FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1999 ERITREA 16

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ERITREA

Area:
124 320 sq.km
Climate:
Highland areas: tropical wet/dry with unreliable rains. Lowlands: semi-arid to arid
Population:
3.0 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate, gateway to northern Ethiopia
Major foodcrops:
Sorghum, teff, millet, maize, pulses
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: August-November
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
73 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Normal to above-normal rains in September and October maintained favourable conditions for the 1999 main season cereal and pulse crops the harvest of which has already started. However, the erratic and inadequate spring rains (March to May) and the below-average rains in June that delayed land preparation and sowing in some parts of the country may affect yields. In addition, in areas affected by the armed conflict with neighbouring Ethiopia, production is expected to be seriously affected due to population displacement.

Most rangelands were reported to have good vegetative cover, which should cover livestock needs for at least 6 months. The Desert Locust situation remains calm but with winter rains along the coastal areas approaching, there is risk of increased locust numbers along the Red Sea coastal plains.

The food situation is very tight for more than 550 000 people affected by the war with Ethiopia. Donor support is sought for an emergency operation approved by FAO and WFP in March this year to provide food assistance for 268 000 people most affected by the war. Total pledges by the end of October amounted to 31 000 tonnes, of which 15 000 have been delivered.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

-

0

0

Normal Imports

-

-

0

0

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

0

0

1999 Domestic Availability

33

-

436

469

1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)

23

-

436

459

1998 Production (rice in milled terms)

23

-

436

459

Possible stock drawdown

10

-

-

10

1999 Utilization

138

-

440

578

Food Use

133

-

295

428

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

5

-

80

85

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

65

65

1999 Import Requirement

105

-

4

109

Anticipated commercial imports

65

-

-

65

Food aid needs

40

-

4

44

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

27

-

4

31

of which: Delivered

15

-

-

15

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

44

-

98

143

Indexes

       

1998 production as % of normal:

       

1999 import requirement as % of normal:

       

1999 food aid requirement as % of normal:

       

FAO/GIEWS - December 1999

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