(i) Project Data
(ii) Price Assumptions
(iii) Labour Requirements and Availability
(iv) Crop Data
(v) Cropping Pattern
(vi) Home Consumption Requirements
(vii) Household and Farm Data
(viii) Number of Farms in the Project
(ix) Project Costs and Benefits at Sub-Area Level
(x) Costs at Project Level
(xi) Financial and Economic Indicators of Farm Models, the Project and its Components
Project data5
5 Adapted from data prepared for a training workshop by the World Bank.
General Project Information |
|
|
Country |
: |
Thailand |
Project |
: |
Rural Development |
Currency |
: |
Baht |
Land Unit |
: |
Ha |
Project Life Span |
: |
10 years |
Crops grown in project area |
: |
Rainfed rice |
|
: |
Irrigated rice |
|
: |
Rainfed maize |
|
: |
Coffee |
Farm models considered |
: |
Upland farm |
|
: |
North Highland farm |
|
: |
South Highland farm |
Project zones |
: |
Upland |
|
: |
Highland |
Table 55
Price Assumptions
|
Economic Prices in Baht |
Financial Prices in Baht |
Rice (Ton) |
3 000 |
2 000 |
Rice seeds (Ton) |
3 000 |
2 200 |
Maize (Ton) |
1 950 |
1 500 |
Maize seeds (Ton) |
2 145 |
1 650 |
Coffee (Ton) |
40 000 |
42 000 |
Coffee seedlings (Unit) |
2 |
0 |
Ammonium sulphate (Ton) |
4 000 |
3 200 |
15-15-15 fertiliser (Ton) |
6 000 |
4 500 |
Family labour (Man/day) |
12 |
0 |
Hired labour (Man/day)6 |
|
|
January |
18 |
18 |
6 It is assumed that the seasonal wage rate for unskilled labour is the same in financial as well as in economic analysis:
Table 56
Labour Requirements and Availability
|
Monthly Labour Requirements |
|||||
Rainfed rice |
Irrigated rice |
Maize |
||||
(Man/day/ha) |
||||||
January |
0 |
0 |
4 |
|||
February |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||
March |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||
April |
11 |
0 |
34 |
|||
May |
20 |
52 |
25 |
|||
June |
15 |
20 |
15 |
|||
July |
18 |
18 |
28 |
|||
August |
18 |
12 |
32 |
|||
September |
18 |
13 |
11 |
|||
October |
0 |
0 |
3 |
|||
November |
20 |
28 |
0 |
|||
December |
16 |
17 |
0 |
|||
|
Monthly Labour Requirements: Coffee |
|||||
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
Year 6 |
|
January |
3 |
0 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
26 |
February |
3 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
March |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
April |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
May |
75 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
June |
46 |
0 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
July |
5 |
50 |
30 |
30 |
30 |
30 |
August |
5 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
20 |
20 |
September |
3 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
October |
3 |
0 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
November |
3 |
20 |
12 |
16 |
18 |
24 |
December |
3 |
20 |
18 |
34 |
43 |
50 |
On all farms an average of 75 man/day per month of family labour is available
for work. Excess family labour, if any is not used (no rent out of labour). |
Table 57
Crop Data
Production and Input Requirements |
|||||||||
|
Unit |
WoP7 |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
Year 6 |
Year 7-10 |
Rainfed rice |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Yield8 |
ton/ha |
1.20 |
1.50 |
1.70 |
1.80 |
|
|
|
|
· Seeds |
kg/ha |
50.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Ammonium sulphate |
kg/ha |
70.00 |
76.70 |
90.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Irrigated rice |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Yield4 |
ton/ha |
- |
2.00 |
2.30 |
2.60 |
2.70 |
2.80 |
|
|
· Seeds |
kg/ha |
- |
50.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Ammonium sulphate |
kg/ha |
- |
80.00 |
87.50 |
95.00 |
97.50 |
100.00 |
|
|
Maize |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Yield4 |
ton/ha |
1.00 |
1.20 |
1.30 |
|
|
|
|
|
· Seeds |
kg/ha |
15.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Ammonium sulphate |
kg/ha |
60.00 |
73.30 |
80.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Coffee |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Yield9 |
ton/ha |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0.30 |
0.50 |
0.80 |
· Seedlings |
N/ha |
- |
- |
1 600 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
· Fertiliser
(15-15-15) |
kg/ha |
- |
- |
160 |
320 |
500 |
500 |
650 |
800 |
7 The without project situation (WoP) is assumed constant over the project life.8 Loss and wastage is estimated at about 5% of production and should be deducted from the yield figures.
9 For coffee, loss is estimated at 3.3%.
Table 58
Cropping pattern
|
|
WoP |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4-10 |
|
Upland Farm |
|||||||
|
Farm size |
(ha) |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Irrigated rice |
(ha) |
- |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
Rainfed rice |
(ha) |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
- |
- |
|
Maize |
(ha) |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
Highland Farm (North) |
|||||||
|
Farm size |
(ha) |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Irrigated rice |
(ha) |
- |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
Rainfed rice |
(ha) |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
- |
- |
|
Maize |
(ha) |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
Coffee |
(ha) |
- |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
Highland Farm (South) |
|||||||
|
Farm size |
(ha) |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
Maize |
(ha) |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
Rainfed rice |
(ha) |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
Coffee |
(ha) |
- |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Table 59
Home Consumption Requirements
Rice |
170 kg per person per year |
Maize |
15 kg per person per year |
Table 60
Household and Farm Data
|
WoP |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
Year 6 |
Year 7-10 |
Upland Farm |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Average family size |
6.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Overhead
costs10 |
100 |
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Taxes |
60 |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Highland Farm (North) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Average family size |
6.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Overhead
costs6 |
100 |
100 |
200 |
200 |
200 |
300 |
300 |
350 |
· Taxes |
60 |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Highland Farm (South) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Average family size |
6.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
· Overhead
costs6 |
100 |
100 |
200 |
200 |
200 |
300 |
350 |
400 |
· Taxes |
60 |
68 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
10 Costs for hand tools, tractor rental and small farm implements.
Table 61
Number of Farms in the Project
|
Farmers participating in the project |
|
Upland Component |
|
|
|
Upland farm |
16 000 |
Highland Component |
|
|
|
Highland farm (North) |
3 000 |
Highland farm (South) |
900 |
Table 62
Project Costs and Benefits at Sub-Area Level
|
i) Upland component |
ii) Highland |
||
Development costs |
Minor roads improvement costs |
Benefits from minor roads improvement |
Component development costs |
|
($ millions) |
($ millions) |
($ millions) |
($ millions) |
|
Year 1 |
21.70 |
32.60 |
0 |
22.60 |
Year 2 |
27.25 |
20.20 |
0 |
14.33 |
Year 3 |
24.60 |
14.00 |
1.24 |
13.70 |
Year 4 |
23.80 |
15.70 |
3.74 |
9.40 |
Year 5 |
14.50 |
16.10 |
6.22 |
9.40 |
Year 6 |
2.80 |
1.75 |
9.30 |
9.40 |
Year 7-10 |
2.80 |
0.84 |
12.40 |
9.40 |
Table 63
Costs at Project Level
Cost of Extension Services for Project |
|
Year 1 |
10.00 |
Year 2 |
12.00 |
Year 3 |
15.00 |
Year 4 |
13.00 |
Year 5 |
3.00 |
Year 6 |
3.00 |
Year 7-10 |
3.00 |
Table 64
Financial and economic indicators of farm models, the
project and its components
|
Present Values |
Benefit/Cost ratio |
IRR |
||
Benefits |
Costs |
NPV |
|||
Financial Analysis11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Highland |
|
|
|
|
|
· North Farm model |
44.4 |
4.4 |
40.0 |
10.0 |
.... |
· South Farm model |
46.0 |
5.4 |
40.6 |
8.5 |
.... |
Upland |
|
|
|
|
|
· Upland farm model |
16.3 |
3.0 |
13.2 |
5.4 |
... |
Economic analysis12 |
|
|
|
|
|
· Highland |
188. |
112. |
76. |
1.68 |
33.4 |
· Upland |
414. |
227. |
187. |
1.82 |
67.5 |
· Project |
602. |
384. |
218. |
1.57 |
39.1 |
11 Benefits, Costs and Present Values are in thousands of Baht.12 Benefits, Costs and Present Values are in millions of Baht.