FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2001 TANZANIA 44

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TANZANIA

Area:
886 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:
33.1 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$240 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:
Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:
June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Prospects for the main season coarse grains in the southern highlands are favourable due to abundant rains. In the bi-modal areas the main season maize crop is now being planted.

Aggregate 2000/01 cereal production, mainly maize, is estimated at about 3.7 million tonnes, about 13 percent below the previous five years average. The decline is attributed to drought conditions in several parts of the country. However, the overall food supply situation has improved due to increased on-farm stocks and market supplies following harvests of the "short rains" crop. This has helped to relieve pockets of food insecurity in the northern and central regions of the country resulting from successive seasons of poor harvests.

An Emergency Operation, was jointly approved in December 2000 by FAO and WFP for food assistance to 1.3 million people affected by drought across 11 regions, worth US$15.8 million for a period of 5 months.

Harvesting of the 2000/01 second season cereal crops is completed. The output is expected to be above average reflecting well distributed rains during the season. Rains in February have allowed land preparation and planting of the 2001 main season crop in most areas. The medium term forecast for March to May 2001, predicts an above-normal rainfall over southern Uganda but a near-normal to below-normal rainfall over northern parts.

The output of the main season crop, harvested from the middle of 2000, was below average due to drought and erratic rains in various parts of the country. Cereal production in 2000 is estimated to be about 12 percent below average at 1.6 million tonnes.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. However, the situation remains precarious in districts of Gulu, Kitgum, Bundibugyo, and parts of Kasese and Kabarole, mainly due to last year's poor harvest and/or insecurity. WFP's food assistance benefits an estimated 1.1 million IDPs, refugees, and drought-affected people in the country.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 89 722 3 310 4 121
Previous five years average imports 86 74 198 358
2000/01 Domestic Availability 73 400 3 059 3 532
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 33 615 3 059 3 707
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 33 400 3 059 3 492
Possible stock drawdown 40 - - 40
2000/01 Utilization 193 520 3 509 4 222
Food Use 130 420 3 003 3 553
of which: local purchase requirement - - 7 7
Non-food use 50 100 489 639
Exports or Re-exports 13 - 17 30
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 120 120 450 690
Anticipated commercial imports 60 100 380 540
Food aid needs 60 20 70 150
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - 2 2
of which: Delivered - - 2 2
Donor-financed purchases - - 24 24
of which: for local use - - 7 7
for export - - 17 17
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 4 13 91 107
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       90
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       193


FAO/GIEWS - April 2001

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