FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2000 MOZAMBIQUE 31

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MOZAMBIQUE

Area:
784 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry; coast is semi-arid
Population:
19.57 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 210 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; exposed to tropical storms and cyclones
Logistics:
Dilapidated rail and road transport fleet; lack of fuel and spares; poor roads; substantial
deliveries by coastal vessels
Major foodcrops:
Roots, tubers, maize
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
53 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Rains until mid-March hampered relief operations but the levels of the rivers are progressively decreasing. Despite this, by 20 March, the level of Limpopo River was expected to rise following rains in South Africa, threatening the already affected village of Chowke with further floods. In general, access to 350 000 persons still in displaced camps has improved substantially. Food aid and agricultural support is now needed for the flood-affected people returning to their fields. Preliminary estimates indicated that 1.9 million have been affected by the disaster, and that some 126 000 hectares in the southern and central provinces of Maputo, Gaza and Inhambane, Manica and Sofala have been lost to the floods. Substantial livestock losses are also reported. In these traditionally food-deficit provinces, the sharp reduction in cereal production in 2000 will be compounded by loss of farmers' food and seed stocks in household granaries. However, a full assessment of the damage is not yet possible.

The major cereal growing areas of the north have not been affected by floods, and have benefited from good rains in the first two dekads of March. However, overall prospects for the harvest from April have deteriorated with the crop losses in the South. Southern provinces ravaged by floods account for some 13 percent of the total cereal production, and those affected in the central region for an additional 20 percent. Therefore, about one third of national cereal production has been affected by losses and yield reductions. An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission will be fielded in mid-April to review the outcome of 2000 foodcrops and estimate the cereal import and food aid needs for the new marketing year 2000/01 (April/March). International assistance will also be needed for the reconstruction of housing and infrastructure, severely damaged by the floods.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production - 50 458 508
Normal Imports 102 60 244 406
of which: Structural food aid 102 52 140 294
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 5 124 1 628 1 757
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 186 1 568 1 754
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) - 124 1 568 1 692
Possible stock drawdown 5 - 60 65
1999/2000 Utilization 180 274 1 628 2 082
Food Use 173 261 1 306 1 740
of which: local purchase requirement - - 2 2
Non-food use 7 13 172 192
Exports or Re-exports - - 150 150
Possible stock build up - - - -
1999/2000 Import Requirement 175 150 - 325
Anticipated commercial imports 150 130 - 280
Food aid needs 25 20 - 45
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 127 9 5 141
of which: Delivered 51 4 5 60
Donor-financed purchases - - 102 102
of which: for local use - - 2 2
for export - - 100 100
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 9 13 67 89
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       345
1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:       80
1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:       15


FAO/GIEWS - April 2000

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