FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 2000 SOUTH AFRICA 41

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SOUTH AFRICA

Area:
1.22 million sq.km
Climate:
Sub-tropical with rains concentrated in the summer months (November-April); occasional snow in winter over higher parts of plateau and Cape ranges; an average of 120 days frost in the interior plateau
Population:
45.28 million (1999 estimate); GNP per caput US$ 2 880 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Normally net food exporter, notably maize
Logistics:
Adequate port, rail and road facilities
Major foodcrops:
Maize, wheat
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
54 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Rains during June delayed harvesting of the 2000 coarse grain crops. By mid-July only one-third of maize crop had been gathered. Despite severe floods and crop losses in KwaZulu-Natal, Northern and Mpumalanga provinces in February and March, the maize belt was not affected and benefited from normal to above normal precipitation during the growing season. Provisional estimates put maize output at 9.64 million tonnes, one-third higher than in the previous year and above average. This reflects higher plantings and yields. However, the wet weather at harvest has negatively affected the quality of the grain. Production of sorghum is also forecast to increase from 1999. Following two consecutive reduced maize harvests, this year's crop will allow the replenishment of stocks and an exportable surplus of about 1.5 to 2 million tonnes in marketing year 2000/01 (May/April).


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years' average production 2 093 3 8 527 10 623
Previous five years' average exports 631 486 544 1 661
2000/01 Domestic Availability 1 995 2 10 151 12 148
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 1 860 3 10 151 12 014
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 1 860 2 10 151 12 013
Possible stock drawdown 135 - - 135
2000/01 Utilization 2 595 449 10 588 13 632
Food Use 2 420 399 4 486 7 305
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 105 50 4 202 4 357
Exports or Re-exports 70 - 1 300 1 370
Possible stock build up - - 600 600
2000/01 Import Requirement 600 447 437 1 484
Anticipated commercial imports 600 447 437 1 484
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 61 10 112 183
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       113
2000 import requirement as % of average:       89


FAO/GIEWS - August 2000

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