FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 NIGERIA 34

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NIGERIA

Area:
911 000 sq.km
Climate:
Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population:
116 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 260 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics:
Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
43 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


The official estimate of cereal output in 1998 is put at 22.8 million tonnes, about 4 percent above the 1997 level, due to the favourable growing conditions. Production of roots and tubers, mainly cassava and yams, is estimated at 62 million tonnes, which is well above average.

Food supply is constrained by high levels of post-harvest losses and high distribution costs but is satisfactory. The cereal import requirement for 1999 is estimated at 1 250 000 tonnes, including 1.05 million tonnes of wheat and 150 000 tonnes of rice.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
45
2 800
16 970
19 815
Normal Imports
850
350
80
1 280
of which: Structural food aid
-
-
-
-
1999 Domestic Availability
98
2 025
19 345
21 468
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
98
3 375
19 335
22 808
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
98
2 025
19 335
21 458
Possible stock drawdown
-
-
10
10
1999 Utilization
1 148
2 175
19 395
22 718
Food Use
1 108
1 775
15 016
17 899
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
-
-
Non-food use
40
400
3 929
4 369
Exports or Re-exports
-
-
450
450
Possible stock build up
-
-
-
-
1999 Import Requirement
1 050
150
50
1 250
Anticipated commercial imports
1 050
150
50
1 250
Food aid needs
-
-
-
-
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
-
-
-
-
of which: Delivered
-
-
-
-
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
-
-
of which: for local use
-
-
-
-
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
9
15
128
153
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
115
1999 import requirement as % of normal:
     
98
1999 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
-

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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