FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report Part III, No.2, August 2001 TANZANIA 44

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TANZANIA

Area:
886 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:
33.1 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$240 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:
Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:
June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Growing conditions have been generally favourable, with normal to above normal cumulative rainfall in most parts of the country during the season (September/April). Drier conditions in March may have caused stress to crops at the critical grain filling stages in parts of central regions but have also helped in reducing excessive moisture in flooded areas in southern and western parts of the country. A recovery in this year's output from the reduced level of 2000 is anticipated.

In bi-modal rainfall areas of the north and north-east, despite a late start, good rains since April benefited the crops of the "Masika" season. The outlook for the harvest is satisfactory. However, crops in some regions were reported to have been affected by pests, including Quelea Quelea birds and Armyworm. Pastures and livestock are reported in good condition reflecting generally abundant rains.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. The completed harvests in the bimodal rainfall areas and on-going harvests in unimodal rainfall regions following a generally adequate rainfall have effectively increased on-farm stocks and access due to low prices. The food situation of pastoralists has also improved due to increased water and pasture.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2001/02 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Previous five years average production
98
700
3 344
4 142
Previous five years average imports
148
94
209
451
2001/02 Domestic Availability
202
400
3 454
4 056
2001 Production (rice in paddy terms)
82
615
3 094
3 791
2001 Production (rice in milled terms)
82
400
3 094
3 576
Possible stock drawdown
120
-
360
480
2001/02 Utilization
322
520
3 654
4 496
Food use
294
458
3 265
4 017
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
-
-
Non-food use
8
62
339
409
Exports or re-exports
20
-
50
70
Possible stock build up
-
-
-
-
2001/02 Import Requirement
120
120
200
440
Anticipated commercial imports
120
100
170
390
Food aid needs
-
20
30
50
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
-
-
-
-
of which: delivered
-
-
-
-
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
-
-
of which: for local use
-
-
-
-
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)
9
14
96
118
Indexes
       
2001 Production as % of average:
     
92
2001/02 Import requirement as % of average:
     
98

FAO/GIEWS - August 2001

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