FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2000 SOUTH AFRICA 41

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SOUTH AFRICA

Area:
1.22 million sq.km
Climate:
Sub-tropical with rains concentrated in the summer months (November-April); occasional snow in winter over higher parts of plateau and Cape ranges; an average of 120 days frost in the interior plateau
Population:
45.28 million (1999 estimate); GNP per caput US$ 2 880 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Normally net food exporter, notably maize
Logistics:
Adequate port, rail and road facilities
Major foodcrops:
Maize, wheat
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
54 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Abundant rains and floods in the second dekad of March have resulted in loss of life and isolated several areas in the KwaZulu-Natal province. Heavy precipitation also affected parts of Northern and Mpumalnga provinces, already hit by severe flooding in February. Torrential rains and floods in these provinces in February severely damaged housing and infrastructure. Crop losses in the Northern Province were estimated at some R70 million (US$11 million), mainly pulses, maize and vegetables. Serious damage to the irrigation infrastructure included destruction of 16 dams. The Government has provided emergency assistance in the affected areas and has announced special credit facilities for the rehabilitation of the agricultural and tourism sectors.

In the major maize growing areas, however, good rains in the past two months improved growing conditions for the crop, now at the maturing stage. Despite serious crop losses in the Northern Province, the maize belt was only marginally affected by the floods. The overall outlook for this year's maize harvest is favourable reflecting an increase of 10 percent in the area planted and generally adequate weather conditions. Latest official forecasts indicate a bumper maize crop of 9.5 million tonnes compared to 7.1 million tonnes last year. At this level, production will be sufficient to replenish stocks and cover import requirements of other countries in the sub-region.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 2 084 2 8 603 10 689
Normal Exports 185 - 1 893 2 078
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 1 915 2 8 448 10 365
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 1 568 3 8 050 9 621
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 1 568 2 8 050 9 620
Possible stock drawdown 347 - 398 745
1999/2000 Utilization 2 715 449 9 125 12 289
Food Use 2 445 399 4 471 7 315
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 220 50 4 054 4 324
Exports or Re-exports 50 - 600 650
Possible stock build up - - - -
1999/2000 Import Requirement 800 447 677 1 924
Anticipated commercial imports 800 447 677 1 924
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - 100 100
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - 100 100
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 61 10 112 183
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       90

FAO/GIEWS - April 2000

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