SCENARIOS (contd.)


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	64768	67521	69804	0.35	6965
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	34150	38632	43147	1.14	12472
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	64298	81756	100307	2.20	48167
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	37023	38904	40634	0.43	4876
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27104	30300	33508	1.02	8799
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9914	10226	10041	0.01	17
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45766	56493	67781	1.89	29176
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-27745	-28617	-29170		-2006
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7046	-8332	-9639		-3673
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7625	-7740	-7975		1083
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-18532	-25262	-32527		-18947
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-154833	-182867	-214429		-75734
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	43.8	47.1	49.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	28132	38507	50020	3.22	30689
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	30493	32634	34128	0.53	4984
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	22935	25748	27932	0.97	7029
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	67153	70581	73316	0.36	7591
	Smallwood	m3	0	81394	86229	89274	0.45	11159
	Total derived removals	m3	0	148547	156810	162590	0.41	18750
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	4919	6406	8337
	Smallwood	m3	0	1594	3397	4260
	Total removals	m3	0	6513	9803	12597
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	5956	6216	6499	0.40	734
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1788	2086	2447	1.43	847
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3122	3735	4489	1.65	1739
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9140	9719	10291	0.56	1596
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	2983	3657	4450	1.87	1900
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1807	1909	2004	0.60	332
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	5089	6340	7918	2.14	3725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3184	3503	3792		862
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1196	1571	2003		1053
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-666	-992	-1483		-999
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1967	2605	3429		1922
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3EQ		6699	8019	9310	10268		3569
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.8	54.6	57.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1649	2040	2560	2.02	1155
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5346	5679	6010	0.55	916
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	5035	5388	5729	0.75	1148
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	13872	14553	15205	0.42	1799
	Smallwood	m3	0	9778	10493	11171	0.71	2147
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23650	25046	26375	0.54	3945
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	442	488	578
	Smallwood	m3	0	-112	-525	-774
	Total removals	m3	0	330	-37	-195
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2710	3089	3597	1.07	982
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-253	-382	-446		-235
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-737	-2107	-5529		-7661
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1459	1816	2336	2.12	1089
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33651	34901	36920	0.26	2750
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62235	65412	69258	0.28	5657
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-447	-666	-683
	Total removals	m3	0	473	-398	-854
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10146	11695	12936	1.30	4150
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2497	3040	3668	1.96	1621
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2680	3521	4533	2.87	2592
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10502	12105	13244	1.27	4180
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2524	3047	3655	1.90	1577
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1087	1153	1236	0.54	185
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1944	2363	2994	2.05	1368
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	356	410	308		25
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-473	-504	-596		-149
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-736	-1158	-1539		-1221
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5534	-5939	-7808		-4783
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	25.9	30.1	34.3
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	693	1058	1554	4.42	1129
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8673	9982	10855	1.22	3310
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1583	2681	3911	7.99	3521
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14886	18141	20157	1.58	7566
	Smallwood	m3	0	32078	32840	32875	0.39	3654
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46964	50981	53031	0.80	11219
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-372	-841	-1048
	Smallwood	m3	0	200	1040	2514
	Total removals	m3	0	-172	199	1467
	Logdiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	165


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	191	217	244	0.58	39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-119	-118	-88		54
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1846	821	48		-1357
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	21.6	26.4	31.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	64	90	144	4.92	110
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7016	8112	8329	0.94	2046
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12140	13445	13872	0.83	3039
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1388	2474	3083
	Total removals	m3	0	2442	4877	6005
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	75707	78622	81083	0.31	7145
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	36963	41624	46336	1.10	12941
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	69341	87451	106769	2.11	49777
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	64017	67867	71639	0.51	10065
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	31651	35510	39469	1.05	10642
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	31420	34150	36462	0.64	6330
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	68324	82587	97725	1.71	38992
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-11689	-10754	-9443		3009
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-5312	-6113	-6867		-2299
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3825	-3838	-4151		1113
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-1017	-4864	-9044		-10850
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-66840	-84431.8	-106319		-48417
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	30358	41120	53038	3.08	31711
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	57514	61907	65764	0.61	10945
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	44816	50802	55877	1.07	15287
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	128054	135573	140678	0.41	16435
	Smallwood	m3	0	145380	154372	163230	0.58	26198
	Total derived removals	m3	0	273434	289945	303908	0.51	42633
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5232	5355	9038
	Smallwood	m3	0	1744	3682	4601
	Total removals	m3	0	6976	9037	13639
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	85814	89655	93162	0.38	9966
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	39575	44849	50338	1.17	14782
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	72894	92431	113781	2.18	54171
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	73922	78847	83822	0.58	13304
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	34417	38910	43664	1.13	12541
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	34255	37377	39944	0.66	7137
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	72478	87963	104712	1.75	42538
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-11892	-10808	-9341		3425
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5158	-5940	-6674		-2236
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-3951	-4080	-4598		699
	Paper and paperboald	m.t.	2587	-415	-4468	-9069		-11656
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-65522	-82424	-106318		-50152
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	43.8	47.0	49.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	31947	43431	56514	3.13	34064
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	64953	70119	74840	0.65	13276
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	48799	55618	61679	1.16	18099
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	142190	151870	159052	0.50	22027
	Smallwood	m3	0	173275	185745	196532	0.69	36674
	Total derived removals	m3	0	315466	337616	355583	0.60	58701
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5846	5608	8834
	Smallwood	m3	0	1829	3049	4699
	Total removals	m3	0	7674	8656	13534
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: LOW CONSTRUCTION
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3609	3991	4505	0.80	961
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-613	-726	-749		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	480	-2567	-7330		-10978
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	32.5	34.1	36.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1690	2129	2757	2.22	1332
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	53039	54168	55165	0.12	2002
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95853	100671	104137	031	9131
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1743	3429	4768
	Total removals	m3	0	3058	5174	6471
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	108670	119563	130888	0.85	29398
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	47918	56193	65780	1.52	23958
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	78633	99277	122061	2.14	57356
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	97150	106614	116615	0.86	26498
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42721	49266	56195	1.31	18175
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	36686	39459	41069	0.41	4718
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	77814	94125	111915	1.72	44725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-11520	-12949	-14274		-2816
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-5197	-6927	-9585		-5778
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-3755	-3387	-2730		3240
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	-819	-5152	-10146		-12641
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-67522	-89730	-119340		-64383
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	45.4	49.3	53.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	35712	48986	65381	3.42	41506
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	81953	90654	98969	0.89	23110
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	54582	64441	74051	1.53	27042
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	189133	207008	221405	0.71	42471
	Smallwood	m3	0	221794	232506	238703	0.38	25578
	Total derived removals	m3	0	410927	439514	460109	0.53	68049
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3099	-1215	-2778
	Smallwood	m3	0	8196	13989	22565
	Total removals	m3	0	11295	12774	19787
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	10019	10548	11115	0.41	1293
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2583	2734	2898	0.48	387
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4551	5489	6761	1.62	2580
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22518	24598	26803	0.78	5598
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3163	3406	3665	0.66	652
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	22024	24454	26904	0.86	6122
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	20887	23975	27247	1.22	8305
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12499	14050	15688		4312
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	580	672	767		265
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4491	4835	5159		785
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16335	18486	20486		5724
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	83298	92352	99872		23346
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	39.1	43.2	45.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1780	2371	3102	2.61	1668
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25263	27837	30563	0.87	6963
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20320	23779	27010	1.34	8915
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	56300	61060	64216	0.63	10984
	Smallwood	m3	0	61762	65697	70765	0.76	14454
	Total derived removals	m3	0	118061	126757	134981	0.70	25438
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-650	-3110	-2766
	Smallwood	m3	0	1688	2503	3535
	Total removals	m3	0	1039	-607	769
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	67771	73937	79981	0.81	17142
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	35683	42261	49489	1.61	18814
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	64298	81756	100307	2.20	48167
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	38772	42580	46366	0.87	10608
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27926	32136	36555	1.31	11846
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9120	9078	7897	-0.79	-2127
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45766	56493	67781	1.89	29176
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-29000	-31357	-33615		-6451
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7757	-10124	-12934		-6968
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-6800	-6348	-5510		3549
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-18532	-25262	-32527		-18947
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-154441	-184093	-216128		-77433
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	46.3	50.2	54.5
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	29751	41047	54629	3.52	35298
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31776	35413	38454	0.93	9309
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	23977	28100	31698	1.40	10795
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	70233	77131	83515	0.80	17790
	Smallwood	m3	0	78560	82309	82087	0.17	3971
	Total derived removals	m3	0	148792	159440	165601	0.47	21761
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1839	-144	-1862
	Smallwood	m3	0	4428	7317	11447
	Total removals	m3	0	6268	7173	9586
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	6179	6719	7355	0.82	1590
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1839	2207	2661	1.71	1061
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3122	3735	4489	1.65	1739
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9229	9901	10572	0.65	1877
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3016	3733	4579	1.97	2029
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1779	1862	1934	0.49	261
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	5089	6340	7918	2.14	3725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3050	3182	3216		287
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1177	1526	1919		968
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-646	-938	-1384		-900
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1967	2605	3429		1922
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7862	8955	9638		2939
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	54.3	57.3	60.8
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1697	2141	2730	2.24	1325
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5393	5777	6162	0.64	1068
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	5083	5486	5881	0.84	1299
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14008	14833	15637	0.51	2232
	Smallwood	m3	0	9674	10330	10939	0.64	1914
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23682	25164	26576	0.57	4146
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	306	208	146
	Smallwood	m3	0	-8	-362	-542
	Total removals	m3	0	298	-155	-396
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2596	2890	3193	0.67	577
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-240	-365	-414		-202
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-682	-2039	-5392		-7525
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1586	2031	2773	2.70	1527
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33127	33962	35003	0.08	833
	Total derived removals	m3	0	61711	64472	67341	0.19	3740
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	77	273	1234
	Total removals	m3	0	997	542	1063
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990-2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10146	11695	12936	1.30	4150
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2497	3040	3668	1.96	1621
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2680	3521	4533	2.87	2592
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10502	12105	13244	1.27	4180
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2524	3047	3655	1.90	1577
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	987	972	918	-0.45	-133
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1944	2363	2994	2.05	1368
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	356	410	308		25
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-448	-459	-499		-52
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-736	-1158	-1539		-1221
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5430	-5750	-7402		-4378
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	30.5	36.6	43.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	818	1288	1977	5.26	1552
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8673	9982	10855	1.22	3310
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1583	2681	3911	7.99	3521
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14886	18141	20157	1.58	7566
	Smallwood	m3	0	31699	32154	31667	0.27	2446
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46585	50295	51823	0.72	10011
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-372	-841	-1048
	Smallwood	m3	0	579	1726	3722
	Total removals	m3	0	207	885	2675
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


03-Oct-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	180	203	223	0.28	18
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-113	-112	-82		59
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1872	845	72		-1333
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	27.3	32.1	37.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	80	110	170	5.52	136
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	6972	8054	8243	0.91	1960
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12095	13387	13786	0.81	2953
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1432	2532	3169
	Total removals	m3	0	2487	4935	6091
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	79313	86323	93327	0.78	19389
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	38598	45480	53062	1.56	19668
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	69341	87451	106769	2.11	49777
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	66235	72508	78864	0.83	17289
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32551	37518	42796	1.33	13969
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	30505	32772	33924	0.40	3792
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	68324	82587	97725	1.71	38992
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-13078	-13815	-14463		-2010
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6047	-7963	-10266		-5699
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3020	-2490	-1746		3518
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-1017	-4864	-9044		-10850
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-66782.9	-86440.9	-109349		-51447
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	46.3	50.1	54.3
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	32078	43847	57981	3.39	36655
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	59261	65640	71563	0.89	16744
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46230	53959	60923	1.36	20333
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	132066	144041	153842	0.71	29599
	Smallwood	m3	0	141840	149008	153695	0.38	16664
	Total derived removals	m3	0	273906	293049	307537	0.54	46263
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1220	-3113	-4126
	Smallwood	m3	0	5284	9046	14136
	Total removals	m3	0	6504	5933	10010
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	89515	97551	105708	0.80	22511
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	41227	48739	57116	1.59	21559
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	72894	92431	113781	2.18	54171
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	76168	83545	91132	0.86	20614
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	35332	40945	47034	1.39	15911
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	33296	35832	37226	0.42	4419
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	72478	87963	104712	1.75	42538
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-13347	-14006	-14576		-1810
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5896	-7794	-10082		-5643
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-3130	-2687	-2062		3234
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	-415	-4468	-9069		-11656
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-65506	-84471	-109154		-52988
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	46.3	50.2	54.3
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	33728	46370	61768	3.43	39318
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	66721	73896	80705	0.91	19140
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50237	58826	66800	1.43	23220
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	146253	160439	172367	0.77	35342
	Smallwood	m3	0	169583	179828	186369	0.51	26511
	Total derived removals	m3	0	315836	340267	358736	0.63	61854
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1783	-2961	-4481
	Smallwood	m3	0	5521	8966	14862
	Total removals	m3	0	7304	6005	10381
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: HIGH WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3391	3627	3843	0.27	299
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-572	-674	-668		-71
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	652	-2350	-6990		-10638
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	37.5	40.8	46.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1949	2549	3508	3.05	2083
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	52116	52592	52257	-0.06	-906
	Total derived removals	m3	0	94930	99094	101228	0.21	6222
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	2666	5005	7677
	Total removals	m3	0	3981	6751	9380
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


16-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	108670	119563	130888	0.85	29398
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	47918	56193	65780	1.52	23958
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	78633	99277	122061	2.14	57356
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	97150	106614	116615	0.86	26498
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42721	49266	56195	1.31	18175
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	38950	42867	46890	0.85	10539
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	77814	94125	111915	1.72	44725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-11520	-12949	-14274		-2816
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-5197	-6927	-9585		-5778
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-6051	-6811	-8589		-2619
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	-819	-5152	-10146		-12641
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-22745	-26930	-36264		-21964
	M3 EQ		-54957	-77163	-104110	-143948		-88991
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	39.6	42.5	44.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	31152	42151	53693	2.74	29819
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	81953	90654	98969	0.89	23110
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	54582	64441	74051	1.53	27042
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	189133	207008	221405	0.71	42471
	Smallwood	m3	0	229947	244715	259742	0.66	46617
	Total derived removals	m3	0	419080	451724	481147	0.68	89088
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3099	-1215	-2778
	Smallwood	m3	0	43	1780	1527
	Total removals	m3	0	3142	564	-1251
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	10019	10548	11115	0.41	1293
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2583	2734	2898	0.48	387
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4551	5489	6761	1.62	2580
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22518	24598	26803	0.78	5598
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3163	3406	3665	0.66	652
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	22253	24901	27536	0.94	6754
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	20887	23975	27247	1.22	8305
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12499	14050	15688		4312
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	580	672	767		265
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4537	4926	5283		909
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16335	18486	20486		5724
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-11809	-14109	-17495		-6653
	M3 EQ		76526	83492	92735	100390		23864
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	35.1	36.7	38.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1598	2015	2593	2.00	1159
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25263	27837	30563	0.87	6963
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20320	23779	27010	1.34	8915
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	56300	61060	64216	0.63	10984
	Smallwood	m3	0	62565	67278	72989	0.87	16678
	Total derived removals	m3	0	118865	128338	137205	0.75	27662
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-650	-3110	-2766
	Smallwood	m3	0	885	922	1311
	Total removals	m3	0	235	-2188	-1455
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	67771	73937	79981	0.81	17142
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	35683	42261	49489	1.61	18814
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	64298	81756	100307	2.20	48167
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	38772	42580	46366	0.87	10608
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27926	32136	36555	1.31	11846
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	10936	11663	12341	0.70	2316
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45766	56493	67781	1.89	29176
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-29000	-31357	-33615		-6451
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7757	-10124	-12934		-6968
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-9054	-9688	-11143		-2085
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-18532	-25262	-32527		-18947
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-163906	-198123	-239789		-101094
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	39.9	43.0	44.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	25681	35122	44552	2.82	25221
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31776	35413	38454	0.93	9309
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	23977	28100	31698	1.40	10795
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	70233	77131	83515	0.80	17790
	Smallwood	m3	0	84986	91342	97709	0.75	19593
	Total derived removals	m3	0	155219	168473	181224	0.77	37383
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1839	-144	-1862
	Smallwood	m3	0	-1998	-1716	-4175
	Total removals	m3	0	-159	-1860	-6037
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823