FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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THE GAMBIA


Area: 10 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry climate; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 1.224 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 320 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal sahelian country
Logistics: Port capacity and roads adequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, millet and sorghum
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 63 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Seasonably dry conditions prevail. The aggregate cereal output in 1997 is estimated at 84 750 tonnes, some 24 percent lower than last year and substantially below average. This is largely due to the sharp decline in the outputs of maize and upland rice as a result of a long dry spell in July/August.

Following this reduced harvest, the food supply situation will be tighter in 1998 than in 1997. The most affected areas are Badibou and Jokadou in the North Bank Division (NBD), Saloum in the northern part of Central River Division (CRD); Wulli and Sandou in the north of the Upper River Division (URD). However, good prospects for groundnut production are likely to ease the income situation of farmers in some areas.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

19

81

100

Normal Imports

25

80

3

108

of which: Structural food aid

1

2

3

6

1997/98 Domestic Availability

-

20

63

83

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

23

62

85

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

15

62

77

Possible stock drawdown

-

5

1

6

1997/98 Utilization

20

95

93

208

Food Use

17

87

80

184

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

1

3

13

17

Exports or Re-exports

2

5

-

7

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Import Requirement

20

75

30

125

Anticipated commercial imports

19

70

10

99

Food aid needs

1

5

20

26

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

1

1

2

of which: Delivered

-

1

1

2

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

14

71

65

150

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




85

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




116

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




433


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