SCENARIOS (contd.)


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	6179	6719	7355	0.82	1590
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1839	2207	2661	1.71	1061
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3122	3735	4489	1.65	1739
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9229	9901	10572	0.65	1877
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3016	3733	4579	1.97	2029
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1819	1942	2068	0.71	395
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	5089	6340	7918	2.14	3725
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3050	3182	3216		287
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1177	1526	1919		968
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-668	-1012	-1554		-1070
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1967	2605	3429		1922
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	7767	8643	8922		2223
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	52.3	53.2	54.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1634	1986	2426	1.84	1021
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5393	5777	6162	0.64	1068
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	5083	5486	5881	0.84	1299
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14008	14833	15637	0.51	2232
	Smallwood	m3	0	9822	10618	11421	0.79	2396
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23830	25452	27058	0.63	4628
FORECASTED REMOVALS:							0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	306	208	146
	Smallwood	m3	0	-156	-650	-1024
	Total removals	m3	0	150	-443	-878
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2700	3062	3568	1.04	952
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-268	-406	-479		-267
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-798	-2209	-5666		-7799
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1455	1819	2332	2.11	1086
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33622	34804	36829	0.25	2659
	Total derived removals	m3	0	62206	65314	69167	0.28	5566
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	-418	-569	-592
	Total removals	m3	0	502	-300	-763
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3679


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10146	11695	12936	1.30	4150
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2497	3040	3668	1.96	1621
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2680	3521	4533	2.87	2592
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10502	12105	13244	1.27	4180
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2524	3047	3655	1.90	1577
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	1046	1076	1121	0.21	70
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1944	2363	2994	2.05	1368
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	356	410	308		25
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-13		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-473	-506	-599		-152
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-736	-1158	-1539		-1221
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5535	-5947	-7822		-4797
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	27.4	32.2	36.7
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	734	1133	1666	4.66	1241
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8673	9982	10855	1.22	3310
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1583	2681	3911	7.99	3521
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14886	18141	20157	1.58	7566
	Smallwood	m3	0	31913	32530	32416	0.35	3194
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46799	50671	52572	0.77	10760
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-372	-841	-1048
	Smallwood	m3	0	365	1350	2973
	Total removals	m3	0	-7	509	1926
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	197	224	256	0.74	51
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-125	-125	-95		46
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1817	792	18		-1388
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	17.3	22.1	27.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	51	76	124	4.42	90
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	7039	8143	8379	0.96	2096
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12163	13476	13922	0.84	3089
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1365	2443	3033
	Total removals	m3	0	2419	4846	5955
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	79313	86323	93327	0.78	19389
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	38598	45480	53062	1.56	19668
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	69341	87451	106769	2.11	49777
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	66235	72508	78864	0.83	17289
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	32551	37518	42796	1.33	13969
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	32516	35702	38878	0.85	8746
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	68324	82587	97725	1.71	38992
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	-13078	-13815	-14463		-2010
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-6047	-7963	-10266		-5699
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-5243	-5778	-7323		-2059
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	-1017	-4864	-9044		-10850
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-20657	-25446	-32815		-17678
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-76122.4	-100251	-132773		-74871
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	40.2	43.0	44.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	27843	37629	47450	2.70	26123
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	59261	65640	71563	0.89	16744
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46230	53959	60923	1.36	20333
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	132066	144041	153842	0.71	29599
	Smallwood	m3	0	148985	159335	171211	0.75	34179
	Total derived removals	m3	0	281051	303376	325053	0.73	63778
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1220	-3113	-4126
	Smallwood	m3	0	-1861	-1281	-3380
	Total removals	m3	0	-641	-4394	-7506
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	89515	97551	105708	0.80	22511
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	41227	48739	57116	1.59	21559
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	72894	92431	113781	2.18	54171
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	76168	83545	91132	0.86	20614
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	35332	40945	47034	1.39	15911
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	35400	38991	42544	0.87	9737
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	72478	87963	104712	1.75	42538
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	-13347	-14006	-14576		-1810
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-5896	-7794	-10082		-5643
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-5369	-6036	-7815		-2519
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	-415	-4468	-9069		-11656
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-20753	-23938	-31307		-15696
	M3 EQ		-56166	-74911	-98538	-133317		-77150
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	40.3	43.1	44.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	29385	39861	50696	2.75	28247
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	66721	73896	80705	0.91	19140
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50237	58826	66800	1.43	23220
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	146253	160439	172367	0.77	35342
	Smallwood	m3	0	177034	190909	205100	0.83	45242
	Total derived removals	m3	0	323286	351348	377467	0.80	80585
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1783	-2961	-4481
	Smallwood	m3	0	-1930	-2115	-3869
	Total removals	m3	0	-146	-5076	-8350
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: LOW WASTE PAPER RECOVERY
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3551	3876	4345	0.68	801
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-628	-749	-774		-177
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	415	-2662	-7436		-11084
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	33.4	35.6	38.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1733	2222	2892	2.39	1467
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	52819	53720	54565	0.09	1402
	Total derived removals	m3	0	95633	100223	103536	0.29	8530
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	1963	3877	5369
	Total removals	m3	0	3278	5622	7072
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 1
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	104292	110454	116776	0.47	15285
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	45597	51475	58855	1.15	17032
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	73727	87806	102961	1.56	38255
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	96665	103490	111277	0.71	21160
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	41891	48033	55529	1.27	17508
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	36781	38652	39652	0.29	3301
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	76226	87489	99358	1.31	32168
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-7627	-6964	-5499		5959
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-3707	-3442	-3326		481
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4453	-3497	-2196		3773
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	2499	-318	-3603		-6097
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-16545	-14430	-17764		-3464
	M3 EQ		-54957	-44538	-46497	-52989		1968
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	45.3	49.1	53.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	33387	43093	54771	2.81	30897
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	81632	88855	96130	0.79	20270
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	54567	63120	71748	1.42	24739
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	188391	202289	215667	0.62	36732
	Smallwood	m3	0	226984	241093	250263	0.54	37138
	Total derived removals	m3	0	415375	443382	465929	0.58	73870
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	213125	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3841	3504	2961
	Smallwood	m3	0	3006	5402	11006
	Total removals	m3	0	6847	8906	13967
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	9796	10081	10380	0.18	558
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2472	2519	2584	0.10	74
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	3955	4304	5011	0.61	830
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22683	25113	27914	0.92	6709
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3084	3260	3462	0.46	449
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	21860	23957	26069	0.76	5287
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	20468	22971	25622	1.01	6680
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12888	15032	17534		6157
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	613	741	877		375
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4468	4747	5008		634
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16513	18667	20611		5850
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-5609	-1609	1005		11847
	M3 EQ		76526	90677	106771	121281		44755
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	38.8	42.8	45.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1535	1841	2265	1.54	831
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25454	28402	31738	0.99	8138
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20504	24372	28277	1.50	10182
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	56671	62175	68564	0.85	15332
	Smallwood	m3	0	67113	75606	82664	1.29	26353
	Total derived removals	m3	0	123784	137782	151228	1.08	41685
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-1021	-4225	-7114
	Smallwood	m3	0	-3663	-7406	-8364
	Total removals	m3	0	-4684	-11632	-15478
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	3282


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	64224	66631	68814	0.30	5975
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	33653	38169	43594	1.18	12919
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	60115	71773	83503	1.58	31363
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	38536	39877	41489	0.50	5731
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	26956	30261	34145	1.08	9437
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9581	9228	8058	-0.73	-1967
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	44948	51736	58478	1.39	19873
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-25688	-26754	-27325		-161
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-6698	-7908	-9448		-3482
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7536	-6565	-5291		3768
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-15167	-20037	-25026		-11446
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-139241	-156603	-174487		-35792
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	46.1	50.0	54.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	27738	35852	45182	2.87	25851
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31503	33596	35367	0.65	6223
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	23955	26585	28809	1.07	7906
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	69775	72785	75936	0.48	10211
	Smallwood	m3	0	78747	81404	81529	0.14	3414
	Total derived removals	m3	0	148522	154189	157465	0.30	13625
FORECASTED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2297	4202	5717
	Smallwood	m3	0	4241	8222	12005
	Total removals	m3	0	6538	12424	17722
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	5664	5651	5679	-0.05	-87
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1667	1816	1990	0.73	390
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3017	3493	4069	1.31	1319
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	8910	9241	9546	0.31	852
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3243	4542	6571	3.21	4021
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1580	1414	1211	-1.07	-462
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	4755	5513	6391	1.41	2197
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3246	3589	3868		939
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1575	2726	4581		3631
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-586	-748	-931		-447
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1738	2020	2321		814
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	8246	10221	12820		6121
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	54.4	57.4	60.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1642	2005	2478	1.91	1073
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5202	5381	5548	0.29	454
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	4916	5133	5326	0.50	744
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	13498	13775	13994	0.14	589
	Smallwood	m3	0	9343	9943	11179	0.72	2155
	Total derived removals	m3	0	22840	23718	25174	0.39	2744
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	816	1266	1789
	Smallwood	m3	0	323	25	-782
	Total removals	m3	0	1140	1291	1006
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	-2389


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EAST EUROPE Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	12516	12635	14005	16440	0.91	3924
	Wood-based panels	m3	4374	4714	5276	6240	1.19	1865
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3367	3687	4433	5512	1.66	2145
	Fuelwood	m3	9502	10740	11370	11480	0.63	1978
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	13210	13674	14854	16934	0.83	3724
	Wood-based panels	m3	4720	5100	5909	6705	1.18	1985
	Woodpulp	m.t.	2616	2596	2890	3193	0.67	577
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	3454	3767	4544	5514	1.57	2060
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	694	1039	849	494		-200
	Wood-based panels	m3	346	386	633	466		120
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-211	-240	-365	-414		-202
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	81	80	110	2		-79
	Roundwood	m3	-1118	-2185	-3185	-5150		-6267
	M3 EQ		2133	-682	-2039	-5392		-7525
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1246	1586	2031	2773	2.70	1527
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	8705	8809	9517	10718	0.70	2012
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	2814	3208	3805	4775	1.78	1962
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	28584	30510	32338	0.31	2907
	Smallwood	m3	0	33127	33962	35003	0.08	833
	Total derived removals	m3	0	61711	64472	67341	0.19	3740
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	29431	29504	30779	32167	0.30	2736
	Smallwood	m3	34170	33204	34235	36237	0.20	2067
	Total removals	m3	63601	62708	65014	68404	0.24	4803
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	920	269	-171
	Smallwood	m3	0	77	273	1234
	Total removals	m3	0	997	542	1063
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	7059
	Smalldiff(recorded-derived)	m3	-3380
	Total diff(recorded-derived)	m3	3679


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: SOUTH-EAST EUROPE Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8786	10053	11426	12402	1.16	3616
	Wood-based panels	m3	2047	2489	3019	3623	1.92	1576
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1941	2658	3460	4407	2.77	2466
	Fuelwood	m3	16969	21039	21085	21099	0.73	4129
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9064	10406	11829	12697	1.13	3633
	Wood-based panels	m3	2078	2517	3026	3610	1.86	1532
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1051	982	961	898	-0.52	-153
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1627	1927	2314	2893	1.94	1266
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	283	353	403	295		12
	Wood-based panels	m3	26	27	7	-14		-39
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-447	-446	-453	-486		-39
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-317	-731	-1146	-1514		-1196
	Roundwood	m3	-562	-1666	-562	-562		0
	M3 EQ		-3025	-5410	-5694	-7283		-4258
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	21.9	30.3	36.2	43.2
	RECOVERED	m.t.	425	807	1254	1903	5.13	1479
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	7545	8625	9830	10540	1.12	2995
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	390	1573	2635	3785	7.87	3395
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	14740	17710	19292	1.43	6701
	Smallwood	m3	0	31682	32124	31644	0.27	2423
	Total derived removals	m3	0	46422	49835	50936	0.66	9124
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	12591	14514	17300	19109	1.40	6518
	Smallwood	m3	29221	32278	33880	35389	0.64	6168
	Total removals	m3	41812	46792	51180	54498	0.89	12686
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-226	-410	-183
	Smallwood	m3	0	596	1756	3745
	Total removals	m3	0	370	1345	3562
	Logdiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4764
	Smalldiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	4929
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	165


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:BALTIC COUNTRIES Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	1762	1920	2659	3061	1.86	1299
	Wood-based panels	m3	616	601	676	825	0.98	209
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	326	294	343	458	1.14	132
	Fuelwood	m3	3170	4141	5222	5502	1.86	2332
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	2186	2456	2576	2696	0.70	510
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	991	1036	1036	0.29	85
	Woodpulp	m.t.	205	180	203	223	0.28	18
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	368	361	411	461	0.75	93
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	424	536	-83	-365		-789
	Wood-based panels	m3	335	390	360	211		-124
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-142	-113	-112	-82		59
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	42	67	68	3		-40
	Roundwood	m3	676	676	676	676		0
	M3 EQ		1405	1872	845	72		-1333
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	10.4	27.3	32.1	37.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	34	80	110	170	5.52	136
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	1770	2038	2128	2218	0.75	448
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	225	411	590	775	4.21	550
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	5123	5333	5543	0.66	993
	Smallwood	m3	0	6972	8054	8243	0.91	1960
	Total derived removals	m3	0	12095	13387	13786	0.81	2953
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	4550	6178	7736	8465	2.09	3915
	Smallwood	m3	6283	8404	10586	11412	2.01	5129
	Total removals	m3	10833	14582	18322	19877	2.04	9044
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1055	2403	2922
	Smallwood	m3	0	1432	2532	3169
	Total removals	m3	0	2487	4935	6091
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	770
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	59
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	829


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (15) Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units	1990	2000	2010	2020	Change 1990–2020
		1000					(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	73938	75294	78022	80572	0.29	6634
	Wood-based panels	m3	33395	36429	41095	46696	1.12	13302
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	56992	64533	76179	87941	1.46	30949
	Fuelwood	m3	38709	45747	49982	54820	1.17	16111
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	61575	65831	69503	73598	0.60	12023
	Wood-based panels	m3	28827	31878	36635	42720	1.32	13893
	Woodpulp	m.t.	30132	30650	32060	32662	0.27	2531
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	58733	66864	76226	85620	1.26	26887
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12453	9463	-8519	-6974		5479
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4567	-4550	-4460	-3976		591
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5264	-3737	-2649	-1298		3966
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1805	2331	46	-2321		-4126
	Roundwood	m3	-15136	-14457	-12946	14315		822
	M3 EQ		-57902.2	-44218.8	-44234	-44757		13145
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.4	46.2	50.0	54.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	21327	29810	38082	47579	2.71	26253
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	54819	58965	63851	68642	0.75	13823
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	40590	46159	52449	28188	1.21	17598
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	131431	139456	148102	0.59	23859
	Smallwood	m3	0	147473	158597	167041	0.66	30009
	Total derived removals	m3	0	278905	298053	315143	0.63	53869
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	124243	133286	140928	149716	0.62	25473
	Smallwood	m3	137032	147124	158054	167831	0.68	30799
	Total removals	m3	261275	280410	298982	317547	0.65	56272
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1855	1472	1614
	Smallwood	m3	0	-349	-543	790
	Total removals	m3	0	1505	929	2404
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8545
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-8832
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-287


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:WESTERN EUROPE (18) Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	83196	85137	88441	91595	0.32	8398
	Wood-based panels	m3	35556	38907	44021	50191	1.16	14634
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	59610	67987	80960	94681	1.55	35070
	Fuelwood	m3	49622	60819	65868	71597	1.23	21975
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	70518	75683	80420	85794	0.66	15276
	Wood-based panels	m3	31123	34501	39712	46368	1.34	15245
	Woodpulp	m.t.	32807	33390	35025	35809	0.29	3002
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	62174	70891	81326	92155	1.32	29981
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-12765	9454	-8021	-5801		6964
	Wood-based panels	m3	-4439	-4406	-4309	-3823		616
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5296	-3828	-2796	-1528		3768
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2587	2903	367	-2525		-5113
	Roundwood	m3	-15611	-14553	-11438	-12807		2804
	M3 EQ		-56166	-42523	-41238	-42803		13363
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.7	46.2	50.0	54.0
	RECOVERED	m.t.	22450	31403	400477	51158	2.78	28708
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	61565	66400	72097	77865	0.79	16300
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	43580	50222	57505	64496	1.32	20916
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	145510	155719	166629	0.65	29604
	Smallwood	m3	0	174773	188416	197929	0.71	38070
	Total derived removals	m3	0	320283	344135	364557	0.69	67674
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	137025	148036	157478	167886	0.68	30861
	Smallwood	m3	159858	175104	188794	201231	0.77	41373
	Total removals	m3	296883	323140	346272	369117	0.73	72234
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2526	1759	1257
	Smallwood	m3	0	331	378	3302
	Total removals	m3	0	2857	2137	4560
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	4946
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-7483
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2537


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 1
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	17678	18474	21260	24349	1.07	6671
	Wood-based panels	m3	5985	6379	7110	8285	1.09	2300
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4603	5196	6246	7616	1.69	3013
	Fuelwood	m3	20504	22664	23617	23226	0.42	2722
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	19577	20960	23048	25460	0.88	5883
	Wood-based panels	m3	6721	7212	8144	8984	0.97	2263
	Woodpulp	m.t.	3544	3391	3627	3843	0.27	299
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4823	5143	5970	7010	1.25	2187
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	1901	2486	1788	1111		-790
	Wood-based panels	m3	736	833	1034	700		-36
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-597	-572	-674	-668		-71
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	207	-52	-276	-606		-813
	Roundwood	m3	1307	-1995	-2995	-4960		-6267
	M3 EQ		3648	652	-2350	-6990		-10638
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	31.0	37.5	40.8	46.1
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1425	1949	2549	3508	3.05	2083
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	14072	15009	16536	18042	0.83	3970
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	3409	4312	5570	7195	2.52	3786
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	42814	46503	48971	0.53	7128
	Smallwood	m3	0	52116	52592	52257	-0.06	-906
	Total derived removals	m3	0	94930	99094	101228	0.21	6222
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	41843	44129	48248	50674	0.64	8831
	Smallwood	m3	53163	54782	57597	59934	0.40	6771
	Total removals	m3	95006	98911	105845	110608	0.51	15602
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	1315	1745	1703
	Smallwood	m3	0	2666	5005	7677
	Total removals	m3	0	3981	6751	9380
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	7277
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-1702
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	5575


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPE Scenario:Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	101490	106401	114647	122956	0.64	21466
	Wood-based panels	m3	41822	46660	53405	61251	1.28	19429
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	64706	76097	93144	111549	1.83	46843
	Fuelwood	m3	70155	83514	89519	94861	1.01	24706
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	90117	96607	104598	112666	0.75	22549
	Wood-based panels	m3	38021	42258	48391	55093	1.24	17072
	Woodpulp	m.t.	36351	36728	38982	40189	0.34	3838
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	67190	76986	90504	104825	1.49	37635
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-11458	-9793	-10049	-10291		1167
	Wood-based panels	m3	-3807	-4402	-5014	-6158		-2351
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-5969	-4116	-3420	-2364		3606
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2495	889	-2640	-6724		-9218
	Roundwood	m3	-14300	-16545	-14430	-17764		-3464
	M3 EQ		-54957	-53092	-61341	76186		-21229
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	36.9	45.4	49.2	53.4
	RECOVERED	m.t.	23874	34511	45838	59547	3.09	35673
RESIDUES:
	GENERATED	m3	75860	81597	89399	86553	0.81	20694
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	47009	54391	63499	72063	1.43	25055
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	188263	203820	217207	0.65	38272
	Smallwood	m3	0	227590	242730	251957	0.56	38832
	Total derived removals	m3	0	415853	446550	469164	0.60	77104
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	178935	192232	205793	218627	0.67	39693
	Smallwood	m3	231325	229990	246495	261269	0.68	48144
	Total removals	m3	392060	422222	452288	479896	0.68	87836
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	3969	1973	1420
	Smallwood	m3	0	2400	3765	9312
	Total removals	m3	0	6369	5738	10732
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	11933
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-9190
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	2743


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: NORDIC COUNTRIES Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	9822	9906	10308	10732	0.30	910
	Wood-based panels	m3	2510	2525	2618	2724	0.27	213
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4181	4232	4803	5661	1.02	1480
	Fuelwood	m3	8867	12325	13225	14125	1.56	5258
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	21205	22595	24826	27271	0.84	6066
	Wood-based panels	m3	3013	3122	3327	3549	0.55	536
	Woodpulp	m.t.	20782	21934	24161	26385	0.80	5603
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	18942	20661	23391	26234	1.09	7292
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	11377	12690	14518	16539		5162
	Wood-based panels	m3	502	597	708	826		323
	Woodpulp	m.t.	4374	4478	4783	5065		692
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	14761	16429	18588	20573		5812
	Roundwood	m3	-10841	-5609	-1609	1005		11847
	M3 EQ		76526	90093	105783	119723		43197
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	34.3	39.0	43.0	45.6
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1434	1649	2066	2580	1.98	1147
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	23601	25354	28095	31079	0.92	7478
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	18095	20407	24049	27565	1.41	9470
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	56475	61563	67229	0.78	13997
	Smallwood	m3	0	67511	76763	84663	1.37	28352
	Total derived removals	m3	0	123987	138326	151892	1.10	42349
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	53232	55650	57950	61450	0.48	8218
	Smallwood	m3	56311	63450	68200	74300	0.93	17989
	Total removals	m3	109543	119100	126150	135750	0.72	26207
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	-825	-3613	-5779
	Smallwood	m3	0	-4061	-8563	-10363
	Total removals	m3	0	-4887	-12176	-16142
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	8205
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-4924
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	3282


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION: EUROPEAN UNION (12) Scenario:Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	62839	65944	70047	73832	0.54	10993
	Wood-based panels	m3	30675	34577	39812	45540	1.33	14866
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	52141	62147	76467	91186	1.88	39046
	Fuelwood	m3	25431	28947	32182	36020	1.17	10589
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	35758	38371	40864	42892	0.61	7134
	Wood-based panels	m3	24709	27407	31024	34854	1.15	10146
	Woodpulp	m.t.	10024	9358	9142	7949	-0.77	-2076
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	38605	45346	53925	62600	1.62	23995
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	-27164	-27573	-29183	-30940		-3776
	Wood-based panels	m3	-5966	-7170	-8788	-10686		-4720
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-9058	-7180	-6434	-5308		3751
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	-13580	-16801	-22542	-28586		-15006
	Roundwood	m3	-2200	-5023	-6435	-9535		-7335
	M3 EQ		-138695	-147004	-169748	-194268		-55573
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	37.1	46.2	50.1	54.3
	RECOVERED	m.t.	19331	28715	38291	49491	3.18	30160
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	29145	31457	34215	36095	0.72	6951
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	20904	23790	27103	29546	1.16	8642
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	69536	74286	77822	0.56	12097
	Smallwood	m3	0	78811	81835	81787	0.15	3671
	Total derived removals	m3	0	148346	156121	159608	0.35	15768
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	65725	72072	76987	81653	0.73	15928
	Smallwood	m3	78116	82988	89626	93534	0.60	15418
	Total removals	m3	143841	155060	166613	175187	0.66	31346
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	2536	2701	3831
	Smallwood	m3	0	4177	7791	11747
	Total removals	m3	0	6714	10492	15579
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	429
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-3251
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2823


20-Sep-96
COUNTRY OR REGION:CENTRAL EUROPE Scenario: MINIMUM IMPORTS 2
		Units					Change 1990–2020
		1000	1990	2000	2010	2020	(% p.a.)	(1000 units)
FORECAST CONSUMPTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	5765	5907	6119	6357	0.33	592
	Wood-based panels	m3	1600	1749	1993	2278	1.19	678
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	2751	3069	3608	4264	1.47	1513
	Fuelwood	m3	6215	6323	6435	6635	0.22	420
FORECAST PRODUCTION:
	Sawnwood	m3	8695	9068	9562	10039	0.48	1345
	Wood-based panels	m3	2550	3117	4059	5317	2.48	2766
	Woodpulp	m.t.	1673	1676	1620	1532	-0.29	-141
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	4193	4916	5896	7074	1.76	2881
FORECAST NET TRADE:
	Sawnwood	m3	2929	3161	3444	3682		753
	Wood-based panels	m3	951	1368	2067	3039		2088
	Woodpulp	m.t.	-484	-615	-836	-1133		-649
	Paper and paperboard	m.t.	1507	1847	2288	2811		1304
	Roundwood	m3	-2490	-2738	-3315	-4198		-1708
	M3 EQ		6699	8050	9539	11021		4322
WASTE PAPER:
	RECOVERY RATE	%	51.1	54.4	57.4	60.9
	RECOVERED	m.t.	1405	1668	2069	2594	2.07	1189
RESIDUES:
	AVAILABLE	m3	5094	5297	5574	5842	0.46	748
	DOMESTIC SUPPLY	m3	4581	4999	5305	5592	0.67	1011
DERIVED REMOVALS OF DOMESTIC WOOD:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	13750	14290	14783	0.33	1378
	Smallwood	m3	0	9476	9968	10570	0.53	1546
	Total derived removals	m3	0	23226	24259	25354	0.41	2924
FORECASTED REMOVALS:								0
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	13406	14314	15041	15783	0.55	2377
	Smallwood	m3	9024	9666	9968	10397	0.47	1373
	Total removals	m3	22430	23980	25009	26180	0.52	3750
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORECASTED AND DERIVED REMOVALS:
	Sawlogs and veneer logs	m3	0	564	751	1000
	Smallwood	m3	0	190	-0	-173
	Total removals	m3	0	754	750	826
	Logdiff ( recorded-derived)	m3	235
	Smalldiff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2624
	Total diff (recorded-derived)	m3	-2389