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ANNEXES


(i) Project Data
(ii) Price Assumptions
(iii) Labour Requirements and Availability
(iv) Crop Data
(v) Cropping Pattern
(vi) Home Consumption Requirements
(vii) Household and Farm Data
(viii) Number of Farms in the Project
(ix) Project Costs and Benefits at Sub-Area Level
(x) Costs at Project Level
(xi) Financial and Economic Indicators of Farm Models, the Project and its Components

(i) Project Data

Project data5

5 Adapted from data prepared for a training workshop by the World Bank.

General Project Information



Country

:

Thailand

Project

:

Rural Development

Currency

:

Baht

Land Unit

:

Ha

Project Life Span

:

10 years

Crops grown in project area

:

Rainfed rice


:

Irrigated rice


:

Rainfed maize


:

Coffee

Farm models considered

:

Upland farm


:

North Highland farm


:

South Highland farm

Project zones

:

Upland


:

Highland

(ii) Price Assumptions

Table 55
Price Assumptions


Economic Prices in Baht

Financial Prices in Baht

Rice (Ton)

3 000

2 000

Rice seeds (Ton)

3 000

2 200

Maize (Ton)

1 950

1 500

Maize seeds (Ton)

2 145

1 650

Coffee (Ton)

40 000

42 000

Coffee seedlings (Unit)

2

0

Ammonium sulphate (Ton)

4 000

3 200

15-15-15 fertiliser (Ton)

6 000

4 500

Family labour (Man/day)

12

0

Hired labour (Man/day)6



January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

18
18
19
22
22
22
16
15
14
15
16
17

18
18
19
22
22
22
16
15
14
15
16
17

6 It is assumed that the seasonal wage rate for unskilled labour is the same in financial as well as in economic analysis:

(iii) Labour Requirements and Availability

Table 56
Labour Requirements and Availability


Monthly Labour Requirements
(All years)

Rainfed rice

Irrigated rice

Maize

(Man/day/ha)

January

0

0

4

February

0

0

0

March

0

0

0

April

11

0

34

May

20

52

25

June

15

20

15

July

18

18

28

August

18

12

32

September

18

13

11

October

0

0

3

November

20

28

0

December

16

17

0


Monthly Labour Requirements: Coffee

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

January

3

0

6

10

15

26

February

3

40

0

0

0

0

March

0

0

0

0

0

0

April

0

0

0

0

0

0

May

75

0

0

0

0

0

June

46

0

20

20

20

20

July

5

50

30

30

30

30

August

5

0

2

10

20

20

September

3

0

4

4

4

4

October

3

0

12

12

12

12

November

3

20

12

16

18

24

December

3

20

18

34

43

50

On all farms an average of 75 man/day per month of family labour is available for work. Excess family labour, if any is not used (no rent out of labour).

(iv) Crop Data

Table 57
Crop Data

Production and Input Requirements


Unit

WoP7

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7-10

Rainfed rice










· Yield8

ton/ha

1.20

1.50

1.70

1.80





· Seeds

kg/ha

50.00








· Ammonium sulphate

kg/ha

70.00

76.70

90.00






Irrigated rice










· Yield4

ton/ha

-

2.00

2.30

2.60

2.70

2.80



· Seeds

kg/ha

-

50.00







· Ammonium sulphate

kg/ha

-

80.00

87.50

95.00

97.50

100.00



Maize










· Yield4

ton/ha

1.00

1.20

1.30






· Seeds

kg/ha

15.00








· Ammonium sulphate

kg/ha

60.00

73.30

80.00






Coffee










· Yield9

ton/ha

-

-

-

-

-

0.30

0.50

0.80

· Seedlings

N/ha

-

-

1 600

-

-

-

-

-

· Fertiliser (15-15-15)

kg/ha

-

-

160

320

500

500

650

800

7 The without project situation (WoP) is assumed constant over the project life.

8 Loss and wastage is estimated at about 5% of production and should be deducted from the yield figures.

9 For coffee, loss is estimated at 3.3%.

(v) Cropping Pattern

Table 58
Cropping pattern



WoP

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4-10

Upland Farm


Farm size

(ha)

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

Irrigated rice

(ha)

-

0.4

0.8

1.0

1.0

Rainfed rice

(ha)

1.0

0.6

0.2

-

-

Maize

(ha)

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Highland Farm (North)


Farm size

(ha)

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

Irrigated rice

(ha)

-

0.5

0.5

1.0

1.0

Rainfed rice

(ha)

1.0

0.5

0.5

-

-

Maize

(ha)

1.0

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

Coffee

(ha)

-

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

Highland Farm (South)


Farm size

(ha)

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.5

Maize

(ha)

1.5

1.0

0.8

0.8

0.8

Rainfed rice

(ha)

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Coffee

(ha)

-

0.5

0.7

0.7

0.7

(vi) Home Consumption Requirements

Table 59
Home Consumption Requirements

Rice

170 kg per person per year

Maize

15 kg per person per year

(vii) Household and Farm Data

Table 60
Household and Farm Data


WoP

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7-10

Upland Farm









· Average family size

6.3








· Overhead costs10

100

100







· Taxes

60

67







Highland Farm (North)









· Average family size

6.0








· Overhead costs6

100

100

200

200

200

300

300

350

· Taxes

60

67







Highland Farm (South)









· Average family size

6.0








· Overhead costs6

100

100

200

200

200

300

350

400

· Taxes

60

68







10 Costs for hand tools, tractor rental and small farm implements.

(viii) Number of Farms in the Project

Table 61
Number of Farms in the Project


Farmers participating in the project

Upland Component



Upland farm

16 000

Highland Component



Highland farm (North)

3 000

Highland farm (South)

900

(ix) Project Costs and Benefits at Sub-Area Level

Table 62
Project Costs and Benefits at Sub-Area Level


i) Upland component

ii) Highland

Development costs

Minor roads improvement costs

Benefits from minor roads improvement

Component development costs

($ millions)

($ millions)

($ millions)

($ millions)

Year 1

21.70

32.60

0

22.60

Year 2

27.25

20.20

0

14.33

Year 3

24.60

14.00

1.24

13.70

Year 4

23.80

15.70

3.74

9.40

Year 5

14.50

16.10

6.22

9.40

Year 6

2.80

1.75

9.30

9.40

Year 7-10

2.80

0.84

12.40

9.40

(x) Costs at Project Level

Table 63
Costs at Project Level

Cost of Extension Services for Project
($ millions)

Year 1

10.00

Year 2

12.00

Year 3

15.00

Year 4

13.00

Year 5

3.00

Year 6

3.00

Year 7-10

3.00

(xi) Financial and Economic Indicators of Farm Models, the Project and its Components

Table 64
Financial and economic indicators of farm models, the project and its components


Present Values

Benefit/Cost ratio

IRR

Benefits

Costs

NPV

Financial Analysis11






Highland






· North Farm model

44.4

4.4

40.0

10.0

....

· South Farm model

46.0

5.4

40.6

8.5

....

Upland






· Upland farm model

16.3

3.0

13.2

5.4

...

Economic analysis12






· Highland

188.

112.

76.

1.68

33.4

· Upland

414.

227.

187.

1.82

67.5

· Project

602.

384.

218.

1.57

39.1

11 Benefits, Costs and Present Values are in thousands of Baht.

12 Benefits, Costs and Present Values are in millions of Baht.


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