FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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SENEGAL


Area: 192 000 sq.km
Climate: Semi-arid in north, tropical wet-dry in south, with rains in June-October
Population: 9.23 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 550 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal sahelian country
Logistics: Port capacity adequate; gateway to Mali.
Major foodcrops: Millet and sorghum, rice, maize, wheat
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 61 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

On the basis of the national production survey, a joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment in late October estimated the 1998 rainfed crop production at 976 400 tonnes, which is 24 percent above the 1997 reduced harvest but is still 3 percent below the average of the last five years. With recession and off-season crops whose prospects are better than last year, the total cereal production is slightly over 1 million tonnes.

Following the reduced 1997 cereal harvest, the Government distributed more than 40 000 tonnes of cereals in the affected areas. The overall food supply situation is expected to improve following this better harvest but vulnerable people, notably in the centre and the north, may require food assistance. Overall food supply is adequate and prices of rice are stable, while prices of coarse grains decreased significantly following the harvest.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production - 180 816 996
Normal Imports 190 425 70 685
of which: Structural food aid 3 5 4 12
1998/99 Domestic Availability - 126 827 953
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 181 827 1008
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) - 126 827 953
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
1998/99 Utilization 235 631 892 1 758
Food Use 230 610 746 1 586
of which: local purchase requirement - - 10 10
Non-food use 5 22 131 157
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - 15 15
1998/99 Import Requirement 235 505 65 805
Anticipated commercial imports 230 500 60 790
Food aid needs 5 5 5 15
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - 6 - 6
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 25 66 81 172
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


101
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:


118
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:


125

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