FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 MALI 28

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MALI

Area:
1 220 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October
Population:
9.63 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 260 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops:
Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
75 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Seasonably dry conditions prevail. Off-season crops are developing satisfactorily. The final official aggregate 1998 cereal production is estimated at a record 2.5 million tonnes, 18 percent above the 1997 level, 11 percent above average and 3 percent over the previous 1994 record. Rice production reached a record for the fourth consecutive year. Low numbers of Desert Locusts may be present in a few areas of the Adrar des Iforas.

Following this record crop, the food supply situation is satisfactory. Prices of cereals have declined strongly on rural markets. There is a substantial surplus for local purchase, export or triangular transaction. The national early warning system (SAP) reports that localized economic difficulties are possible in some traditionally deficit areas of Gao (arrondissements of Gao-central, Bourem-central and Bamba) and around the Lac Faguibine. About 18 000 tonnes of cereals have been purchased for the reconstitution of the national security stock, against 8 000 tonnes during the same period in 1998.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
4
505
1 703
2 212
Normal Imports
50
40
5
95
of which: Structural food aid
15
-
2
17
1998/99 Domestic Availability
9
478
1 827
2 314
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
9
688
1 827
2 524
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
9
468
1 827
2 304
Possible stock drawdown
-
10
-
10
1998/99 Utilization
59
508
1 827
2 394
Food Use
58
395
1 497
1 950
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
20
20
Non-food use
1
83
280
364
Exports or Re-exports
-
30
30
60
Possible stock build up
1
-
20
21
1998/99 Import Requirement
50
30
-
80
Anticipated commercial imports
40
30
-
70
Food aid needs
10
-
-
10
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
2
-
3
5
of which: Delivered
2
-
3
5
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
4
4
of which: for local use
-
-
4
4
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
6
40
150
195
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
114
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:
     
84
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
59

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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