FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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NIGER


Area: 1 267 000 sq.km
Climate: Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October
Population: 9.54 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 220 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Seasonably hot and dry conditions prevail. Higher than normal temperatures have been reported in early February. Harvesting of recession crops is underway. Aggregate cereal production in 1997/98 is estimated at 2.25 million tonnes, marginally down from 1996 but 4 percent above the average for the past five years. Late reports stated that small scale Desert Locust breeding, which commenced in September, continued in late 1997 in parts of the Tamesna. Groups of adults as well as solitarious and hoppers were present between Agadez and Arlit. Similar infestations were also reported at several places to the north-west of Arlit. Low numbers of solitarious adults will persist in a few places of Tamesna.

Despite this above-average harvest, the food supply is anticipated to be tight in several deficit areas which gathered poor crops, some for the second or third successive year. Cereal prices are particularly high, notably in Tillabery, Agadez, Tahoua and Diffa departments. The National Early Warning System (SAP) estimated that most affected areas are the arrondissements of Diffa, Abalack, Agadez, Ouallam, Tchitabaradem, Arlit, Bilma, Maïné Soroa, N’Guigmi and Tchirozerine, the first five being particularly at risk. The Government has launched an appeal for international assistance to cover the needs of the affected populations in the vulnerable areas. It has requested especially that ongoing projects in affected areas organize activities in the coming weeks for off-season production in order to prevent population movements. However, higher than normal migrations of families or men in search of work are reported from the north of Tillabery department. Following the government appeal, several donors have offered assistance for off-season gardening projects or pledged food aid contributions.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

4

68

2 096

2 168

Normal Imports

25

50

160

235

of which: Structural food aid

5

5

10

20

1997/98 Domestic Availability

6

44

2 213

2 263

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

6

67

2 173

2 246

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

6

44

2 173

2 223

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

40

40

1997/98 Utilization

21

109

2 398

2 528

Food Use

20

101

2 052

2 173

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

20

20

Non-food use

1

8

336

345

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

10

10

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Import Requirement

15

65

185

265

Anticipated commercial imports

10

60

170

240

Food aid needs

5

5

15

25

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

2

2

6

10

of which: Delivered

2

2

-

4

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

11

11

of which: for local use

-

-

11

11

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

2

11

215

228

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




104

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




113

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




125


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