FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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TANZANIA


Area: 886 000 sq.km
Climate: December) and one in south (November-April)
Population: 31.51 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 210 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: cereal deficit in the north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics: Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops: Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year: June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory following the good 1998 cereal and non-cereal crop production. An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission earlier in the year estimated the 1998 total food crop production at one-third higher than the 1997 reduced level and above average. Pasture and animal conditions are also good in pastoral zones.

Despite available exportable surpluses in marketing year 1998/99 (June/May), food deficits are expected in parts of Singida and Dodoma regions, where production was reduced, as well as in the chronically food deficit areas of the Coast region. Recent assessments indicate that a total of 374 000 persons are in need of food assistance until the next harvest in February 1999.

Planting of the 1998/99 short "Vuli" season crop is underway under normal conditions so far.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 85 607 3 230 3 922
Normal Imports 60 25 - 85
of which: Structural food aid 15 15 - 30
1998/99 Domestic Availability 126 658 3 435 4 219
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 96 1 013 3 397 4 506
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 96 658 3 397 4 151
Possible stock drawdown 30 - 38 68
1998/99 Utilization 141 659 3 452 4 252
Food Use 131 506 2 879 3 516
of which: local purchase requirement - - 4 4
Non-food use 5 33 503 541
Exports or Re-exports 5 100 70 175
Possible stock build up - 20 - 20
1998/99 Import Requirement 15 1 17 33
Anticipated commercial imports 12 - - 12
Food aid needs 3 1 17 21
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 28 12 17 57
of which: Delivered 3 1 17 21
Donor-financed purchases - - 4 4
of which: for local use - - 4 4
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 4 16 91 112
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


115
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:


39
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:


70

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