485		-2320
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7182	-8822	-10751		-4785
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7975	-7729	-7536		1522
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-16801	-22542	-28586		-15006
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-151195	-175174	-201396		-62701
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.7	47.0	49.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	27147	35909	45274	2.88	25943
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31148	34255	37058	0.80	7913
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	23466	27145	30557	1.27	9653
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	68698	74343	80190	0.67	14465
	Smallwood	m3	0	81885	85499	87605	0.38	9489
	Total derived removals	m3	0	150583	159842	167795	0.51	23954
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3374	2644	1463
	Smallwood	m3	0	1103	4127	5929
	Total removals	m3	0	4477	6771	7392
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


03-Oct-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	5907	6119	6357	0.33	592
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1749	1993	2278	1.19	678
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3069	3608	4264	1.47	1513
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9068	9562	10039	0.48	1345
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3117	4059	5317	2.48	2766
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1703	1665	1598	-0.15	-74
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	4916	5896	7074	1.76	2881
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3161	3444	3682		753
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1368	2067	3039		2088
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-635	-887	-1225		-741
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1847	2288	2811		1304
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7967	9325	10633		3934
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.7	57.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1622	1974	2436	1.85	1031
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5297	5574	5842	0.46	748
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	4999	5305	5592	0.67	1011
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	13750	14290	14783	0.33	1378
	Smallwood	m3	0	9575	10124	10805	0.60	1781
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23324	24414	25589	0.44	3159
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	564	751	1000
	Smallwood	m3	0	91	-156	-408
	Total removals	m3	0	656	595	591
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10089	11509	12534	1.19	3748
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2493	3029	3645	1.94	1598
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2669	3490	4467	2.82	2527
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10443	11915	12834	1.17	3770
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2520	3036	3632	1.88	1554
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1085	1147	1223	0.51	172
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1936	2338	2942	1.99	1315
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	354	406	300		17
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-472	-501	-588		-140
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-733	-1152	-1526		-1208
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5524	-5910	-7741		-4716
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	25.7	29.9	34.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	687	1042	1520	4.34	1095
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8642	9870	10601	1.14	3056
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1576	2647	3810	7.89	3420
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14795	17837	19491	1.47	6901
	Smallwood	m3	0	32071	32833	32890	0.40	3669
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46865	50670	52382	0.75	10570
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-281	-537	-382
	Smallwood	m3	0	207	1047	2498
	Total removals	m3	0	-73	510	2116
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	77236	81875	86237	0.51	12299
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	37418	42869	48839	1.28	15444
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	66856	81427	96421	1.77	39429
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	65013	70147	75685	0.69	14110
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32144	36764	41899	1.25	13072
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	30847	31512	31602	0.16	1470
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	66997	77281	87605	1.34	28872
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-12224	-11728	-10553		1900
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-5275	-6105	-6940		-2372
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-4269	-4216	-4344		921
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	141	-4146	-8816		-10621
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-65579.5	-85128.2	-108239		-50336
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.7	46.9	49.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	29246	38226	47795	2.73	26468
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	58327	63773	68952	0.77	14133
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	45473	52392	58691	1.24	18101
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	129917	139844	148122	0.59	23879
	Smallwood	m3	0	143295	144614	145495	0.20	8463
	Total derived removals	m3	0	273213	284458	293617	0.39	32342
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3369	1084	1594
	Small wood	m3	0	3829	13440	22336
	Total removals	m3	0	7197	14524	23930
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	87245	92635	97776	0.54	14579
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	39970	45951	52587	1.31	17030
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	70358	86297	103269	1.85	43658
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	74757	80712	87090	0.71	16572
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	34844	40006	45816	1.30	14693
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	33512	34338	34411	0.16	1604
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	70968	82225	93866	1.38	31692
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-12488	-11923	-10686		2079
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5126	-5945	-6771		-2333
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-4413	-4496	-4848		448
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	610	-4072	-9403		-11990
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-64888	-84622	-110800		-54634
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	46.9	49.5
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	30807	40472	51164	2.78	28715
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	65662	71715	77515	0.77	15950
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	49387	57031	64146	1.30	20566
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	143789	155455	165200	0.63	28176
	Smallwood	m3	0	170628	174678	176628	0.33	16770
	Total derived removals	m3	0	314418	330132	341828	0.47	44945
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total derived removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	4247	2023	2686
	Small wood	m3	0	4476	14116	24603
	Total removals	m3	0	8722	16140	27289
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Small wood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575