FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 MOZAMBIQUE 31

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MOZAMBIQUE

Area:
784 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry; coast is semi-arid
Population:
19.09 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 90 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; exposed to tropical storms and cyclones
Logistics:
Dilapidated rail and road transport fleet; lack of fuel and spares; poor roads; substantial
deliveries by coastal vessels; disruption by guerrillas
Major foodcrops:
Roots, tubers, maize
Marketing year:
March/April; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
53 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Conditions have so far been generally favourable for crop development in the south and the centre where rainfall has been abundant since October. The wet conditions resulted in flooding in several areas, including Gaza and Sofala provinces, causing localized damage to crops in low lying areas. Floods caused by torrential rains in late February particularly hit several districts of Inhambane Province, leaving some 23 people dead and over 70 000 affected. In these normally drought prone areas, an estimated 40 000 hectares of arable land were flooded while sections of the main north-south highway linking the country's two main cities of Maputo and Beira were under water for days or badly damaged. On 3 March, the Government launched an international appeal for assistance for a total of US$12.4 million, including food, seeds and agricultural tools as well as repair damages to the infrastructure. However, dry conditions prevailed until December in northern and north-eastern provinces (Cabo Delgado, Nampula and Niassa Provinces), where the season normally starts later than the rest of the country. In late February, several areas in the north were still recording below-normal rainfall. In these cereal surplus producing areas, prospects for a good 1999 harvest are still favourable, provided sustained and widespread rains are received in the next few weeks.

The national food security situation for the 1998/99 marketing year is generally satisfactory. As a result of a steady increase in food production during the past several years, the country is now self-sufficient in maize, with exportable surpluses available for deficit countries in the sub-region. The import requirement in rice and wheat, estimated at 67 000 tonnes and 145 000 tonnes, respectively, will be met through private channels.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
-
50
458
508
Normal Imports
102
60
244
406
of which: Structural food aid
102
52
140
294
1998/99 Domestic Availability
13
128
1 494
1 635
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
-
192
1 494
1 686
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
-
128
1 494
1 622
Possible stock drawdown
13
-
-
13
1998/99 Utilization
158
195
1 494
1 847
Food Use
151
170
1 225
1 546
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
1
1
Non-food use
7
15
172
194
Exports or Re-exports
-
-
59
59
Possible stock build up
-
10
38
48
1998/99 Import Requirement
145
67
-
212
Anticipated commercial imports
145
67
-
212
Food aid needs
-
-
-
-
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
229
23
1
252
of which: Delivered
168
10
1
178
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
1
1
of which: for local use
-
-
1
1
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
8
9
64
81
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
332
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:
     
52
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
-

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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