FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2000 SOMALIA 40

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SOMALIA

Area:
627 000 sq.km
Climate:
Semi-arid in the south; rest arid
Population:
6.40 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput; n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Inadequate port facilities; serious shortage of fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, sorghum, sesame
Marketing year:
August/July; Lean season: June-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
45 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Harvest of the main season ("Gu") crops, recently completed, is satisfactory. The season's cereal production, estimated at 212 000 tonnes, is about 22 percent above the post-war (1993-1999) average. Widespread rains in April/May and good "Hagay" rains at the beginning of July helped developing crops in Lower Shabelle, Middle Shabelle, Hiran, Bay, Bakool and parts of Lower Juba. Improved security conditions have also encouraged some households to return to their farms and facilitated farming activities. However, poor harvests are anticipated in some pockets of Gedo, Lower Juba and Middle Juba Regions due to erratic and insufficient rains.

Despite some improvement in the overall food supply situation in parts of southern Somalia, serious malnutrition rates are increasingly reported, reflecting diminished livelihoods due to a succession of droughts and longer-term effects of years of insecurity and lack of investment in the economy.

Elsewhere, in north-western Somalia (Somaliland) the food situation is precarious in some agro-pastoral areas in Togdheer, Awdal and Sanag where successive below-normal rains have severely affected crop and livestock production. With community support waning, migration of people and livestock, mainly camels, to Ethiopia and other regions is reported.

A UN Inter-Agency appeal was launched in July 2000 for about US$15.6 million to assist some 750 000 vulnerable people in Somalia. Total pledges for the 2000/01 marketing year amounted to 24 000 tonnes, of which 20 000 delivered so far.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production - 2 260 262
Previous five years average imports 122 92 74 288
2000/01 Domestic Availability - 1 310 311
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 2 310 312
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) - 1 310 311
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
2000/01 Utilization 130 91 420 641
Food Use 90 61 290 441
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 40 30 95 165
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - 35 35
2000/01 Import Requirement 130 90 110 330
Anticipated commercial imports 70 75 40 185
Food aid needs 60 15 70 145
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 3 - 21 24
of which: Delivered 2 - 18 20
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 15 10 47 71
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       119
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       115

FAO/GIEWS - December 2000

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