SCENARIOS (contd.)


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	108670	119563	130888	0.85	29398
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	47918	56193	65780	1.52	23958
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	78633	99277	122061	2.14	57356
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	96459	105006	113865	0.78	23748
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42696	49203	56078	1.30	18057
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	37112	38902	40053	0.32	3702
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	77131	92008	108158	1.60	40968
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-12211	-14557	-17023		-5565
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-5222	-6991	-9702		-5895
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4746	-5308	-6191		-221
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	-1502	-7269	-13903		-16398
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-75139	-107643	-151186		-96229
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.8	46.0	48.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	33672	45628	59376	3.08	35502
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	81360	89230	96513	0.81	20653
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	54037	63064	71623	1.41	24614
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	187829	203922	216100	0.63	37166
	Smallwood	m3	0	224161	232056	237741	0.37	24616
	Total derived removals	m3	0	411989	435978	453841	0.49	61782
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	4403	1871	2527
	Smallwood	m3	0	5830	14439	23528
	Total removals	m3	0	10233	16310	26055
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	10019	10548	11115	0.41	1293
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2583	2734	2898	0.48	387
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4551	5489	6761	1.62	2580
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22184	23816	25454	0.61	4249
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3150	3377	3616	0.61	603
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	21403	22310	22930	0.33	2148
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	20204	21858	23490	0.72	4548
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12166	13267	14339		2962
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	567	643	718		215
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4389	4427	4398		24
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	15653	16369	16729		1968
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	80006	82167	81708		5182
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.8	38.6	40.9
	RECOVERED	m.t	1434	1676	2116	2763	2.21	1329
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	24881	26936	29000	0.69	5399
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	19997	22952	25520	1.15	7425
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	55572	59347	61254	0.47	8022
	Smallwood	m3	0	60037	58956	58082	0.10	1771
	Total derived removals	m3	0	115609	118304	119336	0.29	9793
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	78	-1397	196
	Smallwood	m3	0	3413	9244	16218
	Total removals	m3	0	3491	7846	16414
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	67771	73937	79981	0.81	17142
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	35683	42261	49489	1.61	18814
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	64298	81756	100307	2.20	48167
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	38415	41754	44966	0.77	9208
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27913	32101	36486	1.31	11778
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9914	10226	10041	0.01	17
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45766	56493	67781	1.89	29176
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-29357	-32183	-35015		-7851
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7770	-10159	-13003		-7036
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7625	-7740	-7975		1083
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-18532	-25262	-32527		-18947
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-158497	-191313	-228825		-90131
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.8	47.1	49.9
	RECOVERED	m.t	19331	28132	38507	50020	3.22	30689
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31564	34889	37561	0.85	8416
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	23755	27550	30760	1.30	9857
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	69655	75756	81172	0.71	15447
	Smallwood	m3	0	81604	86754	90349	0.49	12233
	Total derived removals	m3	0	151259	162510	171520	0.59	27680
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2417	1231	481
	Smallwood	m3	0	1384	2872	3185
	Total removals	m3	0	3801	4103	3667
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	6179	6719	7355	0.82	1590
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1839	2207	2661	1.71	1061
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3122	3735	4489	1.65	1739
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9229	9901	10572	0.65	1877
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3016	3733	4579	1.97	2029
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1807	1909	2004	0.60	332
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	5089	6340	7918	2.14	3725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3050	3182	3216		287
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1177	1526	1919		968
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-666	-992	-1483		-999
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1967	2605	3429		1922
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7777	8729	9221		2522
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.6	57.0
	RECOVERED	m.t	1405	1649	2040	2560	2.02	1155
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5393	5777	6162	0.64	1068
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	5083	5486	5881	0.84	1299
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14008	14833	15637	0.51	2232
	Smallwood	m3	0	9774	10492	11187	0.72	2162
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23782	25326	26824	0.60	4394
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	306	208	146
	Smallwood	m3	0	-108	-524	-790
	Total removals	m3	0	198	-317	-644
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10146	11695	12936	1.30	4150
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2497	3040	3668	1.96	1621
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2680	3521	4533	2.87	2592
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10502	12105	13244	1.27	4180
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2524	3047	3655	1.90	1577
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1087	1153	1236	0.54	185
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1944	2363	2994	2.05	1368
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	356	410	308		25
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-473	-504	-596		-149
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-736	-1158	-1539		-1221
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5534	-5939	-7808		-4783
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	25.9	30.1	34.3
	RECOVERED	m.t	425	693	1058	1554	4.42	1129
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8673	9982	10855	1.22	3310
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1583	2681	3911	7.99	3521
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14886	18141	20157	1.58	7566
	Smallwood	m3	0	32078	32840	32875	0.39	3654
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46964	50981	53031	0.80	11219
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-372	-841	-1048
	Smallwood	m3	0	200	1040	2514
	Total removals	m3	0	-172	199	1467
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	79313	86323	93327	0.78	19389
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	38598	45480	53062	1.56	19668
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	69341	87451	106769	2.11	49777
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	65664	71166	76552	0.73	14977
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32526	37454	42679	1.32	13852
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	30811	32037	32653	0.27	2522
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	67759	80756	94445	1.60	35712
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-13649	-15157	-16776		-4323
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6072	-8026	-10384		-5816
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3925	-4246	-4882		383
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-1582	-6695	-12324		-14129
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-73453.5	-102263	-137512		-79609
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	30358	41120	53038	3.08	31711
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	58759	64418	69439	0.79	14619
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	45790	52816	58877	1.25	18287
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	130972	141423	149306	0.61	25063
	Smallwood	m3	0	143483	147308	150666	0.32	13634
	Total derived removals	m3	0	274455	288731	299972	0.46	38697
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2314	-495	410
	Smallwood	m3	0	3641	10746	17165
	Total removals	m3	0	5955	10251	17575
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	89515	97551	105708	0.80	22511
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	41227	48739	57116	1.59	21559
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	72894	92431	113781	2.18	54171
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	75477	81936	88383	0.76	17865
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	35306	40882	46916	1.38	15794
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	33503	34911	35548	0.27	2741
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	71796	85846	100955	1.63	38781
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-14037	-15615	-17325		-4560
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5921	-7858	-10199		-5761
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-4080	-4556	-5442		-146
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	-1098	-6585	-12826		-15413
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-72952	-102167	-140661		-84495
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	31947	43431	56514	3.13	34064
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	66128	72471	78248	0.80	16683
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	49693	57449	64372	1.31	20792
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	144948	157352	167062	0.66	30038
	Smallwood	m3	0	171027	177802	182498	0.44	22640
	Total derived removals	m3	0	315975	335154	349561	0.55	52678
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3088	126	824
	Smallwood	m3	0	4077	10992	18733
	Total removals	m3	0	7165	11118	19556
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, HIGH COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	108670	119563	130888	0.85	29398
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	47918	56193	65780	1.52	23958
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	78633	99277	122061	2.14	57356
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	97953	108829	121115	0.99	30998
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42747	49333	56323	1.32	18303
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	38674	44345	50258	1.09	13907
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	78547	96669	116855	1.86	49665
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-10717	-10734	-9773		1685
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-5171	-6860	-9457		-5650
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4479	-4253	-4222		1748
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	-86	-2608	-5206		-7701
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-66752	-81099	-101466		-46509
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.8	46.0	48.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	33672	45628	59376	3.08	35502
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	82620	92497	102628	1.01	26768
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	55202	66253	77740	1.69	30732
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	190624	211122	229673	0.84	50739
	Smallwood	m3	0	228225	248172	268183	0.77	55057
	Total derived removals	m3	0	418849	459294	497856	0.80	105796
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1607	-5329	-11046
	Smallwood	m3	0	1765	-1677	-6914
	Total removals	m3	0	3373	-7006	-17960
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	10019	10548	11115	0.41	1293
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2583	2734	2898	0.48	387
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4551	5489	6761	1.62	2580
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22880	25527	28554	1.00	7349
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3175	3436	3718	0.70	705
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	22965	27753	33135	1.57	12353
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	21620	26519	32187	1.78	13245
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12861	14979	17439		6063
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	592	702	820		318
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4656	5482	6367		1993
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	17069	21030	25426		10664
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	87076	105223	124574		48048
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.8	38.6	40.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1676	2116	2763	2.21	1329
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25670	28871	32494	1.07	8893
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20668	24743	28886	1.57	10791
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	57081	63053	67950	0.82	14718
	Smallwood	m3	0	64585	76442	91223	1.62	34912
	Total derived removals	m3	0	121666	139495	159174	1.25	49631
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-1431	-5103	-6500
	Smallwood	m3	0	-1135	-8242	-16923
	Total removals	m3	0	-2566	-13345	-23424
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	67771	73937	79981	0.81	17142
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	35683	42261	49489	1.61	18814
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	64298	81756	100307	2.20	48167
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	39212	43866	49116	1.06	13358
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27940	32173	36630	1.32	11921
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9914	10226	10041	0.01	17
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45766	56493	67781	1.89	29176
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-28559	-30071	-30865		-3701
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7744	-10088	-12859		-6893
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7625	-7740	-7975		1083
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-18532	-25262	-32527		-18947
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-157181	-187826	-221971		-83276
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.8	47.1	49.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	28132	38507	50020	3.22	30689
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	32035	36221	40182	1.08	11037
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	24249	28948	33512	1.59	12609
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	70942	79251	88048	0.98	22323
	Smallwood	m3	0	81121	85384	87649	0.38	9533
	Total derived removals	m3	0	152063	164636	175697	0.67	31856
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1130	-2264	-6395
	Smallwood	m3	0	1867	4242	5885
	Total removals	m3	0	2997	1977	-510
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	6179	6719	7355	0.82	1590
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1839	2207	2661	1.71	1061
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3122	3735	4489	1.65	1739
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9229	9901	10572	0.65	1877
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3016	3733	4579	1.97	2029
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1807	1909	2004	0.60	332
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	5089	6340	7918	2.14	3725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3050	3182	3216		287
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1177	1526	1919		968
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-666	-992	-1483		-999
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1967	2605	3429		1922
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7777	8729	9221		2522
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.6	57.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1649	2040	2560	2.02	1155
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5393	5777	6162	0.64	1068
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	5083	5486	5881	0.84	1299
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14008	14833	15637	0.51	2232
	Smallwood	m3	0	9774	10492	11187	0.72	2162
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23782	25326	26824	0.60	4394
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	306	208	146
	Smallwood	m3	0	-108	-524	-790
	Total removals	m3	0	198	-317	-644
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10146	11695	12936	1.30	4150
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2497	3040	3668	1.96	1621
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2680	3521	4533	2.87	2592
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10502	12105	13244	1.27	4180
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2524	3047	3655	1.90	1577
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1087	1153	1236	0.54	185
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1944	2363	2994	2.05	1368
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	356	410	308		25
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-473	-504	-596		-149
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-736	-1158	-1539		-1221
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5534	-5939	-7808		-4783
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	25.9	30.1	34.3
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	693	1058	1554	4.42	1129
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8673	9982	10855	1.22	3310
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1583	2681	3911	7.99	3521
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14886	18141	20157	1.58	7566
	Smallwood	m3	0	32078	32840	32875	0.39	3654
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46964	50981	53031	0.80	11219
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-372	-841	-1048
	Smallwood	m3	0	200	1040	2514
	Total removals	m3	0	-172	199	1467
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


03-Oct-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	79313	86323	93327	0.78	19389
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	38598	45480	53062	1.56	19668
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	69341	87451	106769	2.11	49777
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	66898	74351	82638	0.99	21064
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32577	37585	42924	1.34	14097
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	32069	36689	41458	1.07	11326
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	68927	84775	102004	1.86	43271
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-12415	-11972	-10689		1764
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6021	-7896	-10138		-5571
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3718	-3344	-3184		2080
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-414	-2676	-4765		-6571
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-66570	-79561.3	-94650.6		-36748
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	30358	41120	53038	3.08	31711
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	59822	67200	74669	1.04	19850
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46728	55447	63978	1.53	23388
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	133311	147501	160832	0.86	36589
	Smallwood	m3	0	146820	161505	177735	0.87	40703
	Total derived removals	m3	0	280131	309005	338567	0.87	77292
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-25	-6573	-11116
	Smallwood	m3	0	304	-3451	-9904
	Total removals	m3	0	279	-10023	-21020
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE(18) Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	89515	97551	105708	0.80	22511
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	41227	48739	57116	1.59	21559
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	72894	92431	113781	2.18	54171
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	76971	85759	95633	1.02	25115
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	35358	41012	47162	1.40	16039
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	35065	40354	45753	1.11	12946
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	73212	90507	109652	1.91	47478
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-12544	-11792	-10075		2690
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5870	-7727	-9954		-5515
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-3813	-3501	-3473		1823
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	318	-1924	-4129		-6716
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-64565	-75624	-90941		-34775
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	31947	43431	56514	3.13	34064
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	67388	75738	84363	1.06	22798
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50858	60638	70489	1.62	26909
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	147744	164553	180635	0.93	43610
	Smallwood	m3	0	175091	193918	212940	0.96	53082
	Total derived removals	m3	0	322835	358471	393575	0.94	96692
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	292	-7075	-12749
	Smallwood	m3	0	13	-5124	-11709
	Total removals	m3	0	305	-12199	-24458
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: CONSTANT PRICES, LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario:LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	111110	125309	141010	1.10	39520
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	49409	60216	73830	1.91	32008
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	81348	106356	135068	2.48	70362
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	98149	109202	121530	1.00	31413
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	43277	50627	58655	1.46	20634
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	37872	42157	46204	0.80	9853
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	78717	98482	121166	1.98	53977
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-12961	-16107	-19480		-8022
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-6131	-9589	-15175		-11368
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4260	-4949	-6204		-234
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	-2631	-7873	-13902		-16396
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-79491	-114560	-163376		-108419
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.9	46.1	48.8
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	34891	49033	65960	3.45	42085
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	82613	92402	102330	1.00	26470
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	55044	65694	76549	1.64	29541
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	190770	211291	229593	0.83	50659
	Smallwood	m3	0	226563	243123	258644	0.65	45518
	Total derived removals	m3	0	417333	454414	488237	0.73	96177
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1461	-5498	-10966
	Smallwood	m3	0	3427	3373	2625
	Total removals	m3	0	4889	-2126	-8341
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743