FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 2000 ANGOLA 1

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ANGOLA

Area:
1 247 000 sq.km
Climate:
Coastal desert, south-west semi-arid, rest tropical wet-dry. Rainy season: Sept.-May
Population:
13.42 million (1999 estimate), G.N.P. per caput US$ 340 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; infrastructure devastated by prolonged civil strife
Logistics:
Inadequate port, rail and road facilities
Major foodcrops:
Roots, tubers, maize, plantains
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: January-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
35 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission which visited the country in April/May found that renewed fighting, massive displacements of populations and insecurity, continue to cause serious concern despite efforts by the Government and its partners to redress the situation. According to the UN Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) in Angola, IDPs have now reached nearly 2.6 million, or 53 percent more than last year's stated figure. This increase is due both to improved Government access to more areas and to the continuing strife. At present, WFP estimates that about 1.9 million people are in urgent need of humanitarian assistance.

The Mission forecasts the 1999/2000 cereal production at 504 000 tonnes, which is about 5.5 percent lower than last year. The shortfall is essentially due to lower maize production which decreased by 8 percent, from 428 000 tonnes to 394 000 tonnes. By contrast, other crops with lower water requirements experienced production increases. Thus sorghum/millet production edged up 3 percent to 105 000 tonnes; bean and groundnut production rose by 11 and 13 percent respectively, while that of cassava and Irish potatoes was estimated to be substantially higher than was forecast last year. The reduction in maize production is attributed to two major factors, namely unfavourable rainfall pattern and shortage of essential inputs. Although cumulative rainfall for most of the country was above average for the whole season, from September 1999 to April 2000, rains started late, particularly in the southern and central areas. In the latter, good rains arrived only in November. Excessive rains in many areas towards the end of December were then followed by an abnormally long dry spell in late January and February. Secondly, there was a general scarcity of essential inputs, coupled with late distribution and frequently poor quality of seeds. In addition, the displaced farm families had access to very limited amounts of land, if any, in their new locations and in many cases the land is of poor quality.

For the 2000/01 marketing year (April/March), domestic cereal supply, estimated at 504 000 tonnes, falls far short of national consumption requirements. With a mid-marketing year population estimate of 13 675 000, cereal import requirements for the 2000/01 are estimated at 753 000 tonnes. Of these, the Mission estimates that 420 000 tonnes will be imported commercially, leaving 333 000 tonnes to be covered by food aid. Against this requirement, pledges by mid-July amounted to 71 000 tonnes, of which 46 000 have been received.

There is urgent need to allocate fertile land in adequate amounts to IDPs, and to ensure timely delivery of the requisite inputs to the farming population for the 2000/01 cropping year.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 1 6 463 470
Previous five years average imports 226 72 190 488
2000/01 Domestic Availability - 4 501 504
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 4 500 504
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) - 3 500 502
Possible stock drawdown - 1 1 2
2000/01 Utilization 273 90 895 1 257
Food Use 273 90 800 1 162
of which: local purchase requirement - - 1 1
Non-food use - - 95 95
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 273 86 394 753
Anticipated commercial imports 273 86 61 420
Food aid needs - - 333 333
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - 19 52 71
of which: Delivered - 4 43 47
Donor-financed purchases - - 1 1
of which: for local use - - 1 1
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 20 7 59 85
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       107
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       154


FAO/GIEWS - August 2000

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