FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2001 MADAGASCAR 26

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MADAGASCAR

Area:
582 000 sq.km
Climate:
Eastern coast is tropical wet, the rest tropical wet-dry. Rainy season: October-March; tropical cyclones
Population:
15.2 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$250 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Dilapidated roads and lack of spare parts and tyres
Major foodcrops:
Rice, roots, tubers, maize, fruit
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February/March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Below-average rains in northern and central parts during February and first dekad of March, which followed abundant rains in previous months, affected growing conditions for the 2001 rice crop. The overall prospects for the paddy harvest, starting from April, are uncertain; yield reductions are anticipated in parts. By contrast, in the southern maize growing areas abundant precipitation since the second dekad of February improved prospects for the maize crop which had been affected by previous dry weather. However, the rains may have arrived too late to prevent yield reductions and the harvest could be reduced for the second consecutive year. Last year, the southern areas were affected by a severe drought that caused a one-quarter decline in the maize output.

The overall food supply situation is tight following the poor 2000 rice crop. In southern parts, food assistance is required for 240 000 vulnerable people who obtained a poor harvest last season.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 8 2 518 174 2 700
Previous five years average imports 72 75 6 153
2000/01 Domestic Availability 10 1 522 140 1 672
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 10 2 194 140 2 344
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 10 1 492 140 1 642
Possible stock drawdown - 30 - 30
2000/01 Utilization 78 1 942 170 2 190
Food Use 78 1 823 152 2 053
of which: local purchase requirement - - 3 3
Non-food use - 119 18 137
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 68 420 30 518
Anticipated commercial imports 66 350 10 426
Food aid needs 2 70 20 92
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 2 3 9 14
of which: Delivered 2 3 9 14
Donor-financed purchases - - 3 3
of which: for local use - - 3 3
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 5 114 10 129
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       87
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       339


FAO/GIEWS - April 2001

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