FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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UGANDA


Area: 200 000 sq.km
Climate: North-east is semi-arid, rest of the country is tropical wet-dry; main rainy period is March-October
Population: 21.0 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 320 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics: Ports: Mombasa (Kenya) and Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); roads and railways inadequate
Major foodcrops: Roots, tubers, plantains, pulses, maize, millet, sorghum
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 35 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Widespread abundant rains in the third dekad of October benefited developing foodcrops of the 1998 second season, particularly in the eastern districts where the main maize crop was stressed by dry weather earlier. Prospects for the harvest early next year are favourable.

The rains of the past months have also improved pasture conditions and water availability for the livestock in pastoral districts of Kotido and Moroto.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Prices of food staples, particularly maize, have declined over recent months. In the northern districts of Gulu and Kitgum, affected by civil strife, some improvement in security since July has resulted in a decrease in the number of displaced persons, now estimated at 474 000. However, the food situation remains difficult in these areas. Food assistance is being provided to 400 000 displaced persons, as well as to 126 000 persons in the north-eastern areas affected by a succession of poor harvests.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 9 78 1 810 1 897
Normal Imports 18 5 10 33
of which: Structural food aid 15 - 10 25
1998 Domestic Availability 9 51 1 680 1 740
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 9 77 1 680 1 766
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 9 51 1 680 1 740
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
1998 Utilization 87 57 1 723 1 867
Food Use 81 57 1 238 1 376
of which: local purchase requirement - - 23 23
Non-food use 1 - 335 336
Exports or Re-exports - - 150 150
Possible stock build up 5 - - 5
1998 Import Requirement 78 6 43 127
Anticipated commercial imports 69 - - 69
Food aid needs 9 6 43 58
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 9 1 43 53
of which: Delivered 9 - 43 52
Donor-financed purchases - - 36 36
of which: for local use - - 23 23
for export - - 13 13
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 4 3 59 65
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


93
1998 import requirement as % of normal:


385
1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:


232

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