SCENARIOS (contd.)


20-Oct-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario:LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	10135	10802	11532	0.54	1710
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2645	2870	3120	0.73	610
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4921	6434	8600	2.43	4419
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22451	24420	26470	0.74	5266
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3207	3501	3818	0.79	805
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	22278	25241	28345	1.04	7564
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	21152	24789	28931	1.42	9989
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12316	13618	14938		3562
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	562	631	697		195
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4536	4987	5426		1052
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16231	18354	20331		5570
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	82814	91792	99163		22637
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.9	38.8	40.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1817	2494	3495	3.02	2062
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25180	27620	30162	0.82	6561
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20241	23554	26579	1.29	8484
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	56142	60649	63452	0.59	10220
	Smallwood	m3	0	62787	68877	76597	1.03	20286
	Total derived removals	m3	0	118929	129526	140049	0.82	30506
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-492	-2699	-2002
	Smallwood	m3	0	663	-677	-2297
	Total removals	m3	0	171	-3376	-4299
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	69708	78335	87392	1.11	24553
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	37009	45874	56766	2.07	26091
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	66575	87716	111142	2.55	59001
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	39592	44680	50291	1.14	14533
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	28512	33589	39193	1.55	14485
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9684	10255	10246	0.07	221
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	46208	59492	74232	2.20	35627
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-30117	-33655	-37101		-9937
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-8497	-12285	-17573		-11606
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7251	-7815	-8681		377
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-20367	-28223	-36909		-23329
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-165456	-207208	-256840		-118145
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.8	47.2	50.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	29175	41444	55689	3.59	36358
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	32371	36965	41379	1.18	12235
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	24421	29329	34121	1.65	13217
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	71633	80746	90302	1.06	24577
	Smallwood	m3	0	80988	87210	91538	0.53	13423
	Total derived removals	m3	0	152621	167957	181841	0.78	38000
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	439	-3759	-8649
	Smallwood	m3	0	2000	2416	1996
	Total removals	m3	0	2439	-1344	-6654
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	6487	7509	8913	1.46	3147
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1938	2468	3187	2.32	1587
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3179	3876	4753	1.84	2002
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9394	10258	11148	0.83	2453
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	2939	3535	4223	1.70	1673
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1920	2197	2522	1.38	850
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	5277	6858	8978	2.57	4785
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	2907	2749	2235		-694
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1001	1066	1036		86
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-700	-1114	-1809		-1325
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	2098	2982	4225		2718
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7586	8112	7658		959
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.5	56.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1677	2113	2706	2.21	1301
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5493	5992	6509	0.82	1415
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	5170	5677	6193	1.01	1611
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14273	15406	16563	0.71	3158
	Smallwood	m3	0	10037	11198	12488	1.09	3464
	Total derived removals	m3	0	24310	26604	29052	0.87	6622
FORECASTED REMOVALS:							0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	41	-365	-780
	Smallwood	m3	0	-371	-1230	-2091
	Total removals	m3	0	-330	-1595	-2872
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:EAST EUROPE Scenario: LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: LOW PRICES,CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10225	11998	13672	1.48	4886
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2501	3052	3693	1.99	1646
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2691	3554	4603	2.92	2663
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10582	12414	13990	1.46	4926
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2528	3058	3680	1.92	1602
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1090	1159	1249	0.58	198
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1953	2389	3051	2.12	1424
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	358	415	318		36
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-474	-507	-605		-157
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-738	-1165	-1552		-1235
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5544	-5969	-7876		-4851
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	26.0	30.3	34.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	699	1075	1591	4.50	1166
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8721	10178	11344	1.37	3799
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1592	2740	4107	8.16	3717
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	15015	18647	21394	1.78	8803
	Smallwood	m3	0	32083	32824	32771	0.38	3550
	Total derived removals	m3	0	47098	51471	54165	0.87	12353
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-501	-1347	-2285
	Smallwood	m3	0	195	1056	2617
	Total removals	m3	0	-306	-291	333
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario:LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	81532	91457	102209	1.09	28271
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	40006	49302	60744	2.01	27350
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	72000	94399	119549	2.50	62557
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	67144	74780	83036	1.00	21462
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	33022	38671	44873	1.49	16046
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	31400	34885	38122	0.79	7990
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	69158	86779	106674	2.01	47941
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-14388	-16677	-19172		-6719
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6984	-10632	-15871		-11304
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3456	-3921	-4942		322
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-2842	-7620	-12875		-14680
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-78306.2	-110376	-151700		-93798
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.8	47.1	49.8
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	31547	44449	59484	3.48	38157
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	59873	67199	74459	1.03	19639
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46702	55204	63316	1.49	22726
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	133564	147818	160818	0.86	36575
	Smallwood	m3	0	145318	157038	169352	0.71	32320
	Total derived removals	m3	0	278882	304855	330170	0.78	68895
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-278	-6890	-11102
	Smallwood	m3	0	1806	1016	-1521
	Total removals	m3	0	1528	-5873	-12623
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	91954	103296	115829	1.11	32633
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	42718	52762	65166	2.04	29610
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	75609	99509	126788	2.55	67178
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	77167	86132	96047	1.04	25529
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	35888	42306	49494	1.56	18371
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	34263	38166	41699	0.80	8892
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	73382	92320	113964	2.04	51790
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-14788	-17164	-19782		-7016
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-6830	-10456	-15672		-11234
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-3594	-4197	-5455		-159
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	-2227	-7189	-12824		-15411
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-77304	-109084	-152851		-96684
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.9	47.1	49.8
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	33167	46836	63097	3.50	40648
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	67381	75643	84065	1.04	22500
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50700	60079	69298	1.56	25718
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	147890	164722	180555	0.92	43530
	Smallwood	m3	0	173429	188869	203401	0.81	43543
	Total derived removals	m3	0	321319	353590	383956	0.86	87073
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	146	-7244	-12669
	Smallwood	m3	0	1675	-75	-2170
	Total removals	m3	0	1821	-7318	-14839
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: LOW PRICES, CONSTANT COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	111110	125309	141010	1.10	39520
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	49409	60216	73830	1.91	32008
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	81348	106356	135068	2.48	70362
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	98805	110696	124107	1.07	33990
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	43303	50695	58785	1.46	20764
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	38681	45134	52013	1.20	15662
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	79451	101026	126106	2.12	58917
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-12304	-14612	-16903		-5444
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-6105	-9521	-15045		-11238
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4122	-4370	-5079		890
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	-1897	-5330	-8962		-11456
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-75334	-101012	-137586		-82629
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.9	46.1	48.8
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	34891	49033	65960	3.45	42085
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	83188	93759	104689	1.08	28829
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	55568	66995	78868	1.74	31859
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	192024	214198	234637	0.91	55702
	Smallwood	m3	0	228747	252392	277163	0.88	64037
	Total derived removals	m3	0	420770	466590	511799	0.89	119739
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	208	-8406	-16009
	Smallwood	m3	0	1244	-5897	-15894
	Total removals	m3	0	1452	-14302	-31903
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


03-Oct-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	10135	10802	11532	0.54	1710
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2645	2870	3120	0.73	610
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4921	6434	8600	2.43	4419
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22797	25266	27986	0.93	6781
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3220	3530	3868	0.84	855
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	23087	28217	34154	1.67	13373
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	21886	27333	33871	1.96	14929
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12662	14464	16454		5077
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	574	660	748		245
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4674	5566	6551		2177
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16964	20898	25271		10510
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	86453	104244	123135		46609
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.9	38.8	40.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1817	2494	3495	3.02	2062
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25573	28583	31890	1.01	8289
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20575	24441	28235	1.49	10140
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	56894	62486	66747	0.76	13515
	Smallwood	m3	0	65155	78544	95746	1.79	39435
	Total derived removals	m3	0	122049	141030	162493	1.32	52950
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-1244	-4536	-5297
	Smallwood	m3	0	-1705	-10344	-21446
	Total removals	m3	0	-2949	-14880	-26743
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	69708	78335	87392	1.11	24553
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	37009	45874	56766	2.07	26091
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	66575	87716	111142	2.55	59001
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	39902	45329	51353	1.21	15595
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	28525	33628	39272	1.56	14564
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9684	10255	10246	0.07	221
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	46208	59492	74232	2.20	35627
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-29806	-33006	-36039		-8875
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-8484	-12247	-17493		-11527
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7251	-7815	-8681		377
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-20367	-28223	-36909		-23329
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-164939	-206112	-255021		-116327
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.8	47.2	50.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	29175	41444	55689	3.59	36358
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	32553	37360	42010	1.23	12866
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	24612	29743	34783	1.71	13880
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	72134	81816	92051	1.13	26326
	Smallwood	m3	0	80804	86813	90908	0.51	12792
	Total derived removals	m3	0	152938	168629	182959	0.81	39119
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-62	-4829	-10398
	Smallwood	m3	0	2184	2813	2626
	Total removals	m3	0	2122	-2016	-7772
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	6487	7509	8913	1.46	3147
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1938	2468	3187	2.32	1587
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3179	3876	4753	1.84	2002
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9394	10258	11148	0.83	2453
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	2939	3535	4223	1.70	1673
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1920	2197	2522	1.38	850
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	5277	6858	8978	2.57	4785
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	2907	2749	2235		-694
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1001	1066	1036		86
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-700	-1114	-1809		-1325
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	2098	2982	4225		2718
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7586	8112	7658		959
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.5	56.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1677	2113	2706	2.21	1301
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5493	5992	6509	0.82	1415
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	5170	5677	6193	1.01	1611
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14273	15406	16563	0.71	3158
	Smallwood	m3	0	10037	11198	12488	1.09	3464
	Total derived removals	m3	0	24310	26604	29052	0.87	6622
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	41	-365	-780
	Smallwood	m3	0	-371	-1230	-2091
	Total removals	m3	0	-330	-1595	-2872
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10225	11998	13672	1.48	4886
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2501	3052	3693	1.99	1646
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2691	3554	4603	2.92	2663
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10582	12414	13990	1.46	4926
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2528	3058	3680	1.92	1602
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1090	1159	1249	0.58	198
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1953	2389	3051	2.12	1424
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	358	415	318		36
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-474	-507	-605		-157
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-738	-1165	-1552		-1235
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5544	-5969	-7876		-4851
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	26.0	30.3	34.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	699	1075	1591	4.50	1166
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8721	10178	11344	1.37	3799
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1592	2740	4107	8.16	3717
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	15015	18647	21394	1.78	8803
	Smallwood	m3	0	32083	32824	32771	0.38	3550
	Total derived removals	m3	0	47098	51471	54165	0.87	12353
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-501	-1347	-2285
	Smallwood	m3	0	195	1056	2617
	Total removals	m3	0	-306	-291	333
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION(15) Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	81532	91457	102209	1.09	28271
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	40006	49302	60744	2.01	27350
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	72000	94399	119549	2.50	62557
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	67673	75972	85084	1.08	23510
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	33048	38739	45003	1.50	16176
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	32049	37423	43117	1.20	12985
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	69761	88967	110953	2.14	52220
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-13859	-15484	-17124		-4671
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6958	-10564	-15741		-11174
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3349	-3427	-3975		1289
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-2239	-5432	-8596		-10401
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-74924.9	-98874.6	-129660		-71757
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.8	47.1	49.8
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	31547	44449	59484	3.48	38157
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	60351	68327	76415	1.11	21596
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	47116	56241	65172	1.59	24582
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	134594	150193	164930	0.95	40687
	Smallwood	m3	0	147111	165199	185785	1.02	48753
	Total derived removals	m3	0	281705	315392	350715	0.99	89440
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-1308	-9265	-15214
	Smallwood	m3	0	13	-7145	-17954
	Total removals	m3	0	-1295	-16410	-33168
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	91954	103296	115829	1.11	32633
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	42718	52762	65166	2.04	29610
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	75609	99509	126788	2.55	67178
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	77823	87626	98625	1.12	28107
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	35914	42374	49624	1.57	18501
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	35072	41142	47508	1.24	14701
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	74115	94864	118904	2.18	56730
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-14131	-15670	-17204		-4439
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-6804	-10388	-15542		-11103
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-3456	-3618	-4330		966
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	-1493	-4645	-7884		-10471
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-73147	-95536	-127061		-70895
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.9	47.1	49.8
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	33167	46836	63097	3.50	40648
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	67956	77000	86424	1.14	24860
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	51224	61380	71617	1.67	28037
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	149143	167629	185599	1.02	48574
	Smallwood	m3	0	175613	198138	221920	1.10	62062
	Total derived removals	m3	0	324756	365767	407518	1.06	110636
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-1107	-10151	-17713
	Smallwood	m3	0	-509	-9344	-20689
	Total removals	m3	0	-1616	-19495	-38401
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


17-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: LOW PRICES AND LOW COSTS
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	0.31	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	104969	111668	118343	0.51	16853
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	46266	52303	59002	1.15	17180
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	78633	99277	122061	2.14	57356
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	94904	101917	109304	0.65	19187
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	41806	47231	52825	1.10	14804
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	37864	41369	44449	0.67	8098
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	77814	94125	111915	1.72	44725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-10065	-9751	-9039		2419
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-4459	-5073	-6177		-2371
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4617	-4832	-5346		623
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	-819	-5152	-10146		-12641
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-67709	-87900	-116843		-61886
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	42.8	46.0	48.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	33672	45628	59376	3.08	35502
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	80185	86878	93105	0.69	17245
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	53143	61233	68930	1.28	21921
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	185071	198440	208090	0.50	29155
	Smallwood	m3	0	226409	239999	251775	0.56	38649
	Total derived removals	m3	0	411480	438439	459864	0.53	67805
FORECASTED REMOVALS:							0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	7161	7353	10538
	Smallwood	m3	0	3581	6496	9494
	Total removals	m3	0	10742	13849	20032
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	9544	9571	9603	-0.08	-219
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2516	2593	2677	0.21	166
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4551	5489	6761	1.62	2580
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22110	23759	25506	0.62	4301
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3104	3282	3471	0.47	458
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	22156	24777	27326	0.92	6544
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	20887	23975	27247	1.22	8305
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12565	14188	15903		4527
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	588	689	794		292
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4518	4903	5242		869
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16335	18486	20486		5724
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	83529	92883	100607		24081
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	36.8	38.6	40.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1676	2116	2763	2.21	1329
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	24825	26938	29176	0.71	5576
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	19971	23021	25807	1.19	7712
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	55453	59321	61532	0.48	8300
	Smallwood	m3	0	62491	67424	73206	0.88	16895
	Total derived removals	m3	0	117944	126745	134737	0.69	25194
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	197	-1371	-82
	Smallwood	m3	0	959	776	1094
	Total removals	m3	0	1156	-595	1013
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	3282