FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1999 SUDAN 42

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SUDAN

Area:
2.4 million sq.km
Climate:
From north to south, arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry. Rainy season: May-October
Population:
30.29 million (1999 estimate); GNP per caput: n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal production mainly in eastern and central areas.
Logistics:
Roads, railway and river transport inadequate
Major foodcrops:
Sorghum, millet, wheat, roots and tubers, oils
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: September-October
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
51 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


A recent FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission to southern Sudan indicated an overall increase in cereal production in the traditional sector compared to last year, due to improved security conditions, well-distributed rains and a relatively pest-free season. However, a sharp decline in sorghum production and a major shift to cash crops, mainly sesame, is observed in the mechanised sector, following last year's record sorghum harvest and the attendant low prices. Localised crop failures were also observed in some areas, particularly northern Bahr el Ghazal and Unity states.

In central and northern Sudan, harvesting of the 1999 main season cereal crops is underway. Despite severe floods that caused heavy crop and property damages, overall harvest prospects are favourable. An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission is currently in the northern part of the country to appraise the 1999 main season cereal production and estimate overall commercial imports/exports and food aid requirements in 2000.

In anticipation of the good harvest and reflecting high levels of carryover stocks, prices of sorghum remain at very low levels.

WFP delivered about 8 563 tonnes of food aid to both northern and southern areas in October, against a target of 9 015 tonnes, a 3 percent decline on September deliveries.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

460

1

3 189

3 650

Normal Imports

450

10

130

590

of which: Structural food aid

250

-

-

250

1999/2000 Domestic Availability

165

-

4 840

5 005

1999 Production (rice in paddy terms)

165

2

4 690

4 857

1999 Production (rice in milled terms)

165

-

4 690

4 855

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

150

150

1999/2000 Utilization

565

25

4 860

5 450

Food Use

545

24

3 935

4 504

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

150

150

Non-food use

20

1

725

746

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

200

200

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1999/2000 Import Requirement

400

25

20

445

Anticipated commercial imports

380

25

-

405

Food aid needs

20

-

20

40

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

3

-

-

3

of which: Delivered

3

-

-

3

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

7

7

of which: for local use

-

-

7

7

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

18

1

127

145

Indexes

       

1999 production as % of normal:

     

133

1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:

     

75

1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:

     

16


FAO/GIEWS - December 1999

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