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8. FUTURE REGIONAL WBP TRADE BALANCE FORECASTS FOR 2010


8.1. Trade Flows to the six major Importing Countries
8.2. Trade Flows from the six major Exporting Countries

8.1. Trade Flows to the six major Importing Countries

Forecasting future levels of demand for the various types of wood based panels is already a difficult exercise, but in Table 66 we have attempted to forecast the level of import dependency in the six major Importing Countries of the region in 2010.

The Outlook Study predicts that Japan will be 55% dependant on total panel imports in 2010 amounting to nearly 12.7 million m³ of wood based panels per year, of which 10 million will be plywood & veneer, 1 million m³ will be MDF, another 1 million m³ will be OSB and LVL and 0.5 million m³ will be particleboard.

The Study also predicts that China will be 27% dependant upon imports in 2010, requiring a total volume of 10.5 million m³ of wood based panels a year, of which 4.7 million m³ will be plywood & veneer, 3.3 million m³ will be particleboard, 2.2 million m³ will be MDF, 0.4 million m³ will be other fibreboards and 0.7 million m³ will be OSB and LVL.

Republic of Korea will be 50% import dependant, requiring 4.0 million m³ of wood based panels per year, of which 2.8 million m³ will be plywood & veneer, 0.5 million m³ will be particleboard and another 0.5 million m³ will be MDF.

Taiwan Province of China will be 91% dependant on wood based panel imports by 2010 with a total requirement of 3.5 million m³, of which 1.8 million m³ will be plywood & veneer, 1.0 million m³ will be MDF and 0.7 million m³ will be particleboard.

The China, Hong Kong SAR figures will be included in the statistics for China, and Singapore's continued existence as an importer and exporter of wood products may have been overtaken by the development of newer 'High-tech' manufacturing and trading trends.

8.2. Trade Flows from the six major Exporting Countries


Table 1 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 2 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 3 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 4 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 5 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 6 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 7 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 8 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 9 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 10 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 11 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 12 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 13 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 14 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 15 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 16 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 17 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 18 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 19 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 20 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 21 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 22 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 23 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 24 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 25 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-1995

Table 26 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 27 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 28 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 29 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 30 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 31 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 32 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 33 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 34 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 35 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 36 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 37 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 38 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 39 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 40 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 41 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 42 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 43 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 44 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 45 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 46 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 47 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 48 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 49 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 50 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1995-2010

Table 51 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-2010

Table 52 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-2010

Table 53 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-2010

Table 54 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-2010

Table 55 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-2010

Table 56 - FAO Asia Pacific Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - 1990-2010

Table 57 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - Major Importers

Table 58 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - Major Exporters

Table 59 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - MDF Capacity (M³/Year)

Table 60 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - MDF Capacity (M³/Year)

Table 61 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - MDF Capacity (M³/Year)

Table 62 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - Particleboard Capacity (m³/Year)

Table 63 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - Particleboard Capacity (M³/Year)

Table 64 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - MDF Capacity (M³/Year)

Table 65 - FAO Outlook Study On Wood Based Panels - Particleboard Capacity (M³/Year)

Table 66 - Forecast WBP Trade Balance For Six Major Importers - 2010

Table 67 - Forecast WBP Trade Balance For Six Major Importers - 2010


In Table 67, we have attempted to forecast the possible levels of production, consumption and available exports from the six major, timber surplus, exporting countries of the Asia Pacific region in the year 2010.

Indonesia, despite a dramatic increase in domestic consumption, should still have an exportable surplus availability of 9 million m³ in 2010, of which 6.5 million m³ could be plywood & veneer, 1.2 million m³ could be MDF, 0.8 million m³ could be particleboard and 0.5 million m³ could be OSB and LVL.

Malaysia will also have increased its domestic consumption levels, but could have an exportable surplus of 6.9 million m³ of wood based panels, including 2.5 million m³ of plywood & veneer, 2.4 million m³ of Particleboard, 1.6 million m³ of MDF and 0.5 million m³ of OSB and LVL.

Thailand, despite a shortage of large diameter hardwood logs, could also be a major exporter of wood based panels, totalling 3.1 million m³ in 2010, of which 1.7 million m³ could be particleboard, 0.8 million m³ could be MDF and 0.7 million m³ could be OSB.

New Zealand, with an abundant and growing resource of Radiata Pine, will increase its role as an exporter of high quality panels, and by 2010 it could be exporting a total of 1.2 million m³ of panels, including 600,000 m³ of MDF, 230,000 of plywood, 150,000 m³ of particleboard and 150,000 m³ of OSB and Triboard.

Australia is also a significant potential exporter of wood based panels to the region, with a possible surplus of 660,000 m³ of MDF by 2010, plus 100,000 m³ of particleboard and 80,000 m³ of OSB or LVL.


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