FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 2000 ZAMBIA 47

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ZAMBIA

Area:
741 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry; rainy season: November-April
Population:
10.44 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$320 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics:
Imports through Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); inadequate rail and road connections
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: March-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Harvesting of the minor wheat crop is under way. Latest forecast indicate an output of 90 000 tonnes, unchanged from last year's good level.

Rains in the third dekad of October, which were above average in central parts, favoured planting of the 2001 maize crop, and benefited early-sowed crops.

Reflecting abundant rains during the growing season, and despite severe localized floods, the 2000 cereal production increased 43 percent from last year to 1.5 million tonnes. The main maize crop is estimated at an above-average level of 1.3 million tonnes, which entirely covers domestic requirements. Following three years of reduced harvests and high import requirements, no imports of maize are expected in marketing year 2001 (May/April).

As a result of the bumper 2000 cereal harvest, the overall food supply is satisfactory. Markets are well supplied. Prices of maize and have declined since May and are below both the last year and average levels.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 63 16 1 012 1 091
Previous five years average imports 57 15 301 373
2000/01 Domestic Availability 90 13 1 411 1 514
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 90 19 1 411 1 520
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 90 13 1 411 1 514
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
2000/01 Utilization 131 36 1 411 1 578
Food Use 127 34 1 171 1 332
of which: local purchase requirement - - 8 8
Non-food use 4 2 185 191
Exports or Re-exports - - 50 50
Possible stock build up - - 5 5
2000/01 Import Requirement 41 23 - 64
Anticipated commercial imports 41 22 - 63
Food aid needs - 1 - 1
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - 1 1
of which: Delivered - - 1 1
Donor-financed purchases - - 8 8
of which: for local use - - 8 8
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 12 3 110 125
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       139
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       17

FAO/GIEWS - December 2000

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