FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 2000 SOMALIA 40

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SOMALIA

Area:
627 000 sq.km
Climate:
Semi-arid in the south; rest arid
Population:
6.40 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput; n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Inadequate port facilities; serious shortage of fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, sorghum, sesame
Marketing year:
August/July; Lean season: June-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
45 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Prospects for the current "Gu" season maize and sorghum crops in southern Somalia have improved following widely distributed rains in end-April/early-May, although poor crop establishments were reported in some pockets of Gedo and Bakool Regions and in Juba Valley. Improved security conditions have also encouraged some households to return to their farms and facilitated farming activities. However, An anticipated outbreak of Quelea Quelea birds in sorghum producing areas of southern Somalia have raised serious concern. Moreover, lower water levels in Shabelle River are anticipated to adversely impact on irrigated crops along the banks.

Despite some improvement in the overall food supply situation earlier this year in parts of southern Somalia, due to better secondary "Deyr" harvest in February 2000, serious malnutrition rates are increasingly reported reflecting shocks in livelihoods due to recent drought conditions and longer-term effects of years of insecurity and lack of investment in the economy.

Elsewhere, in north-western Somalia (Somaliland) late and erratic rains have adversely affected the establishment of the Gu crop. The food situation is worsening in some agro-pastoral areas in Togdheer, Awdal and Sanag where successive below-normal rains have severely affected crop and livestock production. With community support waning, migration of people and livestock to Ethiopia and other regions are reported. A UN Inter-Agency appeal was launched on 6 June 2000, for US$378 million to assist some 13.4 million drought affected people in countries of the Horn of Africa, including 750 000 people in Somalia.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production - 2 292 294
Previous five years average imports 106 84 70 260
1999/00 Domestic Availability - 6 242 248
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 2 242 244
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) - 1 242 243
Possible stock drawdown - 5 - 5
1999/00 Utilization 160 96 302 558
Food Use 90 61 262 413
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 40 35 40 115
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up 30 - - 30
1999/00 Import Requirement 160 90 60 310
Anticipated commercial imports 125 75 40 240
Food aid needs 35 15 20 70
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 6 1 48 55
of which: Delivered 3 1 37 41
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 15 10 43 69
Indexes        
1999 production as % of average:       83
1999/00 import requirement as % of average:       119


FAO/GIEWS - August 2000

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