FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - August 2002 p.58

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  TANZANIA

Area:886 000 sq km
Climate:Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:34.77 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$270 (2000)
Specific characteristics of the country:Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:60 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

The harvesting season is near completion and official reports indicate improved overall crop production. Preliminary estimates indicate total cereal production (maize, rice, wheat, sorghum and millet) in 2002 at 4.3 million tonnes, about 10 percent above last year’s output due to favourable rains. Similarly, prospects for non-cereal crops (pulses, potatoes, cassava and plantains) are reported to be good.

The overall food situation remains satisfactory with increased on-farm stocks and market supplies. Nationally maize prices have declined since April with the harvest. Adequate availability of water and forage has also improved the food security of most pastoralists. However, localized food shortages are anticipated in some northern parts of the country during the 2002/03 marketing year due to poor performance of the short (vuli) rains and the long (masika) rains. Insufficient pasture and water is also predicted in these areas.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 WheatRiceCoarse grainsTotal
     Previous five years average production897883 1354 012
     Previous five years average imports2097274355
2002/03 Domestic Availability1495073 7044 360
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms)797803 7044 563
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms)795073 7044 290
     Possible stock drawdown70--70
2002/03 Utilization2695873 7744 630
     Food use2415373 2944 072
       of which: local purchase requirement----
     Non-food use850370428
     Exports or re-exports20-5070
     Possible stock build up--6060
2002/03 Import Requirement1208070270
     Anticipated commercial imports1208020220
     Food aid needs--5050
Current Aid Position    
     Food aid pledges--99
       of which: delivered--22
     Donor-financed purchases----
       of which: for local use----
                        for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)71595117
Indexes    
     2002 Production as % of average:   114
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:   76

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