FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1999 ETHIOPIA 17

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ETHIOPIA

Area:
976 680 sq.km
Climate:
Northern coastal area and lowlands in south and east are semi-arid to arid; rest of country has a highland rainy climate with mild winter.
Population:
61.67 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 110 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Land-locked country, roads inadequate
Major foodcrops:
Maize, teff, barley, sorghum, wheat, pulses, enset (false banana)
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: August-November
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
69 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Heavy Rains in September and October in several parts of the country have resulted in serious flooding causing several deaths, displacement of a large number of people and severe damage to crops and property. Food and non-food assistance is being distributed by the Government in the affected areas.

Elsewhere in the country, earlier drought conditions and unusually heavy rains in October have affected yield potential of the 1999 main "Meher" season cereal and pulse crops now being harvested. An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission is currently in the country to assess the "Meher" production and estimate food assistance requirements in 2000. The Government has recently revised the number of people in need of food assistance to 7 million from the previous estimate of 5.3 million, including those affected by the failure of the "Belg" season, as well as 385 000 internally displaced people due to the ongoing conflict with Eritrea. An Emergency Operation for food assistance to 1.2 million people, worth some US$40.5 million was jointly approved by FAO and WFP on 31 May 1999. Pledges as of 31 October amounted to 589 000 tonnes, of which 508 000 tonnes have been delivered.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

950

-

5 600

6 550

Normal Imports

700

5

75

780

of which: Structural food aid

380

5

65

450

1999 Domestic Availability

1 450

-

9 465

10 915

1998/99 Production (rice in paddy terms)

1 450

-

9 465

10 915

1998/99 Production (rice in milled terms)

1 450

-

9 465

10 915

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1999 Utilization

2 005

15

9 465

11 485

Food Use

1 555

15

6 330

7 900

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

387

387

Non-food use

250

-

2 225

2 475

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

200

-

910

1 110

1999 Import Requirement

555

15

-

570

Anticipated commercial imports

70

15

-

85

Food aid needs

485

-

-

485

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

539

1

49

589

of which: Delivered

466

1

41

508

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

207

207

of which: for local use

-

-

207

207

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

25

0

103

128

Indexes

       

1998/99 production as % of normal:

     

167

1999 import requirement as % of normal:

     

73

1999 food aid requirement as % of normal:

     

108


FAO/GIEWS - December 1999

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