SCENARIOS (contd.)


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	106401	114647	122956	0.64	21466
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	46660	53405	61251	1.28	19429
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	76097	93144	111549	1.83	46843
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	96607	106507	119142	0.94	29025
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42258	48391	55093	1.24	17072
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	37874	40796	43312	0.59	6961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	76986	90504	104825	1.49	37635
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-9793	-8140	-3814		7644
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-4402	-5014	-6158		-2351
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4950	-4773	-4753		1217
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	889	-2640	-6724		-9218
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-62795	-76469	-94358		-39401
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.7	45.8	48.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	32531	42669	54027	2.76	30152
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	81597	90639	100763	0.95	24903
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	54391	64802	76483	1.64	29475
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	188263	206969	225893	0.78	46958
	Smallwood	m3	0	225623	235510	242507	0.43	29382
	Total derived removals	m3	0	413886	442479	468400	0.59	76340
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3969	-1176	-7266
	Smallwood	m3	0	4367	10985	18762
	Total removals	m3	0	8336	9809	11496
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


03-Oct-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	9906	10308	10732	0.30	910
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2525	2618	2724	0.27	213
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4232	4803	5661	1.02	1480
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22595	24826	27271	0.84	6066
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3122	3327	3549	0.55	536
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	22055	24450	26712	0.84	5930
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	20661	23391	26234	1.09	7292
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12690	14518	16539		5162
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	597	708	826		323
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4503	4844	5131		757
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16429	18588	20573		5812
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	83997	93539	101496		24971
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.7	38.3	41.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1553	1838	2318	1.61	885
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25354	28095	31079	0.92	7478
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20407	24049	27565	1.41	9470
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	56475	61563	65229	0.68	11997
	Smallwood	m3	0	61744	65289	69346	0.70	13035
	Total derived removals	m3	0	118220	126853	134575	0.69	25032
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-825	-3613	-3779
	Smallwood	m3	0	1706	2911	4954
	Total removals	m3	0	880	-703	1175
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	65944	70047	73832	0.54	10993
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	34577	39812	45540	1.33	14866
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	62147	76467	91186	1.88	39046
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	38371	42773	49368	1.08	13610
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27407	31024	34854	1.15	10146
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	10130	10229	9937	-0.03	-87
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45346	53925	62600	1.62	23995
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-27573	-27274	-24464		2701
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7170	-8788	-10686		-4720
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7975	-7729	-7536		1522
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-16801	-22542	-28586		-15006
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-150345	-172137	-193265		-54570
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.7	47.0	49.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	27147	35909	45274	2.88	25943
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31457	35456	40305	1.09	11160
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	23790	28406	33966	1.63	13062
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	69536	77435	88508	1.00	22783
	Smallwood	m3	0	81566	84251	84217	0.25	6101
	Total derived removals	m3	0	151102	161686	172724	0.61	28884
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2536	-448	-6855
	Smallwood	m3	0	1422	5375	9317
	Total removals	m3	0	3958	4927	2463
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	5907	6119	6357	0.33	592
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1749	1993	2278	1.19	678
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3069	3608	4264	1.47	1513
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9068	9562	10039	0.48	1345
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3117	4059	5317	2.48	2766
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1703	1665	1598	-0.15	-74
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	4916	5896	7074	1.76	2881
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3161	3444	3682		753
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1368	2067	3039		2088
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-635	-887	-1225		-741
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1847	2288	2811		1304
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7967	9325	10633		3934
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.7	57.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1622	1974	2436	1.85	1031
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5297	5574	5842	0.46	748
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	4999	5305	5592	0.67	1011
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	13750	14290	14783	0.33	1378
	Smallwood	m3	0	9575	10124	10805	0.60	1781
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23324	24414	25589	0.44	3159
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	564	751	1000
	Smallwood	m3	0	91	-156	-408
	Total removals	m3	0	656	595	591
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10089	11509	12534	1.19	3748
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2493	3029	3645	1.94	1598
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2669	3490	4467	2.82	2527
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10443	11915	12834	1.17	3770
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2520	3036	3632	1.88	1554
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1085	1147	1223	0.51	172
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1936	2338	2942	1.99	1315
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	354	406	300		17
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-472	-501	-588		-140
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-733	-1152	-1526		-1208
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5524	-5910	-7741		-4716
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	25.7	29.9	34.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	687	1042	1520	4.34	1095
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8642	9870	10601	1.14	3056
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1576	2647	3810	7.89	3420
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14795	17837	19491	1.47	6901
	Smallwood	m3	0	32071	32833	32890	0.40	3669
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46865	50670	52382	0.75	10570
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-281	-537	-382
	Smallwood	m3	0	207	1047	2498
	Total removals	m3	0	-73	510	2116
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COST
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	77236	81875	86237	0.51	12299
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	37418	42869	48839	1.28	15444
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	66856	81427	96421	1.77	39429
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	65749	72544	81654	0.95	20079
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32169	36827	42015	1.26	13188
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	31455	33626	35410	0.54	5278
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	67562	79112	90884	1.47	32151
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-11487	-9331	-4583		7869
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-5249	-6041	-6824		-2256
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-4168	-3809	-3613		1651
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	706	-2315	-5537		-7342
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-62026.1	-73282	-84328.2		-26426
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.7	46.9	49.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	29246	38226	47795	2.73	26468
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	58930	65690	73479	0.98	18660
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46018	54262	63252	1.49	22662
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	131278	144212	158719	0.82	34476
	Smallwood	m3	0	144819	150374	154816	0.41	17784
	Total derived removals	m3	0	276097	294586	313535	0.61	52260
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2008	-3284	-9003
	Smallwood	m3	0	2305	7680	13015
	Total removals	m3	0	4313	4396	4012
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	87245	92635	97776	0.54	14579
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	39970	45951	52587	1.31	17030
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	70358	86297	103269	1.85	43658
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	75625	83437	93660	0.95	23142
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	34869	40070	45932	1.31	14809
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	34265	36804	38807	0.56	6001
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	71651	84342	97623	1.52	35448
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-11620	-9198	-4116		8649
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5101	-5881	-6655		-2216
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-4284	-4021	-4004		1292
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	1293	-1955	-5646		-8233
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-60608	-70993	-83833		-27666
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	46.9	49.5
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	30807	40472	51164	2.78	28715
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	66365	73881	82498	0.98	20934
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50047	59187	69232	1.55	25652
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	145382	160400	176855	0.85	39830
	Smallwood	m3	0	172489	181256	187264	0.53	27406
	Total derived removals	m3	0	317872	341656	364119	0.68	67236
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2654	-2922	-8969
	Smallwood	m3	0	2615	7538	13967
	Total removals	m3	0	5268	4616	4998
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: HIGH PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES, AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	106401	114647	122956	0.64	21466
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	46660	53405	61251	1.28	19429
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	76097	93144	111549	1.83	46843
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	97623	110413	130953	1.25	40836
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42284	48457	55220	1.25	17199
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	38683	43772	49121	1.01	12770
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	77720	93048	109765	1.65	42575
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-8777	-4235	7996		19455
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-4376	-4948	-6031		-2225
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4812	-4194	-3628		2341
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	1622	-96	-1784		-4278
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-58064	-59065	-53800		1157
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.7	45.8	48.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	32531	42669	54027	2.76	30152
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	82396	93600	109230	1.22	33370
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	55151	67792	85235	2.00	38226
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	190100	213894	246282	1.07	67347
	Smallwood	m3	0	227571	243087	254583	0.59	41457
	Total derived removals	m3	0	417671	456981	500865	0.82	108805
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2132	-8101	-27655
	Smallwood	m3	0	2419	3408	6686
	Total removals	m3	0	4551	-4693	-20969
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	9906	10308	10732	0.30	910
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2525	2618	2724	0.27	213
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4232	4803	5661	1.02	1480
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22974	25854	29329	1.09	8124
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3135	3357	3604	0.60	592
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	22864	27426	32521	1.50	11739
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	21394	25935	31174	1.67	12232
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	13069	15545	18597		7220
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	609	739	881		378
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4641	5422	6255		1882
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	17163	21132	25513		10752
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	87690	106284	126343		49817
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.7	38.3	41.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1553	1838	2318	1.61	885
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25776	29213	33266	1.15	9666
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20770	25103	29722	1.67	11627
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	57289	63740	69530	0.89	16298
	Smallwood	m3	0	64083	74789	87994	1.50	31683
	Total derived removals	m3	0	121372	138529	157524	1.22	47981
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-1639	-5790	-8080
	Smallwood	m3	0	-633	-6589	-13694
	Total removals	m3	0	-2272	-12379	-21774
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	65944	70047	73832	0.54	10993
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	34577	39812	45540	1.33	14866
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	62147	76467	91186	1.88	39046
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	39008	45651	59121	1.69	23363
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27420	31060	34926	1.16	10217
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	10130	10229	9937	-0.03	-87
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45346	53925	62600	1.62	23995
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-26936	-24396	-14711		12453
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7157	-8753	-10615		-4648
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7975	-7729	-7536		1522
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-16801	-22542	-28586		-15006
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-149306	-167478	-177554		-38859
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.7	47.0	49.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	27147	35909	45274	2.88	25943
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31835	37299	46585	1.58	17440
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	24186	30341	40560	2.23	19656
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	70559	82183	104596	1.56	38871
	Smallwood	m3	0	81175	82328	77645	-0.02	-471
	Total derived removals	m3	0	151734	164511	182241	0.79	38400
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1513	-5196	-22943
	Smallwood	m3	0	1813	7298	15889
	Total removals	m3	0	3326	2102	-7054
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	5907	6119	6357	0.33	592
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1749	1993	2278	1.19	678
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3069	3608	4264	1.47	1513
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9068	9562	10039	0.48	1345
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3117	4059	5317	2.48	2766
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1703	1665	1598	-0.15	-74
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	4916	5896	7074	1.76	2881
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3161	3444	3682		753
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1368	2067	3039		2088
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-635	-887	-1225		-741
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1847	2288	2811		1304
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7967	9325	10633		3934
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.7	57.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1622	1974	2436	1.85	1031
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5297	5574	5842	0.46	748
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	4999	5305	5592	0.67	1011
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	13750	14290	14783	0.33	1378
	Smallwood	m3	0	9575	10124	10805	0.60	1781
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23324	24414	25589	0.44	3159
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	564	751	1000
	Smallwood	m3	0	91	-156	-408
	Total removals	m3	0	656	595	591
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10089	11509	12534	1.19	3748
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2493	3029	3645	1.94	1598
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2669	3490	4467	2.82	2527
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10443	11915	12834	1.17	3770
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2520	3036	3632	1.88	1554
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1085	1147	1223	0.51	172
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1936	2338	2942	1.99	1315
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	354	406	300		17
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-472	-501	-588		-140
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-733	-1152	-1526		-1208
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5524	-5910	-7741		-4716
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	25.7	29.9	34.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	687	1042	1520	4.34	1095
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8642	9870	10601	1.14	3056
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1576	2647	3810	7.89	3420
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14795	17837	19491	1.47	6901
	Smallwood	m3	0	32071	32833	32890	0.40	3669
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46865	50670	52382	0.75	10570
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-281	-537	-382
	Smallwood	m3	0	207	1047	2498
	Total removals	m3	0	-73	510	2116
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	77236	81875	86237	0.51	12299
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	37418	42869	48839	1.28	15444
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	66856	81427	96421	1.77	39429
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	66610	75993	92472	1.36	30897
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32195	36894	42142	1.27	13314
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	32104	36165	40406	0.98	10274
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	68165	81300	95163	1.62	36430
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-10626	-5882	6234		18687
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-5224	-5975	-6697		-2130
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-4061	-3314	-2646		2618
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	1309	-127	-1258		-3063
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-58113.8	-58170.9	-48261.2		9641
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.7	46.9	49.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	29246	38226	47795	2.73	26468
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	59612	68304	81192	1.32	26373
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46643	56853	71135	1.89	30545
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	132843	150333	177361	1.19	53118
	Smallwood	m3	0	146400	156978	165211	0.63	28179
	Total derived removals	m3	0	279243	307311	342571	0.91	81296
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	443	-9405	-27645
	Smallwood	m3	0	724	1076	2620
	Total removals	m3	0	1167	-8329	-25024
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE(18) Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	87245	92635	97776	0.54	14579
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	39970	45951	52587	1.31	17030
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	70358	86297	103269	1.85	43658
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	76641	87343	105470	1.35	34952
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	34895	40136	46058	1.32	14936
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	35074	39781	44616	1.03	11810
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	72384	86886	102563	1.68	40388
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-10604	-5292	7695		20460
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5075	-5815	-6528		-2090
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-4146	-3442	-2879		2417
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	2026	588	-706		-3293
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-55877	-53589	-43275		12891
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	46.9	49.5
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	30807	40472	51164	2.78	28715
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	67164	76842	90966	1.31	29401
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50807	62177	77983	1.96	34403
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	147219	167324	197244	1.22	60219
	Smallwood	m3	0	174437	188833	199340	0.74	39482
	Total derived removals	m3	0	321657	356157	396584	0.97	99701
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	817	-9846	-29358
	Smallwood	m3	0	667	-39	1891
	Total removals	m3	0	1483	-9885	-27467
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: HIGH PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575