FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2001 ZAMBIA 47

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ZAMBIA

Area:
741 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: November-April
Population:
10.65 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$320 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics:
Imports through Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); inadequate rail and road connections
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: March-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Heavy rains in February and March over most parts of the country, except in the extreme south, resulted in localized floods along the Zambezi and Luangwa rivers. Localized floods affected areas in Western, Luapula, Northern and Central Provinces. Other affected areas are the Luangwa Valley (including areas in the districts of Serenje, Mpika, Mambwe, Lundazi, Katete, Chipata, Nyimba and Luangwa). By contrast, prolonged dry weather in Southern (Livingstone and the Gwembe Valley) and Western (Sesheke, Shangombo and Senanga) Provinces is anticipated to result in sharply reduced yields in these areas.

Overall, prospects for the 2001 maize crop have deteriorated with the widespread excessive rains. Production is forecast to decline from last year's bumper crop, reflecting also decline in the area planted because of low prices at planting time and large carryover stocks from the previous season. Imports of maize will be necessary in 2001/02 (May/April).


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 63 16 1 012 1 091
Previous five years average imports 57 15 301 373
2000/01 Domestic Availability 90 13 1 410 1 513
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 90 19 1 410 1 519
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 90 13 1 410 1 513
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
2000/01 Utilization 131 36 1 410 1 577
Food Use 127 34 1 170 1 331
of which: local purchase requirement - - 15 15
Non-food use 4 2 185 191
Exports or Re-exports - - 50 50
Possible stock build up - - 5 5
2000/01 Import Requirement 41 23 - 64
Anticipated commercial imports 41 22 - 63
Food aid needs - 1 - 1
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - 4 4
of which: Delivered - - 4 4
Donor-financed purchases - - 15 15
of which: for local use - - 15 15
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 12 3 110 125
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       139
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       17


FAO/GIEWS - April 2001

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