FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - August 1997

ZIMBABWE


Area: 387 000 sq.km
Climate: Centre and north-east tropical wet-dry; south and west semi-arid. One rainy season

(November-March)
Population: 11.83 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 540 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Land-locked country; exporter and importer of grain
Logistics: Exports and imports through Mozambique or South Africa
Major foodcrops: Maize, wheat, millet, sorghum
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 66 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

The weather was generally cool and dry in April, which facilitated drying of crops and allowed a timely harvest. Harvesting of the main season foodcrops is almost completed. The 1997 maize crop is estimated at some 2.2 million tons, 16 percent lower than last year’ good harvest but slightly above the five-year average. The output of millet and sorghum is estimated at about 220 000 tons, about the same as the above-average crop in 1996. Maize supply is expected to cover requirements, including the replenishment of stocks, and generate an exportable surplus.

The national food supply situation is expected to remain satisfactory during the 1997/98 marketing year. However, food availability and access are likely to be problematic in some districts in southern parts of the country, where rainfall was below average and the output of maize, sorghum, and millet is likely to be below average.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

240

4

1 880

2 124

Normal Imports

55

20

-

75

of which: Structural food aid

5

-

-

5

1997/98 Domestic Availability

400

-

2 515

2 915

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

400

-

2 515

2 915

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

400

-

2 515

2 915

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Utilization

445

20

2 515

2 980

Food Use

335

20

1 749

2 104

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

20

-

641

661

Exports or Re-exports

60

-

125

185

Possible stock build up

30

-

-

30

1997/98 Import Requirement

45

20

-

65

Anticipated commercial imports

45

20

-

65

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

5

-

3

8

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

28

2

148

178

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




137

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




87

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-

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